People don't seem to understand how bad the Trump years for the GOP in terms of raw electoral losses.
Here's a set of maps to illustrate how bad it was, and also to reiterate why Trump lost the election.
Map 1: States where the GOP lost seats in State Houses since 2017.
Map 2: States where the GOP lost seats in State Senates since 2017.
Map 3: States where the GOP lost Governorships since 2017.
Map 4: States where the GOP lost seats in the US House of Representatives since 2017. Including the supposedly not-so-bad House Election of 2020. In all the shaded states, there are fewer Republicans in the House than there were when Trump took office.
Map 5: States where the GOP lost US Senate seats since 2017.
So, if you haven't picked up on it, there are a bunch of states that are in multiple maps here.
I'm a pattern hunter and try to find what makes things similar and different. So, check it out ...
If you look at these categories, I listed five different criteria:
- GOP lost seats in the State House
- GOP lost seats in the State Senate
- GOP lost the Governorship
- GOP lost seats in the US House of Representatives
- GOP lost seats in the US Senate
Since 2017
There are six states where FOUR of these FIVE things are true: Arizona, Colorado, Georgia, Illinois, Maine and Michigan. Biden won all six of these states.
There are nine states where THREE of these FIVE things are true: California, Kansas, New Jersey, New Mexico, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Texas, Virginia and Washington.
Biden won 6 of these. And he did better in Kansas, North Carolina and Texas than any Democrat in years.
There are twelve states where TWO of these FIVE things are true: Alaska, Connecticut, Delaware, Florida, Idaho (yes), Massachusetts, Missouri, Nevada, Oregon, Tennessee, Utah and Wisconsin. Biden won 6 of them.
Biden lost Alaska by a slimmer margin than any Dem since 1992.
When you look specifically at the five states which Biden flipped from Trump's 2016 performance, you can see that the GOP has taken a pounding in those states since Trump took office. Even if you ignore the 2020 Presidential Election.
If you look at where Republicans won and lost since Trump took office, you can absolutely see a relationship between the states where the GOP lost the most and the places where Trump ultimately went down in 2020.
It's not hard.
The states where the GOP lost the highest percentage of their State House seats since Trump took office:
The states where the GOP gained the highest percentage of State House seats since Trump took office:
1) West Virginia 2) Kentucky 3) Montana 4) Oklahoma 5) Louisiana 6) Alabama 7) South Dakota 8) Nevada* 9) Indiana 10) Arkansas
* Biden won
The states where the GOP gained the highest percentage of State Senate seats since Trump took office:
1) South Dakota 2) Kentucky 3) Iowa 4) Mississippi 5) Arkansas 6) Louisiana 7) Nevada* 8) South Carolina 9) North Dakota 10) Hawaii*
* Biden won
NOTE: This map is a mistake. The GOP lost the Governorship in KANSAS, not ArKANSAS. I made this mistake while editing the map and I apologize. Here is the map of the states where the GOP lost Governorships.
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While Trump lost the election in November, the fact that he choose to lie, try to overturn a popular election and ultimately incite a violent mob instead of conceding, he lost a lot more since then:
- He's suffered the further humiliation of losing 61 out of 62 lawsuits.
- He was humiliated by having the Supreme Court which is comprised of three Justices that he himself nominated rejecting his false claims twice in a single week.
- His already low approval rating according to Gallup has fallen even lower. He was at 46% on Election Day. 39% now.
- He's lost many of his most loyal allies. Mike Pence. Mitch McConnell. Lindsey Graham. The Wall Street Journal Editorial Board. The National Association of Manufacturers.
- He's lost business. The PGA has pulled the plug on Bedminster. His brand is more toxic than ever.
I'm working to track the losses the GOP has had all-up, including in state legislatures, from the time Trump was elected in 2016 until now. And it's horrific so far for the GOP (I'm only partially done).
I've gone from Alabama to Georgia so far and I'm about to stop for the night. But so far there are three states where the GOP has lost seats in both chambers of both the Federal and State legislatures since Trump got elected:
Arizona
Colorado
Georgia
(Stopped here for the night)
What's the significance here?
Obviously, Trump narrowly lost Arizona and Georgia, states where the GOP saw losses in both the US House and Senate and the State House and Senate since Trump took office.
And in Colorado, the GOP lost a US Senate seat this year.
One of America’s greatest dangers, in addition to racism and extremism is a toxic belief system that underlies it.
Entitlement.
Some people believe that because their ancestors immigrated to this country before mine were kidnapped and brought here makes them “more American” than me.
Others (case in point, the Trump family), came later than my family but believe they’re superior anyway.
Some people make it a point to scream out in public that Washington DC is “MY Capitol” and that “Congress works for ME!”
But it goes over their heads that it’s everybody else’s Capitol too and that Congress is supposed to work for all of us.
Many people do not realize that they carry this bias within them, but ...
When black people and white people do the exact same things, they view them as more harsh when blacks do it. And have more sympathy and leniency when whites do it.
And, on the other side, when the exact same things happen to blacks and whites, they’re seen as less severe when they happen to blacks. And more concerning when it happens to whites.
Obviously, to various extents, this can go both ways. But I see this part of the societal bias.
If a lot of my white friends get mad and raise their voices in anger when in public, people are like “that guy really should calm down.”
If I lose my cool, somebody’s gonna think “OH MY GOD ... IT’S HAPPENING! MY DAD WARNED ME ABOUT THIS. IS IT TIME TO CALL 911??”