The GDP numbers in China include many elements that consistently overstate economic strength. It has been a specific objective of each provincial government to meet GDP guidelines leading to dramatic distortions in capital allocations to ghost cities and below cost production.
1/
Examples of manipulated economics within recent Chinese history, including Mao’s decision to seize and melt down steel from peasant tools and cooking ware to boost Chinese steel production figures. Chinese income and economic figures are suspect without Western standards.
2/
This is extended to Chinese company annual reports where it is well known 3-4 sets of creative books are maintained, none resembling honest accounting; designed for different audiences. Western investments in China do not benefit from honest accounting.
3/
Until international standards for rule of law, accounting, disclosure and auditing are implemented participation in Western markets should be eliminated, and organizations making investments that are required to grade risk should be prohibited from investing.
4/
If they cannot tell the truth on the basics imagine how opaque the details are: barrons.com/articles/the-g…
/end

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More from @letsthinkdeeply

29 Jan
@robert_spalding The CCP factions are real. I spent 10+ years living their. The mess we unleashed on the world is of the West’s own making. We did not spend the time to understand the Chinese people, their culture or their government. Most still do not, bother. But now they are transformed.
1/
@robert_spalding Our own greed unleashed by naked capitalism devoid of National loyalty or sovereignty. Refusal to enforce the Law of the Sea, human rights conventions, or WTO. Refusal to intervene when they stole our IP or bought strategic technologies.
2/
@robert_spalding We looked the other way when Al Gore accepted an illegal bag of cash on a windswept hill in California, we barely reacted to repeated hacking of our systems, we forced Yahoo and Cisco to accept a pittance for their IP stolen by Alibaba and Huawei.
3/
Read 11 tweets
26 Jan
So far, the Biden Administration is standing strong on China. I hope it continues, many are concerned it won’t. We need to credit them for their early support of a firm policy. This has been the most important issue for the free world for decades, hopefully we are waking up.
1/
There are many important international issues, and if you know me, you already know I am anti-Glabalist but am pro-fair and balanced cooperation. Anyone that thinks we can solve the Chinese crisis without forging a worldwide coalition is simply wrong.
2/
We need enlightened policy in Africa, S America, SE Asia, and Oceania on diversifying supply chains and advancing real and sustainable economic development adhering to the rule of law, human rights, and freedom. We also must advance a cogent strategy of engagement.
3/
Read 5 tweets
25 Jan
@gummibear737 @MichaelPSenger Let’s review the scientific developments on COVID19 of the last month:
1) AMA and others are dropping objections to Hydroxychloroquine.
2) Aggressive pursuit of other repurposed drugs such as Ivermectin has restarted.
1/
3) The vaccines that Dr. Fauci declared were impossible to develop in less than two years are rolling out 100s of millions of doses.
4) Joe Biden, strongest intellect of the 21st century, basically quoted President Trump as saying that the virus will follow the course it does.
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And, of course, the MSM is cheering his great wisdom on as Michigan, DC, New York and others start to open up.
5) The WHO suddenly realizes deaths and cases are dramatically over reported and has tightened the reporting criteria significantly.
3/
Read 9 tweets
24 Jan
@Covid19Crusher @gummibear737 Sudden renewed interest in cheap safe drugs, such as ivermectin, to treat COVID19. Where were the trials last summer? Are these designed as badly as the Hydroxychloroquine ones, or is the medical bureaucracy actually trying to save lives, this time?
We should have tested all of these drugs in large well designed RCTs by now.
Read 4 tweets
23 Jan
@Jkylebass This is a great emotional plea but needs expansion; skilled manufacturing is the traditional high paid bridge into the upper middle class. The cost and work rules offended our elite. They backdoor’d our system, exporting jobs to China.
1/
It is a merciless calculation. But there are a number of issues that need to be addressed:
1) China, has a massive labor pool but presents a horrible moral dilemma. Is it, ok, to take jobs from America and ship them to a country with few freedoms or human rights protections.
2/
2) An economy without a vibrant middle class is not the place we aspired to be for centuries. Freedom and opportunity to succeed is a foundational element of the US ethos, they are trying to destroy it. We must preserve this ability to succeed, hope nourishes the soul.
3/
Read 5 tweets
17 Jan
@BuckSexton @gummibear737 @Covid19Crusher @EthicalSkeptic The facts:
1) Dr. Fauci and NIH/CDC have actively interfered with the evaluation and advocacy of off label use of safe existing drugs. The reasons are multi fold including a bad EUA framework during a true emergency.
1/
@BuckSexton @gummibear737 @Covid19Crusher @EthicalSkeptic 2) Early disease parameters were poorly understood and RCTs during this time were often off-mark or suffered from poor design. But a mythology has arisen due to hyped studies that were later discredited. And the perceptual damage had not been corrected.
2/
@BuckSexton @gummibear737 @Covid19Crusher @EthicalSkeptic 3) The nature of politics in academic medicine overlaid with governmental politics; all amplified by social media have affected doctors, virologists, epidemiologists, infectious disease specialists. We are rapidly substituting politics for science. Anger replacing judgment.
3/
Read 13 tweets

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