Yes! The impeachment is very loosely akin to an indictment, which is where the decision is made to bring charges. The House is very roughly like a grand jury in this analogy.

Next, managers from the House will act effectively as prosecutors for a trial in the Senate.
The Senate can vote to convict and will, in the event of a conviction, vote for the penalty. The two things we're looking for are removal from office (likely moot by that point), and barring him from holding office in the future.
It takes a two-thirds "supermajority" to convict and so the magic number we are looking for is 67, which will mean (if all Democrats hold the line) at least 17 Republicans crossing the line. This is far more likely to happen if McConnell comes out for conviction.
McConnell has semi-privately spoken in favor of impeachment, on the grounds that he wants to blaze a trail for the Republican Party post-Trump. Liz Cheney, in my analysis, has given him a lot of cover for doing so.
But I don't know that McConnell will see the point in showing his hand publicly for a while, especially when we're in such uncharted territory and it is possible for outside events (further violence, further actions by Trump) to shift the political winds.

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More from @AlexandraErin

14 Jan
100% stunt.

It's hard to make out in that picture, but I'm pretty sure this mask says "molon labe", the quick and dirty romanization of the Spartans' "come and take them" and a popular rallying cry for murdertoy enthusiasts.
When I say this is a stunt I don't mean to trivialize it; she's trying to enhance a pre-existing narrative that Congress is exactly the kind of tyrants that our country revolted against at its inception.
But she created this scene for maximum calculated effect.
Read 5 tweets
14 Jan
I don't care to try to parse out what the worst is, but him firing Comey and bragging about why he did it should have been enough for the country and for Congress.
And you know, just yesterday I told Comey to shut up forever and I meant it. I don't say this because I'm a fan of Comey. Comey *should* have faced more consequences than he did.
The right loves to play the game of "Oh you all hated Comey until Trump fired him and now you think he's an angel who could do no wrong." Nah. Fire Comey and Trump both.
Read 16 tweets
14 Jan
The good news and bad news is that presidential libraries are privately funded, so we can't stop him from having one but we don't have to pay for it. He can grift his followers for it.
Which makes the obvious answer for the "Where will Trump's library be?" on one of his own properties, assuming he can hang onto them. That makes it easier for him to funnel donated funds into his own personal uses.
I went to a Hollywood wax museum in Branson, Missouri (Christian Vegas) that used a Charlton Heston exhibit just before the end to segue into "But the real leading man is Jesus Christ" and I kind of envision something like that but with Donald Trump.

Read 4 tweets
14 Jan
So Ben Shapiro wants to know what the difference between Donald Trump saying the election was stolen and Stacey Abrams saying she was a victim of voter suppression is.

Donald Trump tried to coerce government officials and sent an angry mob to overturn the results.
Stacey Abrams did not do that. She acknowledged that Kemp was the winner under the system we have, and then went on to dedicate herself to the hard work of overcoming the bias built into the system in order to gain enough power to correct it.
There is also the fact that Stacey Abrams is right and Donald Trump is wrong, but for me the question Ben is asking is more about what they do. We can't fully rule out the possibility that Trump sincerely believes he's right, too.
Read 9 tweets
14 Jan
I'm simultaneously shaking my head at the utter naive fabulism of imagining they could "arrest" congresspeople with no guns and the cynical ruthlessness of thinking the could sway Congress floor votes by implying they're killing reps.
I just... I'm trying to imagine the headspace of someone who believes they could rush the floor of Congress and abduct people off it and that they would then be left alone *and* Congress would keep counting votes and voting on accepting votes after that point.
And I want to say that there's no way a person could sincerely put that forward and this therefore is somebody who was trying to encourage people to storm the capitol by spinning out a non-violent fairytale where they get the vote overturned by "keeping them honest".
Read 7 tweets
14 Jan
So Republicans purport to want to know what's the difference between Democrats and other politicians talking about "let's get out there and fight" and when Trump does it, and the answer is simple:

Trump has put in the work with his base so they'll understand him to mean violence
Early on in his political career, Donald Trump spoke glowingly of police roughing up suspects. He's directed violence towards protesters and reporters in his crowd. He's spoken about the need to "get tough" and made it clear he means physically.
It's true, there is a lot of metaphorical and hyperbolic talk about fighting in politics, and maybe post-Trump we'll see people back off from that for a bit, I don't know. Couldn't say.

But Trump took the time to clarify over the years that he's not being metaphorical.
Read 7 tweets

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