Short version of this argument: "But won't the GOP do a lot of damage after they win in 2022 or beyond??"
This is the anti-reform argument I hear most often, including sometimes from progressives. So I take it seriously, but don't find it persuasive for 2 reasons:
1st counter argument) McConnell + GOP have packed the courts, gutted the voting rights act, & blocked all democracy reforms. Of COURSE they're on a path to winning power again.
To fix this, we need to pass HR 1, the John Lewis Voting Rights Act, DC Statehood, and court reform.
McConnell calls those bills "socialism" and a "power grab." He will filibuster them all because they threaten his power.
By eliminating the filibuster, Democrats can pass these reforms. That's good for democracy and reduces the pro-McConnell bias in the system.
2nd counter-argument) But still, what if GOP wins a trifecta again in the future? Won't they enact their bad agenda?
Two responses to this, one philosophical and one based in McConnell's cold hard power politics.
First, yes, in a post-democracy reform world, the GOP very well may win a majority again. But they will have won that majority is world with protected and expanded voting rights, DC statehood, secure election, and campaign finance reform.
ANY political party that builds a governing majority in that environment SHOULD be able to enact its agenda. That's democracy, folks.
If you're a progressive, you shouldn't dream of gridlock. You should dream of functioning government held accountable by free and fair elections.
But let's put aside that high-minded democracy argument. We're talking about MCCONNELL here. Make no mistake he will gut the legislative filibuster as soon as it stands in his way. He gutted the filibuster twice under Trump to pack the courts.
McConnell didn't need to end the legislative filibuster to accomplish his top legislative goals under Trump - tax cuts for his donors. He did that through reconciliation with 50 votes. When his goals change, his stance on the filibuster will too.
If you think McConnell will stand with precedent even when that gets in his way, I just don't know what to say. Oh, I guess I'll say "Merrick Garland." And I'll say "Amy Coney Barrett."
Ok, that's it. In short I think @AaronBlake makes a reasonable but unconvincing argument. Dems should use their power while they have it to pass structural reforms that strengthen our democracy - regardless of what McConnell says now or what they fear he might do in the future.
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Absolute must read. The GOP is on track to gerrymander themselves into a House majority next year. Trump is on track to be reelected with a trifecta after that. If you want to avery that catastrophe, Dems have pass democracy reforms NOW.
Unfriendly reminder that Mitch used his GOP votes to gut the filibuster twice when Trump was president - once to expedite nominees and once to install reactionary conservatives on the Supreme Court.
Literally lesson #1 from the new Indivisible guide:
***Expect the GOP to obstruct, delay, and engage in bad faith BS***
Get ready to shift how you think about congress. (quick thread bc Zeke’s asleep)...
For 10 years, it was a safe bet that congress would accomplish nothing. Congress was defined by dysfunction, gridlock, or outright white plutocracy under Trump.
But there’s a Dem trifecta for the first time in a decade now, so it's time to make new bets- and make them fast.
Usually congress moves slowly or not at all. Historically though, when a Dem trifecta comes, there is a brief window of opportunity - usually measured in months, not years - where legislative progress suddenly speeds up.
Hoover got 40% of the vote for his reelection in 1932. Here he is with massive crowds at a campaign rally a week before the election. I note this for 3 reasons:
1) We remember Hoover as a historic loser, and 1932 as FDR's landslide. But 4 in 10 voters chose Hoover. Millions upon millions of Americans enthusiastically supported his reelection.
2) While there are many things not-normal about Trump, the fact that he draws crowds at his reelection rallies is not one of them. Incumbent presidents, regardless of how disastrous, draw crowds!
Last year, Leah & I wrote a book subtitled, "A Blueprint for Democracy After Trump." The plan: 1) Win a trifecta 2) End the filibuster 3) Pass democracy reform, Voting Rights Act, DC statehood, self-determination for territories 4) Reform the courts goodreads.com/book/show/4500…
Further down the list, the blueprint includes other democracy reform ideas not yet really on the national agenda:
-National ranked choice voting
-Proportional representation in the House
-Historic investment in local and public media
If we win that trifecta in a week, we can enact every one of these reforms quickly through simple legislation. All we need is a majority vote in the House and Senate, and the president's signature. Literally all of this could be the law of the land next year.
Zeke's asleep so real quick here's why next year is gonna be awesome. I'm a fan of presidential scholar Stephen Skowronek. He's got a "political time" theory about presidents - basically, their personality is less important than their place in time. (*great* polisci to follow...)
Some presidents get to establish multi-decade regimes - Jefferson, Jackson, Lincoln, FDR, Reagan. The coalitions & political agenda of these presidents define the contours of political debate for decades to come.