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Francis Hoar Profile picture
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10 Jan, 8 tweets, 3 min read
Surprise, surprise. The Year Zero idea that we can end a pandemic through vaccination - which has never happened before - has feet of sand. Every other respiratory pandemic has ended through exposure, natural immunity and evolution to less fatal strains.
blogs.bmj.com/bmj/2021/01/04…
I say Year Zero because the singular feature of the reaction to this pandemic has been the refutation of all prev experience of how pandemics develop & how they are addressed; & all previous pandemic planning, right up to October 2019, as I set out below:
That is not to say that vaccines might not have a part to play. They might. But the fact that vaccines take years to develop is not merely due to the need to test them adequately for adverse reactions. It is because of the need to test their effectiveness.
And all previous planning recognised the sheer insanity of attempting to pause society’s functioning while waiting for such uncertainty; and recognised the indescribable destruction that that would cause. As, of course, it has.
And for a new illustration of those harms, see below:
(HT @LucyGoBag)
torontosun.com/opinion/column…
This humility is so incredibly rare and so refreshing. The reaction to any one pandemic should never only consider the effect of those policies on the pandemic. As with every other policy decision, it is a question of how any potential advantages are balanced against likely harms
Whereas this guy thinks a flu vaccine ended the Hong Kong and Asian Flu epidemics. The idiocy is different to comprehend.
Yes. But it isn’t something to be invested in as the end to the pandemic. And it cannot ever justify restrictions that might - perhaps - end when it is developed.

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More from @Francis_Hoar

Francis Hoar Profile picture
12 Jan
@cjsnowdon @mitrebarnet Then why do you reply with something about deaths, not hospitalisations?

1. Data on hospital ‘admissions’ of patients with C19 includes anyone who has had a positive PCR test up to 14 days before admission, on admission or after admission: (coronavirus.data.gov.uk/about-data#eng…)/
@cjsnowdon @mitrebarnet 2. Any person testing positive within different seven day periods would be counted within each of those? See, from the NHS publication:
For example, if a person was tested on Thursday and Friday of the same week, they would only be counted once in the reporting week.
@cjsnowdon @mitrebarnet However, if someone was tested on Tuesday and Friday of the same week, that individual would be counted in 2 reporting periods, as the 2 tests fall into different 7-day reporting periods.
(gov.uk/government/pub…)
Read 9 tweets
Francis Hoar Profile picture
10 Jan
The People’s Republic of China is the most dangerous evil in our world today. Particularly due to its pernicious influence throughout the world and in international institutions.
No, the most *dangerous* evil for the world. There are worse regimes - Isis, etc - but they are not as dangerous. China’s tentacles, on the other hand, are everywhere.

https://t.co/t7DWAoicuo
Read 5 tweets
Francis Hoar Profile picture
8 Jan
Powerful? You mean a powerful symbol of how far we have gone from having an independent judiciary? A judge expanding his own propaganda when punishing a man for exercising his fundamental democratic rights.
Yes: judicialconduct.judiciary.gov.uk/about-us/#:~:t….

https://t.co/7DiCCOmL6l
It isn't either, in my view. The decision is the sentence. That isn't what the complaint about. Nor is this a matter of case management....
Read 4 tweets
Francis Hoar Profile picture
7 Jan
‘Anyone who stands outside hospitals saying theyre empty really need to grow up.’
The Buffoon.

The question is whether they are any busier than average for the time of year.
Stop lying.
This is an excellent resource:
https://t.co/69IIBYEp5m
See the ‘once in a century pandemic’ ‘crisis’ marked in yellow. Image
Read 4 tweets
Francis Hoar Profile picture
19 Dec 20
Tyrannical governments drunk on power and governing through lies are not legitimate. Are never legitimate.

The social contract is broken asunder.
Lies. We are governed on the basis of a tissue of lives.
Those responsible will pay for this.
And this is what they are doing to good people across the country.

Shame on them.

Shame on all who have enabled them.

Read 7 tweets
Francis Hoar Profile picture
17 Dec 20
I see that Hancock is still promoting the lie of asymptomatic transmission. Without that lie, the whole house of cards - anti-social distancing, masks, closing hospitality and restricting day to day life - would collapse. aier.org/article/asympt…
https://t.co/T7UjU76y8E
https://t.co/egeoftEskS
Read 4 tweets

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