1/ GameStop is one of the most fun businesses to study for both its success and failure.

Relative to other specialty retailers, it dominated up until the financial crisis, but has since done very poorly.

But unlike Tower Records or Blockbuster, it is still in business
2/ Thanks to the tailwind gaming has provided, its revenues have grown long-term but EBITDA and margins have been terrible as the gaming world has digitized over the past 5 years.
3/ As I learned in @joosterizer book One Up, their early physical retail edge rested on counterpositioning: doing things Walmart and others couldn't:

1. Accessibility
2. Deeply trained expert staff
3. Tailored loyalty program
4. Custom inventory management for used game sales
@joosterizer 4/ Accessibility

There are 5,500 GameStop stores, often more than one in the same mall (mostly because of EB acquisition). Can always find one.

They install ramps--not for wheelchairs, but for strollers because parents are the real buyer
@joosterizer 5/ Trained Staff

As @joosterizer told me recently, try to go into a GameStop and stump a staff member. They can help you navigate much better than a generic retail employee. Creates loyalty and trust that wouldn't be possible if they didn't just focus so specifically on games.
@joosterizer 6/ Loyalty Program

Standard reasons for a loyalty program, but it helped them manage inventory with pre-sales and reserves, and they used Game Informer (only remaining gaming magazine really) to keep people interested.
@joosterizer 7/ Used game sales

This is the most interesting. Blockbuster games would be resold 6x, and GameStop made all the money on resales.

Required complicated accounting and inventory systems to manage re-sales. Others couldn't compete.
@joosterizer 8/ I think all of these areas of edge could be studied and applied to other retailers, yet GameStop's survival is in deep question because they missed the move to digital.

So interesting to me that edge can be developed and then so quickly eroded.

Its always Day One
For those asking, check out Chapter 3 of @joosterizer book One Up for more.

Charts were made via an internal tool @OSAMResearch developed by @Jesse_Livermore

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More from @patrick_oshag

9 Jan
Starting to collect important questions for 2021 and beyond in this thread.

Please send questions you are interested in too!

1. Will demand for compute continue to double every few months? Tons of implications for semiconductor design and manufacture. mule.substack.com/p/gpt-3-and-th…
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4 Dec 20
For the last year at @OSAMResearch, we’ve been building.

Excited to share this new post that shares the lessons we've learned. We now believe the future of asset management will be defined by a new category: "custom indexing."

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🚨 a new job that’s a huge opportunity for someone early in their career looking to skip a few steps forward.

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This means our product itself is a business and investing education that we believe will far surpass even the best graduate degree.
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Read 6 tweets
16 May 20
1/ The most influential video I've ever seen remains "inventing on principle," by @worrydream.



A well formed principle guides action through time. Here's Brett's principle attached.

I realized today this is why I'm so interested in Unreal Engine 5.
@worrydream 2/ His specific principle (more on finding your own principle shortly) has given me a new lens to see the world: does this enable human creativity?

Unreal Engine 5 will empower creators in fascinating ways. I love any technology that does so. Look at this image:
@worrydream 3/ First, watch Brett's video starting at [2:34] to see what he means by immediate connection to one's creation.

Then watch this incredible video (h/t @eldsjal) on making The Mandalorian using Unreal Engine (I've linked to the moment of the video I mean)

Read 6 tweets
9 May 20
When something isn't working, you ask existential questions. You test every objection you can.

That's what @CliffordAsness & team have done here re: systematic value investing.

Conclusion: valuation spreads still historic after controlling for common "value is dead" narratives
@CliffordAsness Forgetting all data and backtests, I think we must also consider the basics of equity returns:

1. fundamental company growth
2. multiple expansion/contraction
3. return of capital

Historically value has earned its excess return through #2 and a bit of #3
@CliffordAsness #2 only happens if there is real fundamental recovery--the multiple expansion happens in anticipation of real business growth. So it is fair to ask if its different this time and we simply won't see a recovery of value businesses while Microsoft and friends continue to dominate.
Read 4 tweets
28 Mar 20
I’d you are a financial adviser, do you use TIPs in client portfolios ?
I’d you are a financial adviser, do you use municipal bonds in client portfolios ?
If you are a financial adviser, do you invest clients in gold?
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