As I took most of my positioning to #uranium bull at March 20 dip, I find myself constantly looking at attractiveness based on performance since that. Even though sector fundamentals have got better, most value on stocks has stayed the same.
2/ 6
If a stock is up 1000% by far, in my eyes it's 1/10th of as attractive as it was back in March. No matter the future potential. If I'd like to open a new pos, either I'd have to lower the pos size or accept the higher risk/reward ratio. This is why I like to avg up.
3/ 6
The profit or loss that can be made, is basically just the difference between price and value. Price action drivers can be either sentimental or fundamental. Basic rule for buying ->
4/ 6
You should be buying when there is sentimental selling or fundamental buying.
March dip was a sentimental sell and after that the sector has gone through fundamental buying period, which will be parabolic after the big money enters the sector.
5/ 6
Fundamental buying stops as the parabolic curve steepens, bc price & value will reach parity, but sentimental buying continues.
You should be selling when there is sentimental buying or fundamental selling.
6/ 6
On this sector the the risk/reward ratio is still ridiculously good. It's just hard to remember that when your bias point is in the March dip bottom. Currently holding only about 5-10% cash and about 10% liquid assets for ready. No margin for me.
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