In revealing the annual #DoomsdayClock, @BulletinAtomic highlights the proliferation of conspiracies and the consistent eroding of scientific truth as an escalating concern in how we respond to crisis.
Yet, somehow, they leave the 2021 doomsday clock unchanged. /1
Lots of focus from speakers about the anticipated policy shifts a Biden admin heralds, and the need for US leadership in climate, health, arms control discussions. /3
@MaEllenSirleaf highlights the crisis of mobilization that covid has exposed —
This issue of mobilization is a critical one. /4
Sirleaf: the hands of the clock may be still, but that doesn’t mean that the threats that we face are immobile.
100% this. /5
... sometimes I feel like no one actually reads what Russian military/defense leaders say about the use of tactical nuclear weapons, in particular that they view them as a conventional weapon /6
For greatpower.us, I ask how disinformation and the use of online platforms to accelerate conspiracies and extremist views impacts our ability to assess the threats we face.
/7
The scientists are optimists, answering that they believe scientific truth is the signal that is starting to cut through the noise on covid, climate issues. (I wish I shared their optimism, but I think we hang around in different parts of the internet!) /8
President Sirleaf highlights that this a particular challenge for leaders — and that there is a critical need for leaders to be amplifiers of truth /9
In response to a question about how much issues of US leadership are a factor in doomsday calculations, Jerry Brown posits that it doesn’t matter that Russia attacks other nations because we need them on arms control... /10
... and it doesn’t matter that China is [some euphemism he offered for imprisoning millions of Uighurs in “re-education”/forced labor camps] because we need them on climate change.
As you know, I don’t agree, & understand this is how we are manipulated into doing nothing l /11
I understand the origins of this 1960s/treatise-from-inside-the-end-nukes-tent-on-the-White-House-lawn view — but, the compromise this is requesting endorses human oppression as long as the autocrats in charge produce less CO2 — and just, no. No. This can’t be the way. /12
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Today’s indictment of Ricky Vaughn for *2016* election interference efforts — that were well documented already in public domain — really makes you wonder what else Bill Barr was sitting on
Serves as notice though that this is criminal. More coming.
@anneapplebaum@RadioFreeTom I think maybe you can both be right — a bit. Perhaps you will both forgive a semi-long explanation.
Anne — very grateful for this contribution, precisely bc it removes the problem from the “nothing can be done” category & points out that plenty of places have done this before /1
@anneapplebaum@RadioFreeTom Also *we* have done this before. Throughout the civil war, Lincoln was obsessed with things infrastructure and national symbols (Thanksgiving Day, etc), knowing that eventually it would all have to be physically and mentally knit back together.
/2
@anneapplebaum@RadioFreeTom I also worked in Liberia just after the end of the long civil war, & saw how effectively some of the tools you describe in your thoughtful piece worked. Especially the overall “change the subject” idea. For the first time for a whole generation, they could be something else /3
We all know amplification of conspiracy theories — usually in the form of a question — by right wing media has become standard fare to harden views.
“Can we be SURE Clinton didn’t kill Seth Rich?” Etc. (Note: she didn’t) /1
“How do we KNOW Chavez didn’t use Dominion to steal the election from beyond the grave?” (Note: because he’s dead FFS)
Posing it as “questions that need to be answered maybe” allows them to evade responsibility for what they are doing. It’s standard fare. /2
Why do I raise this?
So you may remember when Notre Dame burned in April 2019 — a tragic accident. Online conspiracy theories immediately flourished. One claimed the fire was an act of Islamic terror. Many right wing personalities amplified this lie. /3
How do we change our mindset to better deter grey zone threats at home and abroad?
1) The Kremlin relies on below-threshold conflict to achieve strategic objectives. We must enhance our capabilities in these domains, and also how we monitor and assess threats in grey spaces. /1
2) The way we engage the Kremlin allows Russia to evade consequences, which encourages them to take greater risks and accelerate disruptive activities in their near abroad and further afield. We must own our role in contributing to this state of affairs, and up-end this cycle. /2
3) Ignoring Russian behavior creates a system that also requires us to ignore things about ourselves. We must evaluate the weaknesses that we have failed to confront, renew our strength at the seams, reconceptualize what resilience & defense are in an era of grey threats. /3