In 2022, the GOP will be defending 20 US Senate seats.
And 17 of them are in states in which Trump did worse in the 2020 Presidential election than he did there in 2016.
Also, in 3 of these states (Kansas, North Carolina and Pennsylvania), the GOP had a net loss of US House seats during the Trump era.
In 10 of these states (AK, FL, ID, IN, KS, MO, NC, OK, PA and UT), the GOP had a net loss of State Senate seats since Trump came to office.
In another 10 of the states where the GOP will be defending US Senate seats in 2022, the party had a net loss of State House seats since 2017. These are AK, FL, ID, MO, NC, ND, OH, PA, UT and WI.
And in 7 of these states, the GOP had net losses in BOTH the State House and the State Senate since 2017. These are Alaska, Florida, Idaho, Missouri, North Carolina, Oklahoma and Utah.
Lastly (for now) - 6 of the 20 states which the GOP will be defending in 2022 have Democratic Governors. And they're not all the usual suspects. These are Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
Voters statewide chose at least one Dem recently.
The @GOP should keep that in mind when they're deciding whether or not to go Full Trump. Look at what that era has done to the party at the state level. It's not a pretty sight.
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Every time I hear somebody like @RandPaul continue to dishonestly cast doubt about the election results, I get motivated to put out data to set the record straight.
And so I did some more study.
I made a list of every state in the country with indicators of whether the following things happened since Trump took office:
1) Did 2020 exit polls show Trump did worse with Democrats than in 2016? 2) Did 2020 exit polls show Trump did worse with Independents than in 2016?
3) Did Trump do worse in the state with Republicans than he did in 2016? 4) Did Trump do worse in the state with white voters than he did in 2016? 5) Did Trump do worse in the state with black voters than he did in 2016?
Some people in this country are sincerely confused to hear people talk about “white supremacy” in conjunction with politics in America today. At the same time, a lot of people, both openly and in private, have consternation about changing demographics in America.
Let me explain.
In 1870, right after the Civil War, the US Census showed that there were six states in which African Americans made up more than 45% of the state population - South Carolina, Mississippi, Louisiana, Florida, Alabama and Georgia. The region we call the “Deep South” plus Florida.
Ten years prior, many of these human beings were considered to be the legal property of other human beings. And then came the Thirteenth, Fourteenth and Fifteenth Amendments to the US Constitution. Suddenly, these former slaves were citizens. And the men could VOTE.
While 147 members of Congress voted to throw out the Presidential Elections in Arizona and Pennsylvania (I still can’t believe this happened), 11 of them voted against the Presidential elections in THEIR OWN STATES.
They voted to disenfranchise their own states’ voters.
These members:
Arizona House members who voted to throw out the Presidential election in Arizona:
Paul Gosar (AZ-04)
Andy Biggs (AZ-05)
Debbie Lesko (AZ-08)
Pennsylvania House members who voted to throw out the Presidential election in Pennsylvania:
Daniel Meuser (PA-09)
Scott Perry (PA-10)
Lloyd Smucker (PA-11)
Fred Keller (PA-12)
John Joyce (PA-13)
Guy Reschenthaler (PA-14)
Glenn Thompson (PA-15)
Mike Kelly (PA-16)
Here is a list of the members of the US House of Representatives who voted against certifying state election results on January 6th who won their seats in 2020 by the smallest margins (and who may be most vulnerable in 2022): nytimes.com/interactive/20…
Mike Garcia (CA-25, won by 0.10 points)
Burgess Owens (UT-04, won by 1.00 points)
Beth Van Duyne (TX-24, won by 1.30 points)
Jim Hagedorn (MN-01, won by 3.10 points)
Carlos Gimenez (FL-26, won by 3.40 points)
Stephanie Bice (OK-05, won by 4.10 points)
David Schweikert (AZ-06, won by 4.30 points)
Bob Good (VA-05, won by 5.10 points)
Jeff Van Drew (NJ-02, won by 5.80 points)
Lauren Boebert (CO-03, won by 6.20 points)
Nichole Malliotakis (NY-11, won by 6.30 points)
Richard Hudson (NY-08, won by 6.60 points)