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Tomi Ahonen, Croupier at Pardon Roulette Profile picture
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15 Jan, 7 tweets, 3 min read
I wrote an extended analysis of the end to Trumpism and the coming split of the GOP. If you want to read the threads, part 1 is here: the roots to the RACIST core of Trump supporters (Wallace legacy)

Part 2 discusses the Newt Gingrich mistake from the 1990s (yes this first Tweet talks of Sarah Palin, the thread is about Gingrich, read this before you read the Sarah Palin part in part 3)

Part 3 shows how the GOP suddenly turned to believe conspiracy theories, fronted by Sarah Palin

Thread number 4 covers Fox, how the Maga nation was built before even Trump started

Part 5 introduces my analogy: a cancer operation

Part 6 is about modern brainwashing via social media, Facebook, Cambridge Analytica etc

And the last part, Part 7, shows how Trump took all that above, and made it worse, in his short term as President. Leaving a massive mess that results in the GOP splitting apart

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More from @tomiahonen

Tomi Ahonen, Croupier at Pardon Roulette Profile picture
17 Jan
Let's talk about Pardons

We DON'T want Trump to pardon ANYONE in the current administration or Senate, House, other GOP or NRA or Fox etc. The more Trump pardons the more messy will be the investigations & trials & punishment to follow

BUT Trump WILL PARDON HIMSELF & his kids
This thread is not about 'what we want' Trump to do. It's about what Trump MIGHT actually do. Don't waste your breath responding that you want no pardons or you want the pardons revoked or whatnot

Trump is President, regardless of his Impeachments, he CAN PARDON whoever he wants
Trump can ONLY pardon for FEDERAL CRIMES. Even in those cases, the pardoned WILL BE LIABLE for CIVIL lawsuits.

And Presidential pardons do not absolve legal responsibility from STATE crimes. For example, most who participated in DC riots committed both FEDERAL and STATE crimes
Read 22 tweets
Tomi Ahonen, Croupier at Pardon Roulette Profile picture
16 Jan
This is the last weekend of the Trump Administration

We are likely to see protests - possibly riots - in various State capitals & possibly DC. They will be REMARKABLY MUTED compared to what the terrorists had hoped for

I am not saying there won't be violence. I say we will win
A key element to a successful terrorist event is surprise. That has been now lost to the wannabe terrorists.

The ability to organize has been disrupted (Twitter, Facebook, Parler etc)

Trump's voice is missing. He fears legal ramifications and issues hostage videos
The LEADERS of the insurrection are in disarray. Many went to the Capitol Riots on 6 January. They're all now being visited by the FBI. 275 already identified, near 100 have already criminal charges. Some worst will be in custody

The leadership of this weekend riots is in chaos
Read 5 tweets
Tomi Ahonen, Croupier at Pardon Roulette Profile picture
15 Jan
Thead 7 How Trump Made Everything Worse

Trump is like career kryptonite - anything Trump touches, dies.

The GOP made politically suicidal decisions that painted them into a corner, in the decades before Trump. When they noticed they had a cancer, they started smoking instead Image
During the President's first term - EVERY previous President appealed to the middle. This typically frustrates the extreme base, but it helps the incumbent President win re-election (which nearly always happened).

Trump did not. He ONLY appealed to his base
Because Trump ONLY appealed to his base, and did not even TRY to work the middle - it helped drive the big 2018 mid-term win (which DEMs would have won anyway, but Trump made that GOP loss far worse than it should have been).
Read 17 tweets
Tomi Ahonen, Croupier at Pardon Roulette Profile picture
15 Jan
Thread 6: Brainwashing by Bannon

I mean literally brainwashing. Please see psychological and sociological theories. I mean literally building a cult - that CANNOT FIND THE TRUTH

It is like the Branch Davidians (mass suicide)

Steve Bannon built this cult for Trump
I mean literally brainwashing. MOST OF YOU have relatives or friends who are inside the cult. They cannot be reasoned with. They cannot find the truth. They believe in their brainwashing.

PERFECTLY SANE even intelligent people can be brainwashed. It is not 'stupidity'
Yes MANY of the Trump #cult45 are gullible and some are mentally simple, many are lowly educated. BUT plenty of smart, educated, successful people have fallen into the cult - and like any cult - they cannot get out.

They cannot find the truth.
Read 10 tweets
Tomi Ahonen, Croupier at Pardon Roulette Profile picture
15 Jan
Thread 5: The Sick Puppy

Now we get the analogy. Cancer.

If you learn from the doctor, that you have cancer, that is spreading that cannot be stopped, but must be cut out, the sane thing is to cut out as soon as possible, to remove as little as possible? Right?
I showed you, that the GOP accepted racists into their midst (Wallace). Then they made deliberate decision to abandon fighting for the political center, and embrace extremist views (Newt). Then GOP fell in love with conspiracy theories (Sarah Palin) and locked into a cult (Fox)
All this makes the current GOP a FRINGE party, a natural MINORITY party that cannot win general elections and only can win those elections where the race is artificially in their favor (gerrymandering) or cheating (voter suppression etc).
Read 8 tweets
Tomi Ahonen, Croupier at Pardon Roulette Profile picture
15 Jan
Thread 4: Donald Trump Did Not Invent Trumpism

It was Fox. Fox created a Maga Nation (without that name) and promised their maga god Messiah would come some day. In 2015 when Trump came down that escallator, FOX proclaimed Trump as their dude

Trump didn't even know the lyrics
Fox News was born after Reagan ended the Fairness Doctrine in TV news broadcasts.

Fox was set up from the start to be a PROPAGANDA channel. To give PARTIAL and BIASED news. Not the full picture. They brainwashed 1/3 of American electorate over 3 decades

#FixFox
Long before Trump decided to run, Fox had been building a voter base for an ultra-conservative (and racist) candidate. Who would 'defend America in a war against Christmas' and who would 'build a wall' to keep brown people away etc. A cult of white men who feared a changing world
Read 12 tweets

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