1/ Moderate Republicans are the most important people in the world right now. More comments on the #ElectoralCollegelRiot from a political sociologist.
2/ Right now, we have a severe problem: as long as you can gather up a critical number of primary voters, you can do some very horrible things, like incite a riot that gets 2 police officers killed.
3/ So what can be done? Part of the solution is relatively easy: criminal charges. We need a bright line. Free speech is ok, riots should be met with prison sentences every time.
4/ But part of the solution is much harder. Getting moderate Republican politicians and voters to punish people. They have more power to fix the situation than any other group right now.
5/ We've seen some honorable exceptions, like Corker and Schwarzenegger, and that is promising. But we've seen a suprising level of silence from the groups that are important moderate parts of the GOP coalition.
6/ There is at least one report that GOP legislators supported disputing the election because of fears of personal safety. alternet.org/2021/01/rep-pe…
7/ Shreiking democrats will not solve this problem, even though they need to keep the pressure on. Moderate Republican voters and interest groups need to step up in much larger numbers and say, "we have your back. You can be anti-Trump and safe and keep your seat."
8/ If we really want to banish the hoodlum wing of the party, we need an army of police unions, lady's republican clubs, and business groups to say "enough is enough."
9/ Bottom line: Sadly, we will always have people who are thugs, xenophobes, and racists. The issue is how the middle treats them. It is time for the Republican middle to take their party. If it is not now, it's never.

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More from @fabiorojas

6 Jan
1/ Something can be very bad but not a coup. More thoughts on the #ElectoralCollegeRiot from a professor who studies protest.
2/ Some folks are concerned that by calling this a riot, rather than coup, you are implictely dismissing what is happening. Not true. By using hyperbole, you are platforming people who should be marginalized and ignored.
3/ From a social science perspective, the #ElectoralCollegeRiot fits a long term pattern of political riots aimed at harming or intimidating others, such as anti-Black race riots and political urban riots of earlier American history.
Read 9 tweets
6 Jan
1/ Comments on pro-Trump protest from a professor who studies protest. Step #1: These protests are more performance, less coup.
2/ Protests vary in their goals and tactics. While pro-Trump/MAGA protests may claim that a conspiracy altered the election, the truth is probably more mundane.
3/ The #ElectoralCollegeRiot likely represents the alt.right's attempt to grab the spotlight one last time before Dem's control the legislature and White House.
Read 10 tweets
7 Jun 20
1/ Is police abolition "on the table" in Minneapolis? Last week, I thought "no," but people told me that it was. So I decided to dig into this a bit and see what is actually on the table. Spoiler: Still "no," but there are people on the city council who are serious about it.
2/ Summary - police abolition is the belief that police departments should be eliminated or drastically reduced. Public safety would then be provided through other mechanisms. The question: Is Minneapolis really about to "pull the plug" on its police?
3/ I found at least two Minn city council members and the council president saying that on record that would "disband" or "dismantle." Councilmember Fletcher even has an op-ed in Time promoting the idea. Read it here. time.com/5848705/disban…
Read 19 tweets
29 May 20
1/ What are the long term effects of violent protest? This is a topic that I have personally researched.
2/ Being upfront: I am antiwar and anti-violence in general. So take that as you will in the following analysis.
3/ Social scientists who have studied protest have long asked: does violence get you political concessions?
Read 12 tweets
25 May 20
1/ Developing the intuition behind "reopen" position. Here are a few things to assimilate into your thinking.
2/ Thought experiment: What if you knew with 100% certainty that no vaccine or therapy would be available in your lifetime? Then, you would need some form of "reopen" as you would not think about isolating yourself from humanity for ever.
3/ Furthermore, more and more functions would need to be done and people would need to go back to work, even "non-essential" occupations.
Read 10 tweets
22 May 20
1/ "Reopen" should be the default position of sociologists.
2/ A central idea in sociology is that relationships and communities matter. People with social ties are healthier, our culture improves our lives. This is impeded with indefinite shut down.
3/ Another finding of sociology is that unemployment and poverty are devastating. Shut downs create massive unemployment. Our official unemployment rate is 14% right now. Brutal. Image from tradingeconomics.com/united-states/…
Read 9 tweets

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