@HawleyMO @nypost Okay... so, um, a few notes. This is not a good first draft.

1. The United States doesn't have a social credit score system. (Neither, really, does China.) People don't want to associate you because you promoted a violent insurrection. Do you see how those are *different*?
@HawleyMO @nypost 2. Corporate America didn't "rush to cancel" you.

You lost a book contract with one publishing house, and it was picked up by another. Some corporate PACs also asked for their donations back, because you attempted to undermine the legitimacy of free and fair elections.
@HawleyMO @nypost 2b (cont'd) That's, y'know, the "marketplace of ideas" in action. (You're supposed to like the free market. It's part of your brand.)

If you would like major donors not to demand their money back, then next time you should choose not to support a violent insurrection.
@HawleyMO @nypost 3. You keep doing this thing where you conflate "corporate America" and "leftists." That's sloppy. No one believes Walmart is a leftist front. It comes across like you don't have the faintest idea what you're talking about.

Try to be specific. Nail down at least one actual idea.
@HawleyMO @nypost 4. Also, you don't come across as an everyman-warrior-against-cancel-culture, because you're a frickin' US SENATOR!

You have thousands of constituents dying of COVID right now. You have a job to do. Your audience doesn't pity you for two weeks of bad news cycles.
@HawleyMO @nypost 5. I wouldn't target the New York Post with his column.

Tom Cotton published his ode-to-American-fascism in the New York Times. (That was a real conversation-starter, amirite?)

Placing it in the New York Post just seems... a little desperate and pathetic.
@HawleyMO @nypost ...Maybe try a local Missouri paper instead?

(Oh, that's right, they've all called for your resignation. Because you supported an insurrection against the US government, and are derelict in your duties as a Senator. I forgot. My bad.)
@HawleyMO @nypost ...Wait, sorry, the New York Post ALREADY PUBLISHED THIS?

But... Joshie... it's BAD. Like you-don't-know-what-you're-talking-about-and-every-will-be-able-to-see-that bad.

You really should've asked for some critical feedback before you submitted it.
@HawleyMO @nypost Okay, well I have one final suggestion.

Why don't you try resigning in disgrace?

You know, because you supported a violent insurrection against the US government, and there's no excusing or forgetting that.

Yeah. Resign in disgrace. That's really your best option.

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More from @davekarpf

10 Nov 20
A key dynamic over the next few weeks is the absence of any meaningful leadership or strategic direction within the Republican Party.

You have Trump - a tinfoil-hat autocrat at the top.
You have lickspittle cronies currying favor by promoting the latest harebrained scheme. (1)
And then you have a sea of elected officials, each deciding on their own what statement or action is most likely to improve their standing.

(In other words, what will get them on Hannity and juice their fundraising numbers?)

(2/x)
There’s no one positioned to say “here’s what’s best for the country,” or even “here’s what’s best for the party.”

The result is the race-to-the-bottom we’re currently watching.

(3/x)
Read 10 tweets
8 Nov 20
Okay, I’ve got a couple of election-aftermath takes I want to share.

Each of these ought to be a column, but 👏parenting 👏 in 👏a👏pandemic👏is👏exhausting.

(1/who knows?)
First, I know everyone is mad at Nate Silver and the pollsters. I agree that we’ve probably gotten a little too into modeling and polling aggregation.

BUT!

The rise of Nate Silver was a response to endless utter-vacuous-bullshit punditry.
(2/x)
There is a news hole to be filled. In the epic-long campaign, there’s demand for some expert commentary on where things stand. Sites like 538 aren’t perfect, but they’re so much better than the alternative.
(3/x)
Read 13 tweets
10 Oct 20
Okay, so everyone is dunking on this take. And I’m gonna dunk on it too. But from a sliiiiiightly different angle.

I think the Biden/Harris non-answer is basically fine. It’s also identical to the answer Leonhardt suggests they give instead.

(Short thread)
Trump and Republicans desperately want to make this election about something other than COVID.

(Self-plug: I wrote about this for @wired last week) wired.com/story/the-elec…

The reason they keep asking “is he gonna pack the court” is because they see a potential reframe.
When Biden says “I’m not going to answer the question because they’re just trying to change the subject” he is 100% correct.

Any answer will get stripped of context and nuance and played on a loop. That’s the whole purpose of pursuing an answer.
Read 9 tweets
28 Sep 20
I’m actually optimistic that this Trump taxes NYT story will *matter*, even in this #lolnothingmatters moment in history.

That’s not because some crucial subset of voters will read this and change their minds.

It’s because of how Trump will react.
(1/x)
Trump is already an undisciplined campaigner. Even on an average day, he is routinely his own worst enemy.

The thing he is best at is maintaining constant attention and repeatedly creating new distractions.

It’s a reality TV gimmick. It’s his one superpower.
(2/x)
When Trump flails—when he’s really wounded—he loses that superpower.

Instead of creating another news cycle that leaves us forgetting the previous one, he just intensifies and extends the one he’s stuck in.

He is not a man who is capable of strategically staying quiet.
(3/x)
Read 10 tweets
14 Sep 20
There’s a tension in election coverage that is going to become increasingly jarring in the weeks ahead.

We’re going to read stories about business-as-usual campaigning, alongside stories of structural voter disenfranchisement.

The two storylines don’t easily coexist. (Thread)
Here’s a business-as-usual example:

Florida is an important battleground state. Polls show a close race. Whose message is resonating/what strategic choices are the campaigns making/who will win?

It’s a genre of reporting that we’re all used to — horse race reporting.
But then there’s this alternate storyline:

The courts have just effectively barred 770,000 Florida citizens from voting. This is part of a multi-year disenfranchisement effort that FL Republicans launched after FL voted to restore voting rights for ex-felons.
Read 11 tweets
28 Aug 20
Here's what I think will matter from tonight's speech/this convention:

The premise of the RNC is that everything was going great, COVID has been a blip, but we're totally past it and back to fine now.

That's comforting to an audience that wants to believe it. But it's fleeting.
It's nine and a half weeks until the election. That's a really long time. Particularly now, when every week brings another disruptive horror.

Nine and a half weeks ago was June 16th. What news do you recall from June 16th? What has stuck with you that long?
Reality is the unavoidable problem for the Trump campaign.

They just spent four weeks utterly ignoring reality. I'm sure that felt nice for the supporters who tuned in -- it sure felt infuriating to us critics!

But, tomorrow, reality will start setting in again.
Read 7 tweets

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