Very important piece by Kurt Campbell and Rush Joshi, who will be driving Asia strategy on Biden's NSC: foreignaffairs.com/articles/unite….
“A strategy for the Indo-Pacific today" should be based on 3 lessons from post-Napoleonic Europe: "the need for a balance of power; the need for an order that the region’s states recognize as legitimate; and the need for a ... coalition to address China’s challenge to both."
“The way Beijing has pursued [its] goals—South China Sea island building, East China Sea incursions, conflict with India, threats to invade Taiwan, and internal repression in Hong Kong and Xinjiang—undermines important precepts of the established regional system."
“the US needs to make a conscious effort to deter Chinese adventurism. … This means investing in long-range conventional cruise and ballistic missiles, unmanned carrier-based strike aircraft and underwater vehicles, guided-missile submarines, and high-speed strike weapons."
"It also needs to work with other states to disperse US forces across Southeast Asia and the Indian Ocean, ... to reshore sensitive industries and pursue a ‘managed decoupling’ from China, [and] to design penalties if China decides to take steps that threaten the larger order."

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Niall Ferguson

Niall Ferguson Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @nfergus

9 Jan
More than two years ago, I warned of "the tendency of the network platforms to respond to public criticism by restricting free speech by modifying their terms of service and the guidelines they issue to their ... content monitors." hoover.org/research/what-…
Those unthinkingly applauding the latest actions by @Facebook, @Twitter and @Google should at least read the following paragraph:
I have read intelligent defenses of the cancellation of Trump by @mmasnick techdirt.com/articles/20210… and @benthompson: stratechery.com/2021/trump-and…
Read 4 tweets
6 Jan
Today's scenes in the Capitol are a disgrace. The organizers and perpetrators of this banana republic coup attempt must be prosecuted and punished. Any politician who does not unequivocally condemn what happened should have no future in democratic politics.
Hard questions must be asked about the role of the Capitol police. Was this just ineptitude? A grave danger in a situation such as this arises if the police have been politicized to the point of sympathizing with the mob.
There is a strong temptation at this point to say that I was wrong and that this really is Weimar America, after all: bloomberg.com/opinion/articl…
Read 7 tweets
30 Dec 20
Must-read instant history of the pandemic by @lawrence_wright: newyorker.com/magazine/2021/…
The quote that sticks with me is from Matt Pottinger on "the fading art of leadership.” It’s not a failure of one party or another; it’s more of a generational decline of good judgment.
“The élites think it’s all about expertise,” he said. It’s important to have experts, but they aren’t always right: they can be “hampered by their own orthodoxies, their own egos, their own narrow approach to the world.”
Read 6 tweets
30 Nov 20
We are living through a monetary revolution so multifaceted that few of us comprehend its full extent. And Bitcoin is winning it: bloomberg.com/opinion/articl…
This article also contains, to my knowledge, the first reference in financial journalism to @Doug_D_Stuart's brilliant, Booker-winning novel "Shuggie Bain," which everyone should read. bloomberg.com/opinion/articl…
The crux of the argument is that Bitcoin is not only scarce but (as Wences Casares argues) sovereign. “No one can change a transaction in the Bitcoin blockchain and no one can keep the Bitcoin blockchain from accepting new transactions.” bloomberg.com/opinion/articl…
Read 4 tweets
11 Nov 20
Each Remembrance Day / Veterans Day takes us another step away from the events of November 11, 1918; each generation finds it a little bit harder to imagine what it was like to be caught up, as my grandfather John Ferguson was, in what came to be the First World War. Image
This year's pandemic has reminded us that the "Spanish" influenza of 1918-19 was a key part of the war's ghastly culmination. It may have originated in a US army base (Fort Riley, Kansas, the site of Camp Funston) but it soon spread throughout the world, killing 40-50 m. people.
Writing The Pity of War more than 20 years ago, I was intrigued by the possibility that the war had not only caused the war, by facilitating its spread via camps and troop ships, but had also helped to end it, by contributing to the German collapse.
Read 6 tweets
8 Jul 20
While I am on the subject of free speech, it's worth reading the deranged attempt to "cancel" @sapinker signed by 575 members of "The Linguistics Community" and sent to the Linguistic Society of America: docs.google.com/document/u/1/d…
At first I thought this was a parody. But no. The letter - demanding that Pinker be removed from the LSA's list of distinguished academic fellows because of six old tweets - exemplifies the toxic mentality that is so widespread in universities today.
The best rebuttal is here whyevolutionistrue.com/2020/07/05/the… but there are links to others here: motherjones.com/recharge/2020/…
Read 4 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!