Vaccine minister @nadhimzahawi now in front of the Science Committee. I will be watching so you don't have to ;)
Vaccine minister @nadhimzahawi tells the Science Committee that the Govt is not releasing the number of doses it expects every week, because of the way each batch of vaccine has to be checked, so the numbers "move around".
Chair Greg Clark asks if Zahawi is confident the Govt's target of 14m vaccinated by mid-Feb will be met.
Zahawi: "I'm confident we will absolutely meet our target, though there will be daily fluctuations”
Greg Clark on vaccine rollout: "Why wasn't it like Sunderland on election night? With everyone ready to go?"
Spoken like a true elections nerd.
Zahawi replies that Govt thought it was better to forensically target the vulnerable rather than just vaccinate as fast as possible.
Graham Stringer MP to @nadhimzahawi : "You seem phobic to numbers. Why can't you tell us the vaccine capacity that's online? Why can't you give us predictions week by week?"
Zahawi replies that it is the opposite, and that he is "disappointed in the question". The Government has committed to publishing daily vaccination numbers.
Stringer says he still hasn't answered the questions.
Zahawi says the questions about how much vaccine is available right now are the wrong ones:
"There is no stock, we don't want vaccines sitting on shelves rather than in people's arms"
Implication is that it's a rolling distribution system, with jabs given as soon as received
AstraZeneca's boss raised concerns about the people producing the vaccine not having been vaccinated. Potential disruption to supply chain.
Zahawi commits to write to the Committee by the end of the week with a firm decision on whether vaccine producers should be vaccinated.
Zahawi says the delivery of vaccines to GP surgeries etc has an accuracy of 98.5%.
He admits: "Sometimes a Primary Care Network is expecting X number of boxes and they don’t get it, or there’s a delay in the delivery."
But 98.5% of the time what is promised is delivered.
.@zarahsultana asks whether the Government has considered prisons as a priority for vaccination, given they are a high-risk setting.
Zahawi responds the focus for now is on individual risk, rather than setting, but that includes vulnerable people in prison.
Vaccine minister @nadhimzahawi confirms that supply is the "rate-limiting factor" in the vaccine rollout.
Translation: "We have more capacity to administer vaccines than we have vaccines to administer"
But he says that's a normal part of manufacturing process & will improve.
Zahawi confirms that we will be able to vaccinate 2m people a week by the end of the month, and that it will go higher than that.
It will of course have to go higher than that to meet the Government's 14m target by mid-February.
Are there plans for vaccine passports so people can come out of lockdown or travel abroad?
Zahawi: "There are no plans for a vaccine passport. We don't know what the impact of vaccines are on transmission, and it would be discriminatory."
To what extent is the Government preparing for the next set of vaccines, if/when the virus eventually mutates?
Zahawi: "We've made an investment in development and manufacturing so we can be ready"
Says the new mRNA vaccine can be rapidly changed and produced if virus mutates.
If there was a sudden mutation that was resistant to vaccines, Zahawi says:
"We can be ready - within a period of 30 to 40 days we would have the next vaccine being manufactured"
1) The DUP might have forseen that Brexit would be challenging in the context of Ireland. Not like they weren't warned.
2) They were still betrayed by Johnson, who literally stood up at DUP conference and said he would never create a sea border.
The DUP's great mistake was arguably not to support Brexit in the first place, as many Remainers are gloating today, but not to support Theresa May's compromise.
That would have left NI in a much better place from a Unionist perspective than Johnson's deal.
Although that of course is only in hindsight, post-betrayal. Harder to see at the time that May's imperfect deal was better.
You could make a kinder argument that the DUP took Johnson at his word, and that was actually the mistake.
So, are we all hugely overreacting? Some thoughts after chats with epidemiologists and statisticians this morning.
I can perhaps best sum it up in the words of one SAGE member who told me: "It's not that we're panicking now. It's that last time we didn't panic enough"
THREAD
Yes, deaths and hospitalisations are low. But there are signs that they are rising.
And the key thing to remember is that there is a delay. There are roughly 21 days between infection and death.
So if you're seeing a large increase in deaths, then you're already too late.
Looking at the number of deaths relative to cases is also a misleading game, because we are now testing so much more, and catching so many more cases.
So it is not correct to say "look how much lower deaths are relative to cases than back in March"
So fed up of the Good Friday Agreement being completely misunderstood and used as a political football by both sides.
Take it from somebody who keeps a copy of the thing in his living room.
It has precisely nothing to say about a hard border. Zip. Nada.
(THREAD)
The only mention of border infrastructure is in a passage on removing Troubles-era “security installations”.
It has nothing else to say. So the argument becomes one not about the letter of the agreement, but the “spirit”
So what on earth is the “spirit” of the agreement?
Well. It is primarily about consensus. And also about creating a space in which Irish people in NI are able to feel connected to Ireland, and British people to the UK.
Thus, so the argument goes, erecting barriers on the island North and South would risk that fragile consensus.