The redoubtable Fiona Hill says it WAS a coup albeit not sudden

“Trump’s goal was to keep himself in power, and his actions were taken over a period of months and in slow motion.”

I think it was telling that security forces were so ill prepared

politico.com/news/magazine/…
We’re they ill prepared because they didn’t understand the risk?

That seems exceptionally unlikely given retired citizens in the U.K., ordinary people going about their business were appraised of the risks.

So the ABSENCE of the security forces at the ready was telling.
*were*

They would have had far better intelligence briefings than ordinary citizens. Examinations of that intelligence and the briefings is critical.

But there are lessons to be learnt not just for the US but the U.K.

Pay attention to Fiona Hill.
Trump “normalized his actions so people would accept them. I’ve been studying authoritarian regimes for three decades, and I know the signs of a coup when I see them....Technically, what Trump attempted is what’s known as a “self-coup” and Trump isn’t the first leader to try it”
Leading up to it Trump tried to “normalise” the alleged conditions leading to it. Allegations of voter fraud..but no supporting evidence.

Erdogan did it.

There is a standard checklist used to evaluate coups.
Control

1/ The military and paramilitary

2/Comms

3/ the Judiciary

4/ Government Institutions

5/. The legislature

6/ Mobilise popular support.
Sure. We are looking at a sitting President ...so how is he preparing to keep power despite losing an election..and how are we doing here in the U.K. against the same measures.

1/. Look what Trump did using the military. I hope ours are better prepared...and unwilling.
Esper, who was forced out of office knew enough to issue a public reminder to the military of their duty to uphold the constitution.

To what would OUR U.K. military refer in those circumstances?

Any constitutional and military lawyers fancy making a contribution?
Twitter, Social Media and cable news were Trump’s primary Comms tool...spreading the very “fake news” he purported to deploy.

He used it to lie. All the time. To build false narratives. And what about Murdoch and Fox News?

Then there is Mercers’ Parler

And DLIVE.
Judiciary : The indecent speed that Trump pushed through appointments of three new Supreme Court Justices, whilst making it clear that his selections would tilt and election verdict in his favour.

That didn’t work so well...but plans can be improved upon.
Government institutions. Purging them of the perceived disloyal and installing perceived loyalists in Defence & Homeland Security Secretariats

He wanted officials in place by Jan 2021 who he believed would be loyal to him

Barr and Esper out

Even they were not biddable enough
LEGISLATURE

Finally, Trump usurped the Republican Party

He claimed the more than 74 mill who voted for him in Nov 2020 as his personal base—his popular support

He threatened to destroy the careers of Republican members of Congress who did not favor overturning the election
Trump would not concede and I think it is so scared of what will be revealed when he has lost control of those organs of Government that he will keep trying to pervert it to the bitter end.

HIS BIG LIE has to be refuted.
“Congressional Republicans will have to take personal responsibility for their actions in support of Trump’s coup attempt....They must tell the truth”

...They owe it to their constituents to tell them the truth as well as to the country they have sworn to serve.
I think there is another more personal reason why they must do this.

It is to free themselves from the grasp of sheer badness that has led them to be so weak and so dissolute.

Let Trump take the punishment and start again.

Better. Much better.
As @Turloughc points out...

He’s a desperate man and what will he do in his remaining time...

What does he have on those who have bent to his bidding..

But they would do well to Marshall what do they have on him?

Meanwhile we should pay attention to the U.K.
What he REALLY cannot be is Commander in Chief.

Nor have command of the nuclear codes.

And some in the military have some explaining to do why THEIR heads should not be rolling right now.

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More from @fascinatorfun

12 Jan
Keir Starmer won't bring voters back to Labour with just a list of Tory failures

It doesn’t help that Starmer is trying to unify a party that has no agreed explanation for those defeats and is uncertain how it should be speaking to the voters it has lost. theguardian.com/commentisfree/…
“There is consensus that change is needed, but not on what needs changing.”

Very good. Image
His Monday speech

“There were some personal notes and one bland, off-the-shelf nugget of emotional uplift. (“A dark winter will give way to a brighter spring.”) But mostly it sounded as if it had been composed on a spreadsheet. “ Image
Read 6 tweets
12 Jan
I’m going to try and talk about something I find quite difficult and personal.

For quite a long time I started dreading phone calls. And emails. And texts. I shan’t go into why but I know it stems from a profound sense of not being heard or understood in a heartfelt way.
Exacerbated, of course, by Brexit and the management of Covid at Government level.

No accident I took to Twitter. One place where I have a sense of often profound listening, curiosity, seeking after truth, warmth, humour, generous sharing of knowledge from experts.
I am so grateful for that engagement. It has been, literally, a life saver.

But a few days ago I was woken by the phone ringing and answered it instinctively.

It was a dear friend I have hardly spoken to during lockdown.
Read 5 tweets
12 Jan
🦠🦠45,533 new cases so generally lower than last week. May we be levelling off? Approach with caution as Monday cases processed later in the week (to see impact from schools opening)

⚰️⚰️⚰️ 1243 (28 day cut off). Looking at deaths by date of death there is an inexorable rise ImageImageImageImage
The ONS/ Stats authority have reported 89,243 deaths from Covid (death certificates)

Remember this runs low because
1/ they report by date of registration not by date of death
2/ there were three bank holidays in the period from last full report 18/12/20

Expect more next week ImageImage
So if we add the known deaths by date of death from 2/1/21 to 10/1/21, the most conservative measure possible we already have
⚰️💔⚰️ 95,589 deaths even without counting deaths yesterday and today (not showing in the data yet).
Read 5 tweets
12 Jan
This is what an 'overwhelmed NHS' looks like. We must not look away | Coronavirus | The Guardian

The final stage, which London is now approaching, is where patient care is not just compromised but cannot be delivered. This won’t be dramatic and public – theguardian.com/commentisfree/…
you won’t see patients refused entry to hospital or bodies on the street. It will take the form of doctors being forced to make impossible decisions about which patient can best benefit from a single spare ICU bed when many need one,
“or how long to wait for a very sick patient to improve before having the conversation with the family about withdrawing care.”
Read 9 tweets
12 Jan
70TB of Parler users’ data leaked by security researchers

The data might prove valuable to law enforcement since many who participated in the riots deleted their posts & videos afterward.

cybernews.com/news/70tb-of-p…
“The data scrape includes deleted posts, meaning that Parler stored user data after users deleted it.”

Oh! Yum Yum.

I would think that what the users were deleting at critical points would be of considerable interest.
I know I shouldn’t laugh but I really can’t stop.

There was a security breach ...in a MERCER owned company.

With users all so cock sure about free speech they wanted to keep it secret.

SURELY they want everyone to know?! Image
Read 4 tweets
11 Jan
Medical anti-heroes and Covid-19 - plausible yet wrong. What can we learn? - Jackie Cassell

A much needed very close look (with rebuttals) look at Claire Craig by ⁦@jackiecassell⁩ complete with a tidy table of claims and what’s wrong with them.

jackiecassell.com/covid-19-denia…
On 12th December she put up a nicely constructed video in which she calmly explains the truth in the calm and detached consultant tones I never quite acquired.
“It’s all very simple really, and there’s been a terrible error by (nearly) everyone.   Her authoritative demeanour is shared by Andrew Wakefield of MMR fame, and Prof Carl Heneghan.”

One of the things that I really don’t understand is that confident demeanour.

Claim

⤵️
Read 5 tweets

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