At peak, Bell Labs was about $2B/yr in today's USD. Split 30% fundamental research, 10% translation, 60% systems engineering. (straight from the source) /2
For perspective, we're talking about a corporate R&D lab with a fundamental research arm twice the size but same caliber as Cal Tech alongside a systems engineering team roughly the same size/caliber of Space X (guessing), with a translation team >10x the size of Otherlab. /3
So please just quit with "X is the modern day Bell Labs" /4
Next: bear in mind that after WWII, academic research was small & ed focused (mainly philanthropy funded). So Bell Labs could control a signif portion of the fundamental research pipeline. That's no longer possible with U.S. gov alone now funding ~$50+B/yr to univs and FFRDCs. /5
For that reason alone, it's not possible to recreate Bell Labs today. /6
That said, what we can (and should) recreate is the tight connection that existed in those days b/w fundamental research & application. At Bell Labs, science & application lived under one roof, which is all too rare today...for reasons I dive into here: /7 technologyreview.com/2020/06/17/100…
So how to bring back the mojo of Bell Labs today? Follow the trends:
- big corps no longer science powerhouses
- fundamental research pipeline now huge & distributed
- talent no longer needs big institutions for knowledge, networks, tools
Hint: it's def not a behemoth lab /8
Startups. Startups are the most vibrant environment today for Bell Labs style intermixing of fundamental research and applied systems. And they are changing the world in Bell-Labs magnitude ways. Just look at @BioNTech_Group and @moderna_tx /9
There's just one problem: we only get startups around people/ideas that VCs are willing to bet on at any given moment. /10
Isn't it weird that we're ok depending on VCs making crazy early out-of-the-money option bets in order for top talent to translate scientific research into products in an aggressive way? /11
The first few years of a deep science startup are basically focused, aggressive applied R&D. It's cool VCs can sometimes cover that, but it's nowhere near enough. What about people not plugged into VC, or ideas that need more time/resources or don't fit the latest hype cycle? /12
This is where we need government. Bell Labs is remembered as a great INDUSTRIAL research lab, but only existed thx to gov funding (via a gov-sanctioned monopoly). Gov $ is the *only* way to support applied R&D at the scope & scale needed to serve society on #climate & beyond. /13
How can the U.S. invest toward Bell Labs outcomes? Start by modernizing science & industrial policy, recognizing that the U.S. advantage in [science x entrepreneurship] is enormous & still largely untapped in its potential to create opportunity, prosperity, & a better future. /14
Bring back Bell Labs? Nah... But maybe we can do even better.
Wake up call: The US spends more on research in human health than agriculture, space, and energy combined, yet we were unprepared for covid-19—not because we weren’t spending enough, but because we weren’t spending effectively.
Thesis: The world has changed dramatically since WW2, yet the US is largely working off the same science policy playbook. We built the most powerful infrastructure for academic research...but our capacity for turning scientific advances into practical solutions has withered.