My view is that regardless of what our ignorant @ScottMorrisonMP Govt does Australians are unlikely to be able to buy a new ICE car by 2030. Why? Because Japan, South Korea & many EU countries are likely to stop making them by then.
Currently South Korea and Japan plan to phase out sales of new ICE vehicles by 2035 in their countries. The UK in 2030 and France in 2040, California in 2035. But it's not just what happens in those countries which are big manufacturers but also what happens in their markets.
The EU is one of world's largest mkts. Germany, Italy, UK & France are in the top 10 markets. UK's target is 2030, France 2040. Germany & Italy have not set dates but are likely to this yr. India the 5th market has set 2030. Japan is 3rd & S. Korea 12th. Their date is 2035.
California is the world's 19th largest car market & it will be ICE free for cars by 2035. China is the world's largest market. It hasn't announced plans (except for Hainan which will stop ICE sales in 2030 for many vehicles) but it will almost certainly set at least a 2040 target
12 countries, some large markets, have announced a phase out by 2030. Many of these are not yet legislated they almost certainly will be & other countries will both bring forward or announce targets. So it's likely to be bye bye ICE by 2030 at least for cars. See list below..
Note that in those places with asterisks it's implied that it's not just new cars that will be banned - docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…
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