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TheValuesVoter

25 Jan, 16 tweets, 5 min read

@RandPaul

Every time I hear somebody like @RandPaul continue to dishonestly cast doubt about the election results, I get motivated to put out data to set the record straight.

And so I did some more study.

I made a list of every state in the country with indicators of whether the following things happened since Trump took office:

1) Did 2020 exit polls show Trump did worse with Democrats than in 2016?
2) Did 2020 exit polls show Trump did worse with Independents than in 2016?

3) Did Trump do worse in the state with Republicans than he did in 2016?
4) Did Trump do worse in the state with white voters than he did in 2016?
5) Did Trump do worse in the state with black voters than he did in 2016?

6) Did Trump's party have a net loss in US Senate seats in the state since Trump took office in 2017?
7) Did Trump's party have a net loss in US House seats in the state since Trump took office in 2017?

8) Did Trump's party have a net loss in State Senate seats since Trump's party took office in 2017?
9) Did Trump's party have a net loss in State House seats since Trump's party took office in 2017?

10) Did Trump's party lose the Governorship in the state since Trump took office in 2017?
11) Did Trump's party lose the Secretary of State office in the state since Trump took office in 2017?

12) Did Trump's part lose the Attorney General's office in the state since Trump took office in 2017?

I checked all of these for every state. Gave each state a point for each one of these which is true. And then ranked the states according to score (the higher score, the worse).

When you add that up, you can see that the GOP did exceptionally badly over the four years of Trump's Presidency in Michigan, Arizona and Georgia.

Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, the other states Trump contested, are also on the list of states where the GOP suffered.

Look at the states. Look at all the losses (which are shaded in red). This isn't just about the Presidential election of 2020. This is about ALL of the Federal and State-level elections that took place in these states since Trump got sworn in four years ago.

Also notice that most of these states with the most GOP losses went blue, whether they just went blue in 2020 or whether they also went blue in 2016.

As for the exceptions, in TX, the GOP did worse than in any election in more than two decades.

NC nearly went blue.

The only real outlier is Florida, where Trump lost ground with Democrats, Independents, whites, blacks, lost State Senate and State House seats, nearly lost the Governorship and barely gained a Senate seat - but where Trump did better in 2020 than in 2016.

(I made a mistake in my chart by not also putting an asterisk next to Wisconsin, which is also a state that flipped in 2020).

One more interesting thing about Arizona: in both the State House and the State Senate, the GOP has only a ONE SEAT MAJORITY. 16-14 in the State Senate and 31-29 in the State House.

In ARIZONA!!!

In North Carolina during the Trump era, North Carolina Republicans have lost 7 State Senate seats and 5 State House seats.

Trump won the state by just over a point. And there's an open US Senate seat coming up in NC in 2022.

In Texas, Republicans have only a 5 seat lead in the State Senate (18-13). And 16 seat lead in the State House (83-67). When Trump started his term, they had a 20-11 lead in the State Senate and a 95-55 lead in the State House.

Not a good trend for Republicans.

And in Pennsylvania, the GOP has lost a lot of seats in the State Legislature.

2017
State Senate: 34 GOP - 16 Dem
State House: 122 GOP - 82 Dem

2021
State Senate: 28 GOP - 21 Dem
State House: 112 GOP - 90 Dem

And lost 3 US House seats.

Open US Senate contest in 2022.

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More from @TheValuesVoter

TheValuesVoter

@TheValuesVoter

26 Jan

In 2022, the GOP will be defending 20 US Senate seats.

And 17 of them are in states in which Trump did worse in the 2020 Presidential election than he did there in 2016.

Also, in 3 of these states (Kansas, North Carolina and Pennsylvania), the GOP had a net loss of US House seats during the Trump era.

In 10 of these states (AK, FL, ID, IN, KS, MO, NC, OK, PA and UT), the GOP had a net loss of State Senate seats since Trump came to office.

In another 10 of the states where the GOP will be defending US Senate seats in 2022, the party had a net loss of State House seats since 2017. These are AK, FL, ID, MO, NC, ND, OH, PA, UT and WI.

Read 6 tweets

TheValuesVoter

@TheValuesVoter

24 Jan

Some people in this country are sincerely confused to hear people talk about “white supremacy” in conjunction with politics in America today. At the same time, a lot of people, both openly and in private, have consternation about changing demographics in America.

Let me explain.

In 1870, right after the Civil War, the US Census showed that there were six states in which African Americans made up more than 45% of the state population - South Carolina, Mississippi, Louisiana, Florida, Alabama and Georgia. The region we call the “Deep South” plus Florida.

Ten years prior, many of these human beings were considered to be the legal property of other human beings. And then came the Thirteenth, Fourteenth and Fifteenth Amendments to the US Constitution. Suddenly, these former slaves were citizens. And the men could VOTE.

Read 17 tweets

TheValuesVoter

@TheValuesVoter

24 Jan

While 147 members of Congress voted to throw out the Presidential Elections in Arizona and Pennsylvania (I still can’t believe this happened), 11 of them voted against the Presidential elections in THEIR OWN STATES.

They voted to disenfranchise their own states’ voters.

These members:

Arizona House members who voted to throw out the Presidential election in Arizona:

Paul Gosar (AZ-04)
Andy Biggs (AZ-05)
Debbie Lesko (AZ-08)

Pennsylvania House members who voted to throw out the Presidential election in Pennsylvania:

Daniel Meuser (PA-09)
Scott Perry (PA-10)
Lloyd Smucker (PA-11)
Fred Keller (PA-12)
John Joyce (PA-13)
Guy Reschenthaler (PA-14)
Glenn Thompson (PA-15)
Mike Kelly (PA-16)

Read 7 tweets

TheValuesVoter

@TheValuesVoter

23 Jan

@GOP

States where the @GOP lost US House seats in 2018 and either didn’t gain them back in 2020 or lost more:

Arizona
(Lost 1 seat in 2018, no change in 2020)

Colorado
(Lost 1 seat in 2018, no change in 2020)

Georgia
(Lost 1 seat in 2018, lost 1 seat in 2020)

Kansas
(Lost 1 seat in 2018, no change in 2020)

Maine
(Lost 1 seat in 2018, no change in 2020)

Michigan
(Lost 2 seats in 2018, no change in 2020)

Pennsylvania
(Lost 3 seats in 2018, no change in 2020)

Texas
(Lost 2 seats in 2018, no change in 2020)

Virginia
(Lost 3 seats in 2018, no change in 2020)

Washington
(Lost 1 seat in 2018, no change in 2020)

Read 6 tweets

TheValuesVoter

@TheValuesVoter

17 Jan

I did some comparisons on different aspects of how America is doing right now compared to how it was doing at this time four years ago.

I put the links to the sources of information here so you can check for yourself.

1) Unemployment, the Deficit and the Debt

2) Jobs and the Dow Jones Stock Market Growth

3) Presidential Job Approval and Overall Satisfaction of Citizens

Read 11 tweets

TheValuesVoter

@TheValuesVoter

16 Jan

Here is a list of the members of the US House of Representatives who voted against certifying state election results on January 6th who won their seats in 2020 by the smallest margins (and who may be most vulnerable in 2022):
nytimes.com/interactive/20…

cookpolitical.com/2020-house-vot…?

Mike Garcia (CA-25, won by 0.10 points)
Burgess Owens (UT-04, won by 1.00 points)
Beth Van Duyne (TX-24, won by 1.30 points)
Jim Hagedorn (MN-01, won by 3.10 points)
Carlos Gimenez (FL-26, won by 3.40 points)
Stephanie Bice (OK-05, won by 4.10 points)

David Schweikert (AZ-06, won by 4.30 points)
Bob Good (VA-05, won by 5.10 points)
Jeff Van Drew (NJ-02, won by 5.80 points)
Lauren Boebert (CO-03, won by 6.20 points)
Nichole Malliotakis (NY-11, won by 6.30 points)
Richard Hudson (NY-08, won by 6.60 points)

Read 13 tweets

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