Adding to this ⬇️ thread about @hknightsf's great new column, here's one more point about how the pending "housing element" update, required by state law, is going to blow up San Francisco land use... /1
Under new state law (AB 1397), SF cannot "recycle" sites its previous housing element deemed suitable for affordable housing, unless they're rezoned for *by right* development of 20% low-income projects. /2
Yet SF's city charter disallows by-right development, period. So SF must either get a court to find its charter preempted by state law, or else rezone a huge swath of city's SFH neighborhoods for multifamily development at density of 30+ dwelling units / acre. /3
Outcome (1) would mean no more discretionary review of 20% BMR projects.
Outcome (2) would no doubt require upzoning the west side SFH neighborhoods for small-scale multifamily apartment buildings.
Outcome (3) is that city just falls out of compliance, in which case...
/4
...SF wouldn't be able to use its zoning code or general plan to deny *any* 20% BMR project, no matter how large, in any SFH neighborhood! (This thanks to an obscure provision of state's Housing Accountability Act.) /5
A serious question for @DeanPreston and others: How can city do value-capture rezoning while also ensuring that the required public benefits (fees, IZ, etc.) don't drive redevelopment value of sites below value of existing uses? 1/5
What makes this such a tough nut to crack is that the value of existing uses varies a lot across sites in older cities, and market conditions (prices & rents, construction costs) are in flux. 2/5
Here are three possible solutions:
(A) Replace exactions, impact fees, and IZ with a land-value tax. Great in theory, but foreclosed in California by Prop. 13. 3/5
(and executive branch preemption of municipal barriers to infill housing, like parking minimums)
1/n
Oregon's LCDC just crushed minimum parking requirements for small infill projects (duplex, triplex, 4plex). @California_HCD has not done same. Why not?
2/n
Statutory authority is pretty similar. Oregon: cities may not impose "unreasonable costs or delay" on development of "middle housing." CA: cities' housing plans must "remove constraints" to "housing for all income levels" "where appropriate & legally possible"
THREAD: Was Oregon's heralded statewide 4plex bill just for show?
That's the upshot if recently proposed implementing regs are adopted in their current form. 1/9
The statute (HB 2001) requires cities with population > 25,000 to allow designated "middle housing" types "in areas zoned for residential use." 2/9
Cities must adopt a state-approved middle-housing zoning plan by specified date, or else apply default zoning rules issued by state agency. In principle, this solves problem of cities "allowing" 4plexes on paper but making them impossible to build in practice. 3/9
The EI posits that the “math is wrong” in California's new regional housing targets, owing to adjustments triggered by SB 828, a bill enacted in 2018. /2
EI contrasts “the SB 828 double count” with what it calls a “conventional economist approach,” under which housing need is equal to projected household growth plus a small vacancy adjustment. /3
Earlier this month, @California_HCD posted a little-noticed memo that massively increases the amount of "zoned capacity" for new housing that local governments must provide. This thread explains it. 1/n
CA requires local govts periodically to adopt a state-approved plan, called a "housing element," to accommodate local share of regional housing need. A housing element must inventory developable sites and estimate their capacity. 2/
If aggregate site capacity is less than local govt's housing target, local gov't must rezone for greater density and allow by-right development of 20%-affordable projects (speedier permitting, fewer cumbersome conditions). /3