I understand PHE and other UK health bodies have been investigating new potential mutations in different parts of the UK and adopting extensive contact tracing where they have arisen. I'm told these mutations were discussed by NERVTAG at their most recent meeting.
One (based in Liverpool) contains the mutation (E484K) common in the South Africa/Brazil strains (it's not believed to have been imported but instead developed here). We're not talking about a huge number but instead a few dozen cases based in one hospital.
Nothing to be hugely worried about at the moment but a reminder as one scientist put it to me, that this "could be the year of the variant." The virus is under a lot of selection pressure and big challenge could be to stay ahead of it, especially with regard to vaccines.
PHE told me: "We are currently investigating a cluster of cases in Liverpool of COVID-19. All cases are linked, and further genome testing and public health investigations are underway."
"The best way to stop the spread of the virus is to follow the basic measures – wash our hands, wear a face covering and keep our distance from others. Whilst in lockdown, it is important that we also stay at home where possible."
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NEW: PM confirms that as well being more infectious "there is now some evidence" to suggest that the new variant may also be more deadly.
Though this is a change to the data, it potentially makes the decision not to lock down everywhere before Christmas (and to allow some relaxation) all the more problematic and the questions in the thread below all the more acute.
-no change in age distribution
-with the old variant males in their sixties of a 1000 people 10 would be expected to die
-with new variant, that would increase to 13 or 14
Still a great deal of uncertainty. Needs to be treated with caution.
Biden announces new regulations on incoming United States travel. Incoming travellers will have to have had a negative test before travel and quarantine upon arrival.
Biden: "You're going to hear a lot more from Dr. Fauci again. From the real experts. Not from the President."
Biden: "We will level with you when we make a mistake. We'll be straight with you from the outset."
Firstly hardly a unique insight but hard to overstimate the difference between the two last inaugurals. America has meandered sharply along its political arc.
Biden's rhetoric reached high. Every sentence seemed purposefully...
...constructed to negate every political and personal characteristic of his predecessor.
And insofar as he's not Trump, that he does accept, cherish and understand democratic norms, institutions and conventions in a way that Trump never could, Biden will make a real difference.
He will change the tone and tenor of politics, not only in America but across the West. As I've said before, just replacing Trump is a substantial victory for him and will earn him praise from historians.
But that aura will disappear quickly. A governing project it will not make
BREAK: Joe Biden is inaugurated as the 46th President of the United States.
The Trump administration is over.
Technically another 9 mins to go for the official handover. But it’s a formality.
Biden: "This is America's day. This is democracy's day. A day of history and hope....Today we triumph not of a candidate but of a cause. The cause of democracy. The people, the will of the people has been heard. And the will of the people has been heeded."
BREAK: UK reports 1610 Covid deaths within the last 24 hours- that is people dying within 28 days of taking a test. That’s the largest number we’ve seen since the start of the pandemic.
Prof Andrew Hayward (on SAGE) tells @BBCPM that he thinks deaths won’t fall substantially for weeks yet, partly due the to the fact infections are falling amongst the old more slowly than amongst the young: “We have one of the worst coronavirus problems in the world right now.”
With over 90,000 official Covid deaths, roughly 1 in 720 in the UK have died of the in the pandemic. That figure will likely be an underestimate. We're almost certainly not at the peak of deaths either.
Now the UK may itself be unattractive for visiting musicians and for touring.
In this regard, music may be a microcosm for other parts of the economy. That the cost/time to do business in Britain vs other EU states slowly more uncompetitive vs other European economies.
Interesting first example I've heard of a Conservative minister using Labour's backing of the deal against them when scrutinising Brexit. Dineage says: "Labour voted for this deal in the knowledge of what it involved, including the end of free movement."
Dineage comes back to priority being Freedom of Movement: "Their proposals would have enshrined permanent visa free short stays for EU citizens in the agreement. That's simply not compatible with our manifesto to take back control of our borders."