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11 Jan, 6 tweets, 3 min read
I am not above sharing cute pictures of my kids to get you to sign up as a paid subscriber of The Phoenix

thephoenix.substack.com/subscribe?coup… Image
Here they are stuffing leaves into my mouth Image
Here they are mailing their first letter ImageImageImage
Here they are having a pizza party in the park after harvesting the biggest carrots they’ve ever seen Image
Here they are playing in the creek Image
Here we are camping in the backyard.

As you can see, they are very cute.

Your subscription will literally pay for their daycare and school and give me time to focus on climate journalism – to give them and all of us a better world. 💚💚💚

thephoenix.substack.com/subscribe?coup… Image

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More from @EricHolthaus

Eric Holthaus Profile picture
7 Oct 20
Hi friends, some personal news:

Today I’m launching a new Substack called *The Phoenix*, because the world is on fire and we’ve got to build a new one from the ashes.

This is a publication for climate revolutionaries.

I'm so ready. Subscribe here:
thephoenix.substack.com/p/welcome-to-t… Circular painted logo of a red orange and yellow phoenix bir
For years, I've repeated these words: We are in a climate emergency.

Now, I’m ready to take the next step.

Real change comes by demanding justice and a world that works for everyone.

Because we need to see what we’re fighting for, not just what we’re fighting against.
My main goal with The Phoenix is to change the narrative of the climate movement.

We've got to shift climate storytelling away from inevitable apocalypse towards the possibility of a better world; towards catastrophic success not catastrophic failure.

I can't do this alone.
Read 10 tweets
Eric Holthaus Profile picture
6 Oct 20
wow.

In a nutshell, Hurricane Delta is well on its way to becoming one of the fastest-intensifying hurricanes in history if these numbers hold.

Delta has already strengthened from tropical depression to hurricane in 18 hours. This would take it to Cat 3 or 4 by tomorrow.
Delta has just strengthened by 40kt in 24 hours, something that only about 1/40 hurricanes do. The forecast is for it to do nearly the same thing again over the next 24 hours. That's unreal.
Earlier *this year*, Hurricane Laura became the fastest-intensifying Gulf of Mexico hurricane in history, strengthening by 55kt in 24 hours. Delta could strengthen 70kt in about 36 hours on this pace.
Read 4 tweets
Eric Holthaus Profile picture
5 Oct 20
NOAA hurricane hunters just took off from Tampa, FL en route for Tropical Storm Delta.

It'll be our first direct look at the storm's intensity and structure, and should help improve the model forecasts this evening for a storm that now looks almost certain to hit the Gulf Coast.
Looks like Delta is continuing to quickly strengthen. These data support the NHC's current intensity of 60mph winds, or perhaps a hair more. At this rate, Delta could be a hurricane later tonight.

First NOAA Hurricane Hunter dropsonde in the center of TS Delta finds a central pressure of 984mb. This is a rapidly strengthening system.
Read 5 tweets
Eric Holthaus Profile picture
15 Sep 20
The ice shelves of the Pine Island glacier and Thwaites glacier have begun to fracture, according to a new study published today.

These are, quite simply, the most important chunks of ice in the world, and they will likely determine (in part) the fate of our civilization.
Back in 2017, I described this scenario as the beginning stages of an "ice apocalypse":

grist.org/article/antarc…
As always, @chriscmooney has a masterful description of exactly what today's study means.

In short, the natural brakes on the glaciers are shearing off. Their flow towards the sea is accelerating.

washingtonpost.com/climate-enviro…
Read 5 tweets
Eric Holthaus Profile picture
14 Sep 20
As terrifying as Sally's rapidly-intensifying winds are, its biggest threat is likely going to be incredibly heavy rainfall.

Latest forecasts are for a 3-4 day slow loop over southern Mississippi & Alabama, and up to 27 inches of rainfall.

Be prepared for catastrophic flooding. a graphic showing predicted rainfall from hurricane Sally, s
Scenarios that come to mind:

Danny (1997) - Alabama
Georges (1998) - Mississippi
Allison (2001) - Texas
Florence (2018) - Carolinas

These storms brought 25-35 inches of rain over a span of four days, about what Sally is expected to do.
There's increasing scientific consensus that slow-moving, rapidly-intensifying, extremely heavy rain producing hurricanes on the Gulf Coast -- like Sally -- are going to be a hallmark of climate change.

phys.org/news/2020-04-h…
Read 6 tweets
Eric Holthaus Profile picture
26 Aug 20
NHC not holding back in their latest update on Hurricane Laura:

"Unsurvivable storm surge with large and destructive waves will cause catastrophic damage" Key Messages: 1. Unsurvivable storm surge with large and de
Just, incredible incredible stuff. Hurricane Laura will alter history for this part of the Gulf Coast.
NHC just boosted the storm surge forecast to historic levels in Louisiana.

20ft of surge would put Hurricane Laura into rare territory in the 140-year recorded history of hurricanes on the Gulf Coast, on par with Ike (2008) and Galveston (1900).

This is a dire emergency. A map of forecasted storm surge from Hurricane Laura, showin
Read 5 tweets

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