Share this page!

Stephen Wolf Profile picture
Twitter logo
14 Jan, 4 tweets, 2 min read
Really bad news for fair redistricting in Arizona, where GOP Gov. Ducey stacked the court commission that screens applicants for the redistricting commission by not appointing any Dems to the former, meaning a closeted Republican could get chosen as the redistricting tiebreaker
Arizona is the same state where, after the independent chair sided with Dems in 2011 to pass districts that gave neither party a sizable unfair advantage, GOP tried to fire the chair, & when that failed, tried to get SCOTUS to strike down the commission so they could gerrymander
Arizona's GOP Gov. Doug Ducey is the very same governor who packed the state Supreme Court in 2016 by adding 2 more seats & later manipulated the nominating commission so he could install another arch-conservative hardliner to cement far-right control slate.com/news-and-polit…
Problems with Arizona's redistricting commission are nothing new, & as @davedaley3 reported in his book, it was Dems who had supposedly swayed the independent tiebreaker in 2011. But despite bad-faith GOP outcry, the 2010s maps objectively do not give Dems an unfair advantage

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
　

Keep Current with Stephen Wolf

Stephen Wolf Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @PoliticsWolf

Stephen Wolf Profile picture
13 Jan
New York's Dem Senate has passed 9 bills to improve absentee mail voting & protect voting access. New York's election admin & voting access have long been a national embarrassment, so these reforms are long overdue. Dems have passed many reforms since 2019 cnycentral.com/news/local/nys… Image
New York state Senate Democrats have passed a same-day voter registration constitutional amendment after both chambers did so in 2019. Once the Assembly again follows suit, it would appear on the ballot this November alongside this fall's local elections nysenate.gov/newsroom/press…
NY Senate Dems passed a constitutional amendment that lowers the threshold for overriding the bipartisan redistricting commission from 2/3 to 3/5 & make it easier for Dems to gerrymander. However, Dems won 2/3 majorities in 2020, so it may be moot for 2022 nysenate.gov/legislation/bi…
Read 4 tweets
Stephen Wolf Profile picture
23 Nov 20
BIG news for 2020s redistricting: New York Dems gained the power to potentially control redistricting (if they can overcome internal divisions, which isn't a given).

But GOP nationally will still be able to draw roughly 40-50% of seats & Dems just 10-20% dailykos.com/story/2020/11/…
After 2010, Dem Gov. Cuomo signed NY GOP's Senate gerrymander to keep GOP in power so that they could block progressive bills without him making unpopular vetoes, & several turncoat Dems backed GOP control. Unclear if all Dems will back Dem gerrymander now dailykos.com/stories/2018/7…
I tend to think that New York Dems *will* be able to pass a congressional gerrymander to seek a partisan advantage (really just mitigating the GOP's national advantage), & their internal divisions complicate passing legislative gerrymanders more than at the federal level
Read 5 tweets
Stephen Wolf Profile picture
19 Nov 20
Michigan's state legislature has operated under GOP minority rule for practically the entire decade since their current gerrymanders went into effect, with Dems winning more votes but no majorities.

Trump keeps trying to get them to steal the election. Every R must condemn this
There's a good chance Michigan Dems won more votes than GOP for state House in 2020 but no majority once again. I'll update this table once the results are fully certified, & you can find the underlying data here taken from the secretary of state's website docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…
After a decade of GOP minority rule, Michigan will have a new independent redistricting commission drawing the districts after 2020. But the Supreme Court's hardline right-wing majority threatens to strike down such commissions that block GOP gerrymanders dailykos.com/story/2020/11/…
Read 4 tweets
Stephen Wolf Profile picture
18 Nov 20
This 1st map shows how GOP will be able to draw 4-5 times more congressional districts than Dems after 2020, ensuring the map is biased toward GOP via gerrymandering similarly to after 2010: dailykos.com/story/2020/11/…

2nd map shows partisan control over state-level election admin ImageImage
Almost no other democracy operates like America does by using partisan elections to decide who runs elections & draws the districts for electing lawmakers. It creates a massive conflict of interest, spawning efforts of gerrymandering, voter suppression, & outright election theft
Compelling idea for having the federal govt take over much of election administration under an independent agency insulated from partisan pressures like the Federal Reserve, etc. National admin of national elections is the norm among democracies, & GOP has corrupted many states
Read 4 tweets
Stephen Wolf Profile picture
17 Nov 20
Huge news for election in Alaska: The AP has called Measure 2 as passing by 1%.

AK will replace traditional party primaries with a system where all candidates regardless of party run on a single primary ballot & the top-four finishers advance to a ranked-choice general election
This has major implications for Alaska politics. While the GOP has nominal legislative majorities in both chambers, the last 4 years have seen Dems & moderate Rs in the state House govern as a bipartisan coalition, & this reform may make such coalitions easier to form after 2020
With Alaska passing the top-four primary/ranked-choice voting ballot measure, every major 2020 democracy measure has now seen a resolution.

We tracked the status of two dozen such measures nationally here: docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…

Background: dailykos.com/stories/2020/1…
Read 6 tweets
Stephen Wolf Profile picture
12 Nov 20
I firmly believe the Electoral College has become a 1-way ratchet against Dems, not because it inherently favors GOP, but because GOP won’t accept a popular vote win & EC loss. Trump urged “revolution” when he thought it happened in 2012.

It’s a time bomb abcnews.go.com/Politics/donal…
If Arizona, Georgia, & Texas keep trending blue while the Rust Belt outside Illinois trends red, the Electoral College could swing back to favoring Dems like it did from 2004-2012, making this disastrous outcome more likely.

Abolishing Electoral College is good for both parties
We're approaching point where GOP won't accept any Dem win but the biggest landslide (Trump is already trying to), putting our 2-party system in a very dangerous position. Our institutions are breaking down at multiple levels. We could have a contested election crisis this decade
Read 6 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!

This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

Like this author's thread?

Get emails when @PoliticsWolf has new unrolls!

Check out other threads from @PoliticsWolf!

Read all threads by @PoliticsWolf