BREAKING: I have the latest monthly death registrations from the Irish government's reporting office:

Let's do another quick thread to expose the scam. 👇👇
I'm now increasingly confident that there were just below 24,000 deaths in the first nine months of 2020 (based on the historic pattern of late registrations).

This is consistent with published death notices - there were 23,700 death notices.
So we get the following picture for total deaths each year.

The second chart is the same as the first, but it excludes the 1,800 "Covid-related deaths", i.e. it pretends they didn't happen.

Hmm. It's almost as if the first chart is more in line with the trend of prior years?
Now let's do the same exercise, but instead of looking at total deaths, we'll look at deaths per 1,000 people.

Do you see it yet?
Now let's do a very crude age adjustment (since the number of people aged 85+ has increased by 25% in five years).

Wow - the first chart sees 2020 landing almost perfectly on the trendline.

The second chart, which assumes that the Covid deaths didn't happen?

Eh, not so much.
Does any of this matter? I guess not. Narrative trumps information. Fear trumps reasoning.

Maybe it will change, some day.

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh

Keep Current with Graham Neary

Graham Neary Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!


Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @GrahamNeary

11 Jan
Are you ready to understand the nature of the scam?

The number of people in Ireland's ICU units doesn't change, no matter how many "Covid" patients are in it:

Thread. 👇👇
Firstly, it's important to note that this is not because maximum capacity has been reached.

All the way back in mid-April, there were 500 beds, and additional surge capacity on top of this.

That capacity was taken out, as it was not needed. Fewer than 300 beds are in use today.
Think about what I'm about to say.

Since mid-December, the number of "Covid" patients in ICU has increased by around 100.

About half of all ICU patients now have the label "Covid" attached to them.

But the total number of ICU patients has gone down!
Read 5 tweets
3 Jan
Kary Mullis won a Nobel Prize for Chemistry in 1993.

His most famous achievement was the invention of PCR, the method being used around the world to test for Covid-19.

I've been asking myself: what would he think of current events?

It's time for a thread. 👇👇

Please retweet.
In one of life's strange coincidences, Mullis died in August 2019 - just months before the first cases of Covid were allegedly discovered in China.

Since I can't ask him for his latest thoughts, I've read his book, "Dancing Naked in the Mind Field".

Here are the six best bits.
1. The invention of PCR.

The idea for "polymerase chain reaction" came to Mullis while driving at night through the Californian countryside.

With PCR, he could make "as many copies as I wanted of any DNA sequence I chose".

He predicted he would win the Nobel prize for this.
Read 29 tweets
10 Dec 20
BREAKING - I have the latest monthly death registration data for Ireland.

The official numbers continue to proclaim that over 2,000 people died "from Covid".

But that just doesn't make sense - see below. 👇👇👇
Firstly, take a look at this chart showing monthly deaths per 1000 people (adjusted for late registrations).

January 2020 was unusually mild. And April 2020 was the same as Jan 2017 & Jan 2018.

It doesn't look as if the months add up to something worse than the average year...
...which is confirmed by my calculations.

2020, by the end of September, is now perfectly average compared to the prior five years.

Time to show you why the official story doesn't add up...
Read 5 tweets
7 Nov 20

See below for my updated and extended charts, and a few new ones. 👇👇👇

There's a clear trend towards improving annual mortality, and no evidence of any impact from Covid.

Please share: everybody needs to know this!
Here's the raw data.

I've updated my estimates for the first half of the year, including all late registrations.

I've been deliberately pessimistic, and my pessimistic esimates are what you will see in the charts below.
First up, here are monthly registrations and the total from January to September.

April 2020 is the worst of all the months in my dataset.

And 2020 is 3.6% higher than an average year.

But the story is only beginning.
Read 8 tweets
5 Nov 20
Nobody who understands what I'm about to say can think about the Covid-19 crisis again in the same way. 👇👇👇

It's all based on objective data, and simple estimates.

Please retweet this and let's raise the level of understanding.
I've already shown that in Ireland, the first six months of 2020 were nothing special, in terms of deaths per 1,000 people.

The number of deaths was perfectly normal.

Quite surprising!

In that analysis, I adjusted for population growth.

But what about increasing age, which after all is Covid's major risk factor?

The ONS already did this for England: annual age-adjusted mortality is 2% worse than 5 years ago.

Wales is doing slightly better than 5 years ago:
Read 9 tweets
20 Oct 20
It has been requested that I do a simpler version of this thread, explaining why the modellers advising the Irish government are so amazingly wrong in their forecasts and in their understanding of the risk from Covid-19.

Here goes. 👇
1. The death count is wrong. We know this because it has been admitted to be wrong by the government (including by Leo Varadkar) and the number itself makes no sense.

All explained here:

2. The modellers think very few people have been infected so far. Wrong.

They say less than 2% of the population had antibodies 10-14 weeks after the epidemic peak.

But research suggests many people already lose their antibodies 8 weeks after infection.…
Read 8 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!

This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!