Minnesota reported 21 #COVID19 deaths today. That’s the lowest figure on a Friday since the 18 reported on Oct. 30. Just two Fridays ago, Minnesota reported 48 #COVID19 deaths.
Cases and positivity rate have also been trending down:
It looks like #COVID19 ICU admissions in Minnesota might have bottomed out at around 10 per day. That’s about where Minnesota was at for about 4 months earlier this year, from early June through late September.
The number of new #COVID19 vaccine doses administered was at least higher than the last few dismal days, but it’s basically flat week-over-week. No sign of taking off.
We now have most 2020 mortality data (some still trickling in), and the picture is clear: 2020 had FAR more deaths (all-cause) in Minnesota than any recent year:
This holds true if you adjust for population growth, by the way. (The annual increase is due to an aging population, since I haven’t adjusted for age structure.)
If you plot out the data week-by-week, Minnesota’s spikes in all-cause death match up nearly perfectly with the spikes in reported #COVID19 deaths:

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More from @dhmontgomery

21 Jan
As of today, Minnesota has reported more than 6,000 #COVID19 deaths.
Tomorrow, January will probably pass May as Minnesota's third-deadliest month of the pandemic so far. But we’ve fallen behind the pace of deaths in November (when deaths were rising, not falling as they are now):
Minnesota has averaged about 28 #COVID19 deaths per day over the past week. That compares to an average of 35 deaths/day last Thursday.

For context, on Nov. 1, MN was averaging 18 COVID deaths/day. On Oct. 1, 9/day.
Read 11 tweets
20 Jan
Alright, America has a new president, but #COVID19 stats keep on coming, and so do the graphs.
Minnesota reported 34 additional #COVID19 deaths today. That’s down from 50 last Wednesday (but possibly is nudged down by the holiday Monday). The 7-day average is down to 29 deaths per day — the first time Minnesota has averaged fewer than 30 COVID deaths per day since Nov. 10. Image
An extra 1,237 newly reported cases is down from 1,504 last Wednesday. The 7-day average is down to 1,324 cases per day, the lowest since Oct. 15. Image
Read 7 tweets
20 Jan
A majority of you quickly settled on one of two names: Johnson and Clinton. Those are the two front-runners… but JOHNSON is the winner here. There have been 5 people named Johnson to receive Electoral College votes.

Explanation in the replies.
Remember, VPs get Electoral Votes, too.

- Richard Mentor Johnson, VP candidate in 1836 & 1840 (the 2nd was an odd one)
- Herschel Vespasian Johnson, Stephen Douglas’s 1860 running mate.
- Andrew Johnson, 1864
- Hiram Johnson, TR’s 1912 “Bull Moose” running mate
- Lyndon Johnson
There have to date been FOUR Clintons to receive electoral votes:

- George Clinton (got VP electoral votes in 1788, 1792, 1796, 1804, & 1808, & pres votes too in 1808)
- His nephew DeWitt Clinton, the federalist nominee in 1812
- Bill Clinton
- Hillary Clinton
Read 18 tweets
20 Jan
TRIVIA: Two people with the last name “Roosevelt” have received electoral college votes, one of 20 such last names with multiple electoral vote recipients.

What last name has the MOST individuals bearing it who have received electoral votes?
A follow-up question: there are FIVE last names born by three or more individuals to receive Electoral College votes. (Another 15, like Roosevelt, have received two.) What are these five names?
I’ll announce the answer in 10 minutes, so get your guesses in now!
Read 4 tweets
18 Jan
Reading HW Brands’ “The Zealot & The Emancipator,” I was struck by a good way to analogize Lincoln’s famous lack of political experience — a single, decade-old term in Congress, and a few even older terms in the state legislature, before an unsuccessful bid for U.S. Senate. 1/
2/ It’s not that Lincoln was an outsider, like Zachary Taylor, elected president on the basis of his war heroism despite having never served in any prior political office and indeed never really expressing any political beliefs. Lincoln was intensely involved in IL politics.
3/ No, Abraham Lincoln in the 1850s was the 19th Century equivalent of a modern cable news commentator.
Read 15 tweets
18 Jan
This piece gets at an element of the ongoing debate over whether certain terms — “lie,” “coup,” “fascist,” “socialist” — should be applied today. The two sides are sort of talking past each other, with some people focusing on LOGICAL definitions & others on EMOTIONAL ones.
One person says, “Well, I define [Term X] as [definition], and event A, while terrible, doesn’t fit that definition. Rather, we should use [alternative technical term].”

Others basically argue, “Stop quibbling! This is bad, let’s use the term that conveys how bad it is!”
People using “emotional definitions” don’t want to use a dry technical term to describe something or someone they dislike. They want to use a term with a powerful (negative) emotional valence, to capture the proper attitude to the target.
Read 4 tweets

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