1, Government messaging has become progressively hyperbolic and confusing. Balance and perspective is in short supply. As a result, the information we receive often feels alarming and frightening.
2, Trust is a vital component of effective public messaging, erosion of it is deeply concerning.Disconnection between governments, local level management and society. Information given without context is harmful. A recent advisory report suggests tinyurl.com/y3sslazo
3, “ministers adopt a more straightforward approach to communicating with the public, taking care not to send out conflicting messages, admitting mistakes, foregoing “hyperbolic language and rhetoric” and adopting “an open dialogue rather than speaking at the public”.
4, Has this advice been heeded?
Did yesterday's UK briefing clearly communicate information accurately and clearly?
Was the information presented openly?
5.The news of an increased mortality risk with the UK variant is based upon conclusions from a Nervtag meeting held on Thursday.
Full report here. gov.uk/government/pub…
Concerns that the variant may be more deadly should be taken seriously.However, the evidence drawn from the paper is weak. Nervtag concluded that there is a “realistic possibility”that it could be more deadly.This means that scientists are 40-50% confident that something is true.
7, Clear, accurate and understandable government messaging is essential. Information should refer to evidence and offer analysis to convey complex and complicated issues. Without this the communications drive public and media panic. news.sky.com/story/covid-19…
8,The format and delivery of the briefings have often been criticised by the press, by advisory groups and the by public. dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9…
9, At the time of the Downing Street Briefing the WHO were also holding a conference. Dr Mike Ryan, head of the WHO emergency programme, appealed for the public to 'remain calm around the issues of these variants'. 40.12. facebook.com/watch/live/?v=…
10, Without honest and balanced public messaging, that effectively conveys risk and that draws upon evidence and analysis, the public trust in government decisions and it’s advice, will continue to decline. bmj.com/content/371/bm…
End
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1. We are all being asked to give things up to deal with this problem, but the sacrifices are not evenly distributed
Sunetra Gupta.
2. “We are seeing inequality within countries grow. You are seeing low-skilled workers being much harder hit, women being much harder hit, younger people being much harder hit than others are,”
United Nations is warning 2021 could be even more awful, with top officials saying the new year could be the worst in terms of humanitarian catastrophes in the organization’s 75-year history.
1. Is there a middle ground between lockdowns – with school, business and office
closures, curfews, and isolation – and a laissez-faire "let it rip" approach? gbdeclaration.org
2. In the Great Barrington Declaration, co-signed now by many thousand medical scientists and
practitioners, we laid out such a middle-ground alternative, with greatly improved focused
protection of older people and other high-risk groups.
3.The aim of focused protection is to
minimize overall mortality from both COVID-19 and other diseases by balancing the need to
protect high-risk individuals from COVID-19
Lockdown Harms #mentalhealth 1. UK @mentalhealth foundation November report states,there has been a slow decline in people coping with the COVID-19 restrictions and the impact this has on their mental health
2. The report states that Almost half (45%) of the UK population had felt anxious or worried in the previous two weeks. Feelings of loneliness were higher in younger people too, with 38% aged 18-24 , which has been consistently higher across all waves than the general population.
3. A decline in our populations’ ability to cope with the stress of the pandemic-from 62% to 73%. Of those who reported not coping with this stress well (17%),those who have pre-existing mental health condition(s) were more likely to not be coping very well or not at all well-37%
This year many countries have experienced reduced access to a fully functional healthcare system. Whilst it is difficult to forecast the harms and deaths that will result from this, we are beginning to see more data on this as we progress into 2021.
2.
It is becoming clear that one of the biggest threats to public health in the years ahead is that of cancer patients and cancer services. A report from @Carnall_Farrar - The Disruption and recovery of cancer from Covid 19.tinyurl.com/ybpp4v4k noted that
3. “The major disruptions to the cancer pathway have effectively stopped cancer screening, reduced referrals by more than 40%, and as a consequence have impacted considerably on cancer diagnosis and treatment, (including surgery, chemotherapy, and radiotherapy).”
1. The harms of lockdown are unequally distributed. Economists have found that only 37% of jobs in the US can be performed wholly on-line, and high-paying jobs are overrepresented among that set.
2. Declaring janitors, store clerks, meat packers, postal workers, and other blue-collar workers as "essential" workers in most states, regardless of whether they qualify as high COVID mortality risk, the lockdowns have failed to shield the vulnerable in these occupations.
3.The economic dislocation from the lockdowns has increased the number of households where young adults who have lost their jobs co-reside with vulnerable older parents which may increase the risk of COVID-related death.