So I wrote about 500 words on the current state of QAnon.
I also didn't really write it for Twitter, so pardon the occasional awkward formatting.
1/
tl;dr QAnon was quarantined off of mainstream social media with moderate success, but has relocated their community onto platforms already used by extremist groups. While QAnon’s ability to recruit has been curtailed, believers are now in danger of being recruited themselves.
2/
As you may or may not know, QAnon was finally and dramatically purged from Twitter and Facebook after the January 6th insurrection. This came many months too late—years, really—but it happened.
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Have you guessed the reason that the Q promoters who are still talking have all started saying "with all this happening, can you imagine what the next few days will be like?"
It's because they know if they can keep you through the next few days, they can keep you forever.
ET has already stepped it up to "just give me the next few MONTHS"
You know what was *actually* inevitable, ET? You pushing back the date that The Storm will arrive.
Thanks for reading ET, remember to like and subscribe
I'm not really going to go into it because I'm finally back on a good sleep schedule, but today's lack of violence was both pleasing and unsurprising.
It's mostly a product of the 80%/20% rule, also sometimes called the Pareto principle.
You've heard this before, I would guess: 80% of X is caused by 20% of Y. Like, 80% of the posts are made by 20% of the accounts, 80% of sales are generated by 20% of the clients.
Regardless of what you might think, I think the 80%/20% rule also applies to the insurrection, though it's a bit twisted up by things like incitement and mob mentality and etc.
They got some background stuff wrong, but (so far) most of their foundational info seems okay. 2/
The second part I'm now reading is most about showing the efficacy of the programs they've used to analyze the stylometry of the Drops. The program was designed to match known and unknown writing samples, so this isn't a perfect tool for this job and they seem to know that. 3/
I'm going to get back to doing what I'm doing in a minute, but.
If you think anyone can uncover everything they need to know to explain QAnon in 2 weeks without starting at a conclusion and working backwards, you're indulging in a fantasy that plays to what you want to hear.
What I'm saying is that if you look at a result, and then try to construct a theory of its origin by using that result as evidence, you run the risk of giving people magic powers.
You end up arguing that Coca-Cola made New Coke bad on purpose to get people to buy Coke Classic.
For the record, I find many theories about present-day QAnon to be highly likely. If you've been around with me, I have advocated for many of these theories myself.
But then to say, "clearly it was ALWAYS designed to achieve these results" is magical thinking.