1/ The Education Select Committee meeting this week relied on 4 witnesses depending on limited sources to justify the DfE current policies and they will try to use these to justify not improving safety measures in the future

Full look at the meeting here
2/ Stock phrase answers used in the meeting and regularly repeated in the media

"Teachers at no greater risk than other workers"
"Community transmission"
"No evidence that..."
"Low transmission"
"Appropriate measures in place"
"Balance of risk"

These statements need examining
3/"Teachers at no greater risk"
First of all this ignores support staff and those based in the classroom like TAs do appear to be at greater risk than teachers.

This phrase is a quote from an ONS report done on risk in the workplace, many issues have been raised about the report
4/ Complaints were lodged with the regulator regarding some of the methodology and how it was represented.

UK Statistics Authority has now responded again on this report, also the report covers a period before the new strain took off.

5/ When international comparisons are made to show education workers are at no greater risk many in media do not point out that the UK government's approach to schools and covid is an outlier.
Still no masks in classrooms, despite a more infectious and now more deadly strain
6/ Quite tricky to calculate risk to education workers in the UK,data is limited,FOIs are being told data isn't available, government won't even tell us how many have died. Aound 150 died up to June, nothing since then, but I think we will finally get new ONS report at some point
7/ NEU analysis of data this week shows greater risk, I appreciate better data is needed for a more accurate picture, why doesn't the government release it.

If they had proof they were right they'd publish it, I'd love something solid to ease my concerns
schoolsweek.co.uk/fact-check-are…
8/ Looking at local data obtained from a few councils also shows greater risk of infection in those areas.
tes.com/news/exclusive…
9/ Early Years Alliance have just done a survey, the number of infections in Early Years since start of December, doesn't look safe to me

10/ PHE shows cases still rising quickly for children in fully open nurseries while we arent seeing the same growth in older students as we did I December now there are less students in buildings Image
11/ Latest PHE data shows the drop in outbreaks in secondary, a reduction but still considerable number in primary while fully open Special schools and Nurseries are cause for alarm Image
12/ ONS positivity surveillance data by age Image
13/ I find it difficult to believe that infections in students are mainly in the community when cases rise when schools are open, slow during half term, and now looking at age groups seem to be linked to number of students attending

Last term. Image
14/ So government says no evidence of greater risk using a questional report, dismisses the data that appears to show risk but hasn't provided enough data, so there's no evidence to prove we aren't at greater risk either.
Should have data to answer this but aren't releasing it
15/ ONS prevalence report, had some interesting findings, children are considerably more likely to bring infections into the household than other family members.

Doesn't really match the "low transmission" the Education Select Committee witnesses claimed
16/ Looking at this the claims of no greater risk, low transmission, community transmission not school transmission, all seem to be phrases based on technicalities not reality, hiding behind a defence of no or unclear evidence.
17/ When they talk of risk it also appears that they are using a narrow definition of risk.

Long Covid is never mentioned by government when schools are discussed, for staff or students.

@long_recovery are worth checking out Image
18/ I worry that the government choosing to have a tolerable level of infection and then repeatedly reacting too slowly could be creating a longer term health problem that could impact people and the NHS for years
19/ We really don't understand yet what we are dealing with when it comes to Long Covid so how can the government comfortably claim they know risk is low?

20/ And most of this thread hasn't taken into account the new strain, if its more deadly will it also cause more long covid.
Across the pond many accept transmission in schools is real.

21/ Really does feel like the government and its client media are engaging in a historic level of gaslighting when it comes to safety in schools.

For more details on the ONS report the government is betting all its money on ⬇️
22/ A brief summary of gaslighting during the Autumn term
23/23

But its predictable when a governmentappears to put the opinions of lobbyists above scientists in the midst of a pandemic.

bylinetimes.com/2021/01/21/par…
24/ Couple of extra bits worth a read

Children are under tested in most countries compared to the rest of the population, data on children can be less reliable.

26/ Ontario shows student infections outstripping other age groups Image
27/ Fascinating interview here from Germany

Was a mistake to think schools wouldn't have a role in transmission, the data from the UK is unequivocal, real questions regarding how disinformation on schools spread.

spiegel.de/international/…
28/ Kevin and Mary's letter to Whitty and Halfon regarding the Education Select Committee ImageImage

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More from @karamballes

24 Jan
1/ 🧵Gaslighting🧵 24/1/21

Dail Mail annoyed a lot of people with its teacher bashing today.
Also misrepresents the unions saying we are telling members not to do live lessons, NEU recently set up a hub where people can share best practice and resources.
2/ Seemed like a large part of the article was designed to make out as if many teachers aren't trying to provide quality education in difficult circumstances.

Also noted the picture shows he's using a premade resource, no issue with the resource but feels like he's over selling
3/ NEU Remote Education Hub
neu.org.uk/remote-educati…
Read 19 tweets
19 Jan
1/ Thread: Today @halfon4harlowMP chaired the Education Committee meeting on the science behind schools being included in lockdown.
It was supposed to look at the evidence behind the decision.

Full notes of the meeting are here⬇️
2/ I was worried the moment the witnesses were announced, no epidemiologists, no virologists, just the same people who have consistently claimed transmission in schools is low and there is no greater risk to education workers.

3/I was expecting the same stock answers from a limited range of older studies and a lack of acknowledgement of the incredible difficult and unsustainable conditions we faced in December.

I wasn't disappointed as it opened with the phrase "A balance of risks"
Read 28 tweets
15 Jan
1/ Line up of witnesses by @CommonsEd on the science of school closures is very questionable.

All four have downplayed transmission, risk to workers and stuck to backing up the government narrative that schools are safe.

Where are SAGE and NERVTAG representatives?
#edutwitter
2/ Viner:
Late September he explained away disruption in schools as due to too many children being tested, said this was because they were getting tests for other symptoms.
This wasn't the case still tests for 3 main symptoms and there are concerns around this being too narrow
3/ "Misplaced and unscientific concerns about transmission in schools"

Full article here
amp.theguardian.com/society/2020/s…
Read 11 tweets
14 Jan
1/ The day mass testing in schools was announced I started raising concerns.

The government knew this wasn't an appropriate use and was actually dangerous, we know they'd been warned about this, yet they decided to continue

amp.theguardian.com/world/2021/jan…
2/ SAGE NERVTAG said no
The manufacturer said no
The regulator said no
NHS said no to this as a replacement to isolation
Experts working in testing said no

So why did the DfE say yes?
3/ Original thread here.
This was more PR exercise rather than PH initiative.

DfE prioritised reducing isolation in exchange for increasing the risk of isolation.

Some really twisted logic going on here, whats the thought process going on behind this?
Read 30 tweets
10 Jan
1/ Thread:On request, a quick look at Independent SAGE's A Safe Schools Plan

This is an update on the urgent report on safer schools to take into account the current lockdown

independentsage.org/a-safe-schools…
2/ Due to transmission in schools spreading into communities it was essential for schools to be included in the lockdown in order to protect NHS and save lives.
3/ A National Education Task Group involving all stake holders should be set up to look at the following points
Read 12 tweets
1 Jan
1/ Thread: Remember Sunak saying recently once 15m people are vaccinated we can just open up and pretty much get back to normal?

Its the latest iteration of GBD, protect vulnerable, everyone else just carry on , forget about long covid and many CEV,CV not vaccinated yet.
2/ This is why they are scrapping the vaccine second dose, to get up to that 15m as fast as possible, of course there's also panic about rising rates but if they were that concerned about cutting transmission they wouldn't be planning 30 kids in classrooms without mask next week
3/ While a logical argument can be made about giving as many people the first dose as possible, it seems the move has alarmed many in the medical and scientific community.

It is a sudden change of strategy, first to suggest it was Tony Blair and that was met with derision.
Read 26 tweets

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