Statement from @SadiqKhan on London’s vaccine shortage:
For those saying the discrepancy is obviously to do with the age profile of London, I have stripped out the data for the over 80s. So this data will include NHS workers, and the vulnerable of all ages.
1) The DUP might have forseen that Brexit would be challenging in the context of Ireland. Not like they weren't warned.
2) They were still betrayed by Johnson, who literally stood up at DUP conference and said he would never create a sea border.
The DUP's great mistake was arguably not to support Brexit in the first place, as many Remainers are gloating today, but not to support Theresa May's compromise.
That would have left NI in a much better place from a Unionist perspective than Johnson's deal.
Although that of course is only in hindsight, post-betrayal. Harder to see at the time that May's imperfect deal was better.
You could make a kinder argument that the DUP took Johnson at his word, and that was actually the mistake.
Vaccine minister @nadhimzahawi now in front of the Science Committee. I will be watching so you don't have to ;)
Vaccine minister @nadhimzahawi tells the Science Committee that the Govt is not releasing the number of doses it expects every week, because of the way each batch of vaccine has to be checked, so the numbers "move around".
Chair Greg Clark asks if Zahawi is confident the Govt's target of 14m vaccinated by mid-Feb will be met.
Zahawi: "I'm confident we will absolutely meet our target, though there will be daily fluctuations”
So, are we all hugely overreacting? Some thoughts after chats with epidemiologists and statisticians this morning.
I can perhaps best sum it up in the words of one SAGE member who told me: "It's not that we're panicking now. It's that last time we didn't panic enough"
THREAD
Yes, deaths and hospitalisations are low. But there are signs that they are rising.
And the key thing to remember is that there is a delay. There are roughly 21 days between infection and death.
So if you're seeing a large increase in deaths, then you're already too late.
Looking at the number of deaths relative to cases is also a misleading game, because we are now testing so much more, and catching so many more cases.
So it is not correct to say "look how much lower deaths are relative to cases than back in March"
So fed up of the Good Friday Agreement being completely misunderstood and used as a political football by both sides.
Take it from somebody who keeps a copy of the thing in his living room.
It has precisely nothing to say about a hard border. Zip. Nada.
(THREAD)
The only mention of border infrastructure is in a passage on removing Troubles-era “security installations”.
It has nothing else to say. So the argument becomes one not about the letter of the agreement, but the “spirit”
So what on earth is the “spirit” of the agreement?
Well. It is primarily about consensus. And also about creating a space in which Irish people in NI are able to feel connected to Ireland, and British people to the UK.
Thus, so the argument goes, erecting barriers on the island North and South would risk that fragile consensus.