Breaking news: the Trump campaign has voluntarily withdrawn a challenge in Georgia state court to the presidential election (Trump v Raffensperger). I was scheduled to testify tomorrow for intervenors in support of the state defendants
I have been involved in several successful election lawsuits against the GA Secretary of State's office. It felt odd to be testifying in defense of them, and for them to welcome my assistance. Trump has a way of bringing people together :)
Not sure if @marceelias gets to count this one. I don't think the judge had yet ruled if they would be allowed to intervene
I bit of a coda to the Trump concession...about an hour before the campaign filed their withdrawal from this state case, they filed a document outlining the evidence and qualifications of their "experts." This had us scratching our heads whether or not they were going to withdraw
Why would the campaign file all their false allegations and then immediately withdraw from the suit. I think everyone should know by now that Trump may say one thing one moment and another the next. He still wants to preserve the argument the election was stolen from him
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We have a week and a day to go. What seems likely at this point is fewer people will vote early than in the general, which is expected since run-off elections tend to have lower turnout and there were three fewer days of in-person early voting with the holidays
What does this mean for Election Day voters? If the three fewer in-person days affected early turnout, perhaps Election Day will be a greater share of the overall electorate. 1) the ratio of early to Election Day is off plus 2) some people who might vote early vote Election Day
I am reluctant to make same day prior to the election comparisons. If you recall, for the first three days of in-person early voting during the general Georgia had a problem with their electronic poll books. In some places it took up to 15 minutes to check in a single voter.
When Democrats start voting in a particular way, Republicans suddenly become very interested in implementing measures to crack down on non-existent vote fraud 🤔
Expect more of this elsewhere. Before the pandemic, more Republicans voted by mail and Republican lawmakers were uninterested in mail ballot fraud or making it harder to cast a mail ballot
Kudos to Republicans who resisted Trump's efforts to subvert democracy, but Republicans have passed restrictive voting measures for decades throughout the U.S. aimed to make it harder for Democrats, and persons of color in particular, to vote. There's your real election rigging
159.6 million total ballots counted for a turnout rate of 66.7%
A year ago I guessed 2/3rds of those eligible would vote, I wish I could say I'm a genius, but tbh I'm just lucky theatlantic.com/politics/archi…
The Sunday before the election estimate based on the early vote was 160.2 million, which wasn't off by much. That was the initial number that was loaded into the media's exit poll election night reporting system so that we wouldn't report % precincts electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-202…
My 2020 turnout data are here. There will continue to be revisions in the coming years, particularly as more current census population estimates become available electproject.org/2020g
There 104 voters who have rejected mail ballots. Underscoring how data entry errors affect these statistics, there are 6 voters whose ballots are rejected for the reason "Ballot Received After Deadline." In the general, these were eventually cleaned up, but come on.
If I were to guess by looking at the ballot request and received dates, these 6 rejected ballots appear to be late arriving ballots from the *general election*