Hancock: "It's your actions now which can make a difference."
Plays down prospect of immediate introduction of new restrictions.
Few doubt the public must play its part. But legitimate questions about whether the govt has made/is making public's task harder in two key respects:
1) For some there's still a major economic disincentive apropos self isolation. Sick pay still poor. Savings for many exhausted.
Imminent prospect of Universal Credit cut would make this worse. Some people have fallen through the gaps of government support throughout. Though government support for (effectively) laid off people, a full economic bargain to universally support self isolation still...
...does not exist. Rishi Sunak just made a statement to the House which offered nothing new on any of these fronts.
And 2) The job for individuals is now made harder as a result of prevalence as a result of the delay in full lockdown in most of the country between the...
...point ministers were informed that the new variant had greater transmissibility (December 18th) and full lockdown (early January). We can't interrogate the micro decisions of the public alone, we must look at the macro decisions of ministers too.
And many argue that the pattern we've seen on three occasions is one of delay in introducing measures til nearly or at the last possible moment, which adds to prevalence, means test and trace is yielded useless and makes the task of the public all the more difficult.
The focus on compliance then, though important, is a bit of a futile (and potentially counterproductive) one when it's divorced from the overall context (economic and virological) that individuals are making those decisions in.
In other words, though Matt Hancock is right when he says 'It's your actions now which can make a difference', it applies just as much (if not more) to ministers in the decisions they're making now and in the past too.
Hancock hints to this idea, saying "the new variant makes everything so much harder"
This is presumably why SAGE recommended national lockdown on 22nd December- but that wasn't enacted by ministers (in England) until last week.
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More post-Brexit discontent at the border(s). Stephen Phipson, CEO @MakeUK_: “There are customs experts with 30 yrs’ experience who are baffled by what the new regulations mean, let alone small/medium sized biz who have never had to deal with the kind of paperwork required.”
Continued: “the greater fear is that for many it will proved too much and they will simply choose not to export to the EU.”
It’s in Northern Ireland where some of the effects are being felt most acutely, with some UK businesses even suspending sending goods to NI (and the EU).
Stephen Kelly, Chief Exec of Manufacturing NI: “The reason why the UK&EU originally agreed that there would be an implementation period of 11 months was so that people could get their heads around what was needed and assure their biz was compliant. But we didn’t even have that.”
Chris Whitty, writing in The Sunday Times says “The NHS is facing the most dangerous situation anyone can remember.” Says the service risks being overwhelmed in a fortnight and “Hospitals won’t have room to take redirected emergency cases.“
Whitty continues: “Staff patient ratios, which are already stretched, will become unacceptable even in places like intensive care. There will be avoidable deaths.”
As striking as the piece is, can’t help feeling might be more effective if Whitty and Vallance were also touring the TV studios this morning to project the message. Outside the confines of the briefings, we’ve barely seen either in interviews for months and months.
Hearing from more and more heads of soaring numbers of kids being dropped off for school. One primary in London that went from 12 kids in March lockdown to 56 now. A secondary in West Yorkshire that went from 30 in March to 150+ now.
Combination of things driving it. Employers people less flexible. Savings depleted so less capacity for parents to miss work. More citing mental health issues for kids and parents which would classify as vulnerable.
In many cases though, teachers tell me, vulnerable kids are not the ones making up the numbers- many are still off and difficult to reach which is a huge worry.
Earlier when asked about why the govt didn't act earlier the PM said “I think we were told about the new variant and the way it was taking off on 18th December and we went into T4 across the vast bulk of the country pretty much in the next 24 hours.”
This isn't entirely correct.
The new variant was identified in early December after genome data was paired with a curiosity that the rates of infection in Kent were not falling despite national restrictions and then T3.
So there was indicative sense that the variant may be playing its part as early as that and perhaps sport greater transmissibility.
On December 14th Matt Hancock informed the Commons, saying the new variant was in at least 60 local authorities already.