More anecdotal reports that following last week, registered Republicans are changing their registration to something else sun-sentinel.com/news/politics/…
If these reports turn out to be true and substantial, the downstream effect of disgusted persons abandoning the Republican Party will be elected Republicans will feel more primary election pressure from extreme elements of their voters. This won't necessarily help moderation
Related, as these fluid events unfold, we may need to re-consider what it means for self-identified Republicans to express opinions to pollsters about the insurrection at the Capitol
People do not normally change their party registration absent some reason to do so, like when updating their drivers license or an impending primary. If there are some people doing this now, there are probably more people considering it
Time will tell if this is a temporary phenomenon or something more durable. If more durable, these party registration changes will accumulate over time and could have significant effects on future party politics
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Breaking news: the Trump campaign has voluntarily withdrawn a challenge in Georgia state court to the presidential election (Trump v Raffensperger). I was scheduled to testify tomorrow for intervenors in support of the state defendants
I have been involved in several successful election lawsuits against the GA Secretary of State's office. It felt odd to be testifying in defense of them, and for them to welcome my assistance. Trump has a way of bringing people together :)
Not sure if @marceelias gets to count this one. I don't think the judge had yet ruled if they would be allowed to intervene
We have a week and a day to go. What seems likely at this point is fewer people will vote early than in the general, which is expected since run-off elections tend to have lower turnout and there were three fewer days of in-person early voting with the holidays
What does this mean for Election Day voters? If the three fewer in-person days affected early turnout, perhaps Election Day will be a greater share of the overall electorate. 1) the ratio of early to Election Day is off plus 2) some people who might vote early vote Election Day
I am reluctant to make same day prior to the election comparisons. If you recall, for the first three days of in-person early voting during the general Georgia had a problem with their electronic poll books. In some places it took up to 15 minutes to check in a single voter.
When Democrats start voting in a particular way, Republicans suddenly become very interested in implementing measures to crack down on non-existent vote fraud 🤔
Expect more of this elsewhere. Before the pandemic, more Republicans voted by mail and Republican lawmakers were uninterested in mail ballot fraud or making it harder to cast a mail ballot
Kudos to Republicans who resisted Trump's efforts to subvert democracy, but Republicans have passed restrictive voting measures for decades throughout the U.S. aimed to make it harder for Democrats, and persons of color in particular, to vote. There's your real election rigging