SBF Profile picture
15 Jan, 8 tweets, 2 min read
1) @multicoincap sometimes gets shit for some of it's stances, e.g. backing EOS a few years ago. And it deserves that -- it was a bad call!

But it's made about 10 good calls for every bad call.

2) And sure, sometimes they're publicly and embarrassingly wrong.

That's the necessary price to pay for staking bold stances and publicly explaining why you think what you do.

If you can't think of a time someone was wrong, that means they aren't saying anything interesting.
3) I'm obviously biased here, because one of their recent positions has been in Solana and Serum.

But the 'win' column doesn't need to count those--they have enough in the Ethereum ecosystem to make up for them anyway.
4) I say all this because Multicoin feels different from most VCs.

Every call I've had with them, they've drilled into specifics and content and strategy, not fluff.

Sometimes I disagree with their positions but then we can talk about it, because they have falsifiable claims.
5) And if I can convince them that their claims are wrong, they'll change their mind.

And if I can't, sometimes I'll change mine.
6) They're not the only VC like this--we tend to gather around those that are.

But it's the exception, not the rule.
7) This isn't the only good type of VC. Some others will sometimes say:

"fuck it, idk what's going on with this product, but the team always does well and seems excited, so probably they're right; I'm in!"

But both are way better than the VC that just does the standard suite.

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More from @SBF_Alameda

12 Jan
1) The other crypto IPO
2) NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE
3) Yesterday I looked into Bakkt's SPAC.

It did not look very good.

idk maybe it'll be worth $10b soon because fuck everything.

Read 21 tweets
11 Jan
1) BAKKT is about to go public.

There are a number of "interesting" things in their deck.

sec.gov/Archives/edgar…
2) They're aiming for a $2b valuation. Where is that coming from?

Well, their 30m+ active users and $500m revenue, of course!*

(*2025 estimate)
3) wait, 2025 projections? Isn't that far away?

Sure, but when you invest, often you're investing in the future!

And, of course, you can paint a pretty compelling road towards 30m users based on their, uh...

Is that a 0?
Read 8 tweets
11 Jan
1) "The only secret is to begin"
2) NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.
3) I recently ready this interview with @moxie, the driving force behind @signalapp, and a quote jumped out at me:

‘The only secret is to begin.’ If you want to get good at something or do something, you just do it, and you figure it out along the way.

newyorker.com/magazine/2020/…
Read 22 tweets
7 Jan
1) It took me a long time to become at peace with FTT. Image
2) NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE
3) Well, at the beginning, I was fucking stoked.

A few weeks before I was grinding away on arbs.

All of a sudden, people I hadn't met were willing to pay me $6m for 15% of the tokens that got 33% of the revenue...

...from a project that didn't even exist those few weeks ago!
Read 32 tweets
4 Jan
Ok, can we talk about @coingecko's drop-down list for a second?
2) So, ok, ETH is Trending. Sure! It's the second largest coin and had a good few days.

And, ok, GRT isn't shocking.
3) And, OCTO, I mean, yeah, I see it on Twitter sometimes, so.... that's something?

And uh.... ok yeah so what exactly is "Swirge"?

Or Tixl?
Read 5 tweets
28 Dec 20
1) FTX lists lots of products.

How do we avoid clutter?
2) NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE
3) To some extent there *is* clutter.

But also we do things to reduce it.

The biggest is margin.
Read 7 tweets

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