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Dana Houle Profile picture
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26 Jan, 4 tweets, 1 min read
Pay close attention to what people are saying about the Senate. There are a lot of people certain that Dems will cave. Maybe they will. But I think they’re just waiting for the Repubs either radically change their behavior (highly unlikely) or to change the rules & blame Repubs
I’m not predicting Dems will play hardball & significantly alter or completely eliminate the filibuster. But I’ll take that position & welcome the criticism if I’m wrong. But only if you hold the naysayers to the same accountability.
If you think the Senate Democratic caucus is pretty much the same today as it was in 2009...we’ll, maybe you’ll be proven right. But I don’t think so. /3
Watch tonight’s Schumer/Maddow interview, and ask yourself if Schumer came off as a guy unsure what his caucus was willing to do. /4

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More from @DanaHoule

Dana Houle Profile picture
27 Jan
Chrales Blow on MSNBC attributed GA POTUS to growing black share of vote. Some truth to that. But look at 2020 vs 2004 (58%R/41%D) vs 2020 (49%D/49%R)

[share of total/R/D]

2004
White 70%/76%/23%
Black 25%/12%/88%
Rest 5%

2020
White 61%/69%/30%
Black 29%/12%/88%
Rest 10%

/1
So, yes, greater black share of GA electorate was significant. And white voters are still overwhelmingly R. But white voters went from R+53=>R+39. And the rest of the electorate grew significantly, at the expense of the white share, & was solidly Dem

So, it’s more complicated /2
Shorter version: monocausal explanations of elections are always wrong. /3
Read 6 tweets
Dana Houle Profile picture
21 Jan
Just got an email informing us that starting Monday they are no longer in the afternoon pod, the pods are being combined, it will be one class with30 kids & they need to be ready at 9:00am

Lori Lightfoot is sticking to her plan to begin F2F school, even though 80% won’t attend
Have people stopped caring about the Chicago Teachers Union?

CPS has:
-Stuck to plan to begin F2F 2-1
-Denied 80% of requests for exemptions to teach F2F
-Not told principals who is/isn’t coming back
-if teachers try to teach from home they will shut down the feed to kids.../2
...offered zero guidance to principals on how to structure the F2F/online hybrid
-Told parents nothing
-Given no evidence of a plan to vaccinate teachers
-Provided no PPE

All of this despite the parents 80% of students saying their kids are staying home /2
Read 6 tweets
Dana Houle Profile picture
6 Jan
So, there is coordination between the insurrectionists at the Capitol & the insurrectionists in the White House.

I’ll also point out we’re currently under a massive & gravely damaging cyber attack by Russia. We shouldn’t assume all these things aren’t coordinated
The business of Congress should resume under the assumption that listening devices are being placed in sensitive places in the Capitol.
They knew there wouldn’t be a violent response xhttps://twitter.com/jaketapper/status/1346934387598876673
Read 4 tweets
Dana Houle Profile picture
30 Dec 20
Thoughts & prayers…
Um…
Hmmm…
Read 4 tweets
Dana Houle Profile picture
29 Dec 20
Oh give me a fucking break, Mehdi Hassan is in to the 12th minute and like 9 of those minutes have been about how this was a Dem failure.
And in those 12 minutes he mentioned both Bernie & AOC. Because they aresuch effective players in passing legislation.
Now he’s questioning Fauci’s “moving the goalposts” bc he once said 65% vaccination would get us to herd immunity & now he’s saying 75%.

No, I’m not joking.
Read 5 tweets
Dana Houle Profile picture
27 Dec 20
Uh...wut? Name a single country that has enough to vaccinate their countries “three times over”

We should be concerned with equitable distribution both within & between counties. But this claim is ridiculous.
As @wccubbison & @beyerstein pointed out, Canada & UK have contracts (but _not_ possession, so not “hoarding”) for 5 doses per capita. But almost all vaccines require 2 doses, so if they all work, the “extra” doses would cover Ethiopia & Sudan, or 2% of humans. /2
@wccubbison @beyerstein And given that per capita Canada is one of the worlds most generous donors of foreign aid Lindsay is almost certainly right

The only other country around 2 doses per capita is the US. And given our infections rates & the global mobility... /3
Read 4 tweets

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