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Adam N Weinstein

11 Jan, 5 tweets, 3 min read

@QuincyInst

1. @QuincyInst Non-resident Sr. Fellow @BRRubin: The Biden administration should reaffirm the U.S. commitment to the agreement, while seeking to build an international, regional, and Afghan consensus in favor of a one-time, six-month adjustment of the deadline for withdrawal..."

https://twitter.com/AdamNoahWho/status/1348634931849736195

2. Rubin argues this shouldn't be a unilateral extension imposed by the US but one built on regional consensus. Withdrawal should not be conditions based: "U.S. troops should withdraw at the end of this six-month adjustment regardless of the outcome of the intra-Afghan talks."

3. Importantly, Rubin proposes that if regional actors or the Taliban reject the extension, the Doha timeline for withdrawal should still dictate. Unilaterally leaving a residual US force stops the process altogether. Adjusting the timeline merely acknowledges lost progress.

@BRRubin

4. @BRRubin outlines the following steps:
- Win support of NATO allies.
- Win support of Russia, China, & Pakistan (diplomatic infrastructure & relatively aligned interests already exist).
- Try to bring Iran on board with backdoor & complementary diplomacy.
- Leverage Qatar.

5. If the US chooses to unilaterally leave a residual force, then the consequences are clear:

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Adam N Weinstein

@AdamNoahWho

12 Jan

1. So I see that the nation & #civmil twitter is discussing extremism, radicalization, & White supremacy in the US military. I have no formal expertise in this area but I was a Jewish enlisted Marine so I will share some things that I observed.

2. I cannot reiterate enough that I am not an expert on this particular issue nor am I drawing from data beyond personal experience & anecdotal observations. But I think sharing some of my observations could offer some insights to those thinking about these questions.

3. First, my experience is that the military is still very hierarchical with good command and control and that the subculture where the radicalization is occurring is more so among veterans than those actively serving. But this is based only on my personal perception.

Read 12 tweets

Adam N Weinstein

@AdamNoahWho

29 Oct 20

1. A short thread on the U.S.-India 2+2 Ministerial Dialogue, Secretary Pompeo's trip to South Asia, and the emergency of a China-focused South Asia policy in his own words.

2. Washington has long viewed South Asia as a hedge against a perceived threat--first the USSR & later al-Qaeda. Pompeo is revamping the US posture in South Asia with a new cast of characters but the same failed reactionary & threat-based approach. This time the focus is China.

@ThePrintIndia

3. When @ThePrintIndia's @ShekharGupta asked about the significance of US-India ties apart from China, Pompeo oddly fantasized about a world where a nation of 1.4 billion people recedes into the shadows.

Read 10 tweets

Adam N Weinstein

@AdamNoahWho

19 Jul 20

https://twitter.com/AdamNoahWho/status/1284573792480550912

1. The backlash against Dr. Moeed Yusuf offers a case study of the obstacles that Pakistan will face as it attempts to professionalize its bureaucracy. The allegations that Yusuf is unduly influenced by Washington is a projection of Pakistan's own nepotism and sycophancy.

https://twitter.com/AdamNoahWho/status/1284573792480550912

2. The assumption that Yusuf's success in Washington is entangled by a quid pro quo understanding only makes sense if you have existed as a big fish in the small pond of Pakistan's policy world. DC suffers from nepotism too, but merit still plays a role.

3. Instead of asking what a green card holder who returns to Pakistan is beholden to, one might consider what allows the traditional elites of the country to feel secure without other options in a country where ambitious young people see few avenues for upward mobility?

Read 7 tweets

Adam N Weinstein

@AdamNoahWho

27 Jul 18

1. The condescension & lack of depth of US coverage of #ElectionsPakistan2018 w/ clickbait headlines & Tom Friedmanesque "playboy turned extremist" ledes is unfortunate. The issue isn't criticism of IK but the shallowness of the examination of #Pakistan. We can do better.

2. The WaPo Editorial Board's "#Pakistan’s likely next leader is a Taliban sympathizer" raises some valid concerns about Imran Khan's record. But it glosses over the PMLN's own past & at times verges on an outright defense of Sharif. It then cherrypicks IK's platform.

3. NYT's social media team couldn't resist the juxtaposition of sex symbol, Islamic Republic, & nukes. The writers opened w/ "Is Imran Khan, a legendary cricket player and international sex symbol, about to become the leader of #Pakistan, an Islamic republic with nuclear weapons?

Read 9 tweets

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