+UPDATE+

"Up to 1.3 million people have left the UK since the start of COVID.

This includes 1 in every 12 Londoners - triggering the biggest fall in population in peacetime history.
2/

Reported in FT today:

ft.com/content/def33c…
3/

"many foreign born nationals & high number of job losses in hard hit sectors such as hospitality, which has typically relied on overseas workers...new post-Brexit immigration rules mean EU nationals who left the UK in the past year will, in future, need work visas to return."
4/

Brexit + Worst COVID deaths in Europe + new visa rules + economic downturn.

All 4 together are leading to the biggest decline in UK population in century - perhaps ever.
5/

Given the high cost of housing in London and the the fact that so many foreign passport holders employed in areas like hospitality, entertainment, creative etc which have effectively closed down its unsurprising London is seeing depopulation.

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More from @nicktolhurst

16 Jan
+UPDATE+

The UK Govt plans to raise money from hauliers by taxing them £50 an hour as they park at the govt's 'inland border facilities" while waiting for Brexit customs checks.
2/

Number of media sources - including the Telegraph's Alan Tovey - now confirming the UK Govt's plans to extract money from hauliers as they are forcibly delayed waiting for Brexit customs checks.
3/

There's another issue in that the Kent Access permit - "The Kermit" - was originally set for 24 hours...

...if trade does go back to pre COVID levels then the queue of hauliers will automatically mean drivers going over the 24 hour limit & facing further fines (or "taxes").
Read 5 tweets
16 Jan
+UPDATE+

For the first time in 300 years...

....border guards INSIDE Gibraltar will include those from non British countries including Spain as part of EU-UK deal on Gibraltar.
2/

Confirmation also that the road linking Gibtaltar & Spain will now be widened to allow people and cars to travel freely.

Arrivals from UK will - either from air or sea - will now face checks from the EU FRONTEX Schengen border system..
3/

Gibraltar will become part of EU's passport-free travel area - the Schengen zone - though there is a different use of language from both sides on being "part of" or "connected to" Schengen.

This is because as Gibraltar can't join officially as its not an independent country.
Read 4 tweets
14 Jan
1. A SNP/Labour electoral deal is non starter
2. Greens have at best plausibles chance in 3 seats - even with help
3. So comes down to LibDem/Labour - with Starmer in this is possible. Work on this has been done already & an a'ment in just 30 seats would have huge consequences...
2/

Assume current polling figures correct, Conservatives would be largest party but 20 short of outright majority - but still kingmakers.

A LibDem-Lab electoral agreement in just 30 seats would see Tories fall below 300 seats. Impossible to form a Tory govt even with coalition.
3/

I did an awful lot of grunt & physical work on this over last few years.

Its something Im still working on - but more about that soon.

Whats needs to be noted though:
The big gains come in less than 50 seats.
Dont expect it to be nationwide but the numbers are there.
Read 4 tweets
14 Jan
Following on from yesterday:

US media reporting Capitol Building CCTV feeds show Rep Louie Gohmert, Rep Jim Jordan, Rep Matt Gaetz, Rep Lauren Boebert, Marjorie Taylor Greene, Paul Gosar & Andy Biggs giving ‘reconnaissance’ tours to Trump supporters groups before insurrection.
2/

From Guardian today:

NJ Rep. Mikierill said in a Facebook Live broadcast she saw Republicans “who had groups coming through the Capitol I saw on 5 January for reconnaissance for the next day.” She said some of her GOP colleagues “abetted” Trump & “incited a violent crowd.”
3/

Mikierill
“I’m going to see they’re held accountable & if necessary, ensure they don’t serve in Congress".

She & other Democrats sent a letter Wednesday asking congress security officials to investigate “suspicious behavior & access given to visitors” the day before attack.
Read 4 tweets
11 Jan
+US UPDATE+

A Fort Bragg US Army PsychOps officer - Captain Emily Rainey - has resigned after leading a group Trump supporters from North Carolina to Washington to storm the Capitol Building. Image
2/

This is deeply, deeply concerninging.

Even the best intepretation of her actions suggest something seriously wrong.
3/

Rainey was assigned to the 4th Psychological Operations Group at Fort Bragg.

The group uses information & misinformation to influence the emotions, decision-making & actions of adversaries.
Read 4 tweets
7 Jan
+UPDATE+

CNN reporting now that Donald Trump pressured VP Mike Pence to engineer a coup and threatened him with consequences if he didnt cooperate.

"Pence's family also threatened".
2/

This explains why the 25th Amnedment move to remove Donald Trump from power - while not probable yet - is a growing possibility.
3/

JUST IN

"Significant number of Democrats" now attempting to organise impeachment of Donald Trump.
Read 33 tweets

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