1/ Listen to @brett_mcgurk (not Pompeo) on Al Qaeda
(a different mind virus the world must contend with).
Idlib (Syria) is and will be a key theater amongst many competing interests of US + "TRI" (Turkey, Russian, Iran)...
(a different mind virus the world must contend with).
Idlib (Syria) is and will be a key theater amongst many competing interests of US + "TRI" (Turkey, Russian, Iran)...
https://twitter.com/brett_mcgurk/status/1347587968232407042
2/ To the NORTH of Idlib is border with Turkey.
And it is situated along highways running SOUTH from the Aleppo to Damascus...
HTS: Hayat Tahrir al-Sham is the key formerly AQ threat.
This is COMPLEXITY cubed.
And it is situated along highways running SOUTH from the Aleppo to Damascus...
HTS: Hayat Tahrir al-Sham is the key formerly AQ threat.
This is COMPLEXITY cubed.
3/
TURKEY wants to avoid more refugees on its border and prevent Kurds from getting territory + power
RUSSIA wants militarily strategic access to project power.
-Airbase in Latakia
-Naval base in Tartus.
IRAN wants Assad in power, Hezbollah amplified, US interests thwarted.
TURKEY wants to avoid more refugees on its border and prevent Kurds from getting territory + power
RUSSIA wants militarily strategic access to project power.
-Airbase in Latakia
-Naval base in Tartus.
IRAN wants Assad in power, Hezbollah amplified, US interests thwarted.
4/ The key ought necessarily be choosing very complex and DIPLOMATIC negotiations between Russia, Turkey, Iran, Syria and Israel, along with splintered rebels and warfighters...over MILITARY intervention.
There is + chaos AND a humanitarian crisis with ~1M people displaced/dying
There is + chaos AND a humanitarian crisis with ~1M people displaced/dying
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