Quite a few people seem to misunderstand my point here. Let me clarify:

If you're an elected politician, let alone a former leader of a party, you should not endorse and amplify sentiments which frame your defeat by other elected politician in the language of coup & conspiracy
I don't particularly care about what Margolyes herself has to say, she's a private citizen she's free to take nonsensical position. It is Leanne Wood's endorsement I find troubling. Language *matters*. Respect for democratic outcomes *matters*. 2/?
"Miriam Margoyles is right" to say "There has been a right wing coup in this country."
That involves either bankrupting the meaning of the term coup (leaving you unable to use it correctly in future) or genuinely believing successive Con election victories amount to a "coup"
The latter is even worse, as it implies a withdrawal of consent for the legitimacy of the government, and the processes which put them in power. No, it does not mean "I am critical of the govt" as many ppl seem to think. It means "the govt came to power in an illegitimate way."
That is what "coup" *means* - "a sudden, violent and illegitimate seizure of power"
If someone says "there has been a right wing coup in this country" they are saying, clear as day "the government is illiegitimate." Words have meanings. Those meanings matter.
To reiterate, if minor celebrities want to utter stupid opinion, that's annoying but nothing I would concern myself with.
When the former leader of a political party in this country say "I agree that the current government is illegitimate", that is something quite different.
The stability of dmeocracy requires a certain minimal willingness to accept the outcomes of the processes it uses to generate governments.
It is consequential, and worrying if signifiant figures in the political class signal a withdrawal of such acceptance.
Such withdrawal should not be signalled lightly. If Leanne Wood believes the current government is illegitimate she should spell out why. Unlike Margolyes, she has a responsibility to tell the citizens who elected her what she means. Or she should withdraw it.
I hope that clarifies what I meant in my previous statements. I did *not* mean:
1. "I think the current government is great"
2. "I think our current electoral system is perfect"
3. "I think the way we conduct elections now is perfect"
I simply think the language politicians use matters, and they should avoid conspiratorial or militaristic language unless they have very strong cause for it. Not least because liberal democracy is valuable, and fragile.
"But what if its a metaphor?" Well, the problem is, as we have seen amply demonstrated recently, there are plenty of people out there who will take it literally. That's why those in prominent political positions need to take care which metaphors they use or endorse.

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More from @robfordmancs

18 Jan
Excellent analysis as per usual from Stephen. One idea he raises here which I think is really worth pondering is that welfare cuts for 2020s Cons could become like immigration for 2000s/2010s Labour: an issue they can neither dismiss, tackle or find a way to avoid"
And for symmetrical reasons. For Labour, immigration controls were a policy the voters they were targeting strongly favoured, but that their MPs, activists and media supporters loathed.
Big welfare increases are like that for Cons now - the voters they've targeted and successfully won over in the "red wall" etc favour a stronger safety net. But many MPs, traditional activists, and Con media hate the idea.
Read 6 tweets
16 Jan
Netscape Navigator and AOL chat rooms. And MiniDisc.
Also the NeoGeo - a console of the same era as the Megadrive and SNES but twice as powerful but ten times as expensive. The games looked as good as the arcade games of the time but cost the equivalent of like £200 each in today’s money
I used to go to the local video game store just to gawk at the NeoGeo demo cabinet
Read 5 tweets
5 Jan
I think Today producers, editors and presenters have some serious questions to answer about why they have today invited a discredited scientist with a repeated track record of making falsely dismissive claims on COVID threat to offer her views to the nation this morning
We know things are as bad as they have ever been. We know that ensuring compliance with yet another lockdown will be incredibly hard. How is it "public service journalism" to put on national radio crackpots selling people pie in the sky about how the threat is exaggerated?
There are literally thousands of scientists who could talk to citizens about the current pandemic situation. It is not "balance" to pick one with a demonstrated recent track record of getting things completely wrong. It is irresponsible.
Read 19 tweets
3 Jan
The cost-benefit on "shutting things with a vaccine literally being rolled out" is not the same as the cost-benefit on "shutting things with no idea when a vaccine will come, if ever." Can we please stop pretending the policy debate now is the same as then?
In the early stages of COVID, there was a reasonable arg to make that cases averted at very high cost were just cases delayed. The benefits of delay were therefore uncertain, reflecting our uncertainty about how treatments would evolve. That is no longer true.
For every infection in a high risk group which we avert in the next month or so, there is a high probability that said infection is then averted *forever* because the high risk indiv gets vaccinated. Therefore, restrictions have both a clear & obvious benefit and end point.
Read 6 tweets
31 Dec 20
One lesson, at least for British politics, of the cursed year we are about to wave goodbye to is that the political agenda can shift very rapidly in response to unexpected events. We have spent a year discussing things we didn't even have words for on NYE 2019.
COVID-19, social distancing, R numbers, tiers, furloughs, a whole lexicon spawned by a virus whose existence we were barely aware of a year ago. 2021 begins with a different puzzle: what happens when an issue which has dominated the agenda suddenly disappears?
While nothing is ever certain, the vaccine rollout and the completion of the UK-EU trade deal make it highly *likely* that the second half of 2021 will be the first extended period of time since perhaps 2014 (if not earlier) where politics is not dominated by Brexit or COVID.
Read 11 tweets
31 Dec 20
If you see people citing the "one dose of the Pfizer vaccine is only 52% effective" claim, refer to this thread. The claim, like so many panicky claims this year, is based on poor understanding/ contextualisation of the statistical analysis it is plucked from.
A more accurate figure for efficacy, from the same trials, and based on examining only the period after a full immune response has developed, is 86%.
As high profile journalists have also, once again, been citing this statistic without doing the 10 minutes or so of reading needed to understand what is wrong with it, I will reiterate my plea for compulsory statistics training for journalists.
Read 6 tweets

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