Tweet

Milhouse Van Houten 🙂

Follow @Milhouse_Van_Ho

12 Jan, 18 tweets, 7 min read

Ontario covid-19 cases, deaths, and testing.

#COVID19Ontario

Weekly all-cause deaths and deaths with/from Covid-19 in Ontario, including % of deaths attributed to Covid-19.

Note: Covid-19 is often not a wholly distinct and separate cause of death as there are other medical conditions involved in many cases.

There are also cases in which it is not even a cause of death, but the individual had tested positive sometime prior to their death.

Ontario total weekly deaths Jan 2010-Sept 2020.

Covid-19 has been a crisis in Ontario's long-term care (LTC) system vs. among the general public.

Covid-19 deaths per million by age cohort and for long-term care residents.

The 80+ age cohort accounts for 52% of all-cause deaths in Ontario and 69% of deaths from or with Covid-19, but only 4% of the population.

In contrast, children account for 22% of the pop. but only 1% of all-cause deaths in Ontario and 0% (0.02%) of deaths from or with Covid-19.

The two most important metrics to watch: deaths and ICU occupancy from or with covid-19.

The two most important metrics to watch: deaths and ICU occupancy from or with covid-19.

The number of hospitalizations linked to covid-19 in Ontario relative to historical benchmark levels for influenza and pneumonia.

Ontario hospitalizations from or with covid-19.

As data on daily new hospitalizations is not publicly available, this is the average daily net change in hospitalizations (ICU and non-ICU).

A note on hospitalization data: This may include those who have had a positive test result after being hospitalized for a different reason.

Ontario - The proportion of cases (positive test results) resulting in death (yellow line). (Daily reported deaths divided by average daily cases over prior 28 days.)

The silver lining of mass PCR testing: a falling CFR.

Ontario – Cumulative case fatality rate (CFR). The proportion of cases (positive test results) resulting in death (yellow line). (Cumulative reported deaths divided by cumulative cases.)

Ontario – Case survival rates (= 100% - case fatality rate) by age.

Ontario Fall/Winter season: May be able to declare a peak when average week-over-week growth reaches zero.

data.ontario.ca/dataset/status…

publichealthontario.ca/en/data-and-an…

news.ontario.ca/en/release/566…

covid-19.ontario.ca/covid-19-epide…

covid-19.ontario.ca/data

www150.statcan.gc.ca/t1/tbl1/en/cv.…

www150.statcan.gc.ca/t1/tbl1/en/cv.…

www150.statcan.gc.ca/t1/tbl1/en/tv.…

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

More from @Milhouse_Van_Ho

Milhouse Van Houten 🙂

@Milhouse_Van_Ho

13 Jan

Greater Toronto and Ottawa.

#COVID19toronto #covid19ottawa #COVID19Ontario #COVID19

Greater Toronto.

Greater Toronto - The proportion of cases (positive test results) resulting in death (yellow line).

Read 12 tweets

Milhouse Van Houten 🙂

@Milhouse_Van_Ho

11 Jan

It's ok to change your mind about lockdowns.

Countries like Japan show that it's possible to combat a virus without compromising civil rights.

"Japan attracted world notice for neither imposing a lockdown nor obsessively testing asymptomatic people."

japantimes.co.jp/opinion/2021/0…

"COVID-19 accounted for only 0.3% of all deaths. There were seven times as many suicides and 40 times as many flu and pneumonia deaths."

"Japanese shouldn’t take Western criticism too seriously. The mainstream media has been on a mission to cheerlead the lockdown narrative."

Read 10 tweets

Milhouse Van Houten 🙂

@Milhouse_Van_Ho

11 Jan

Here we have the total number of deaths in Canada over the past five years. The most recent 12 months of data do not suggest a spike in deaths out of line with historical trends.

Thread:

Zooming out nationally over the past decade, we see that it's perfectly natural for deaths in one year to exceed deaths in the previous year.

***This does not necessarily = excess deaths.***

Look how often the blue growth line is above 0%.

So deaths are rising.

Is that due to population growth?

Population aging?

It's a bit of both, but not covid.

Read 16 tweets

Milhouse Van Houten 🙂

@Milhouse_Van_Ho

10 Jan

What do peanuts have to do with lockdowns?

Unintended consequences.

A thread:

Peanut allergies were rare among American children up until the mid-1990s, when only four out of a thousand children under the age of eight had such an allergy. But by 2008, the rate had more than tripled, to fourteen out of a thousand.

No one knew why kids were becoming more allergic to peanuts. But the response was natural and seemingly rational: kids are vulnerable so keep them away from peanuts, peanut products, and anything that has been in contact with nuts of any kind.

Read 19 tweets