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Yaneer Bar-Yam Profile picture
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28 Jan, 4 tweets, 3 min read
Yesterday New Zealand reported 4 covid cases - all imported and quarantined.

Amazingly, they have only 3 reported covid deaths since June 2020. Well done!

Elimination works!
Last Sunday, a Covid-19 case began symptoms in Northland, NZ. All identified close contacts have returned negative test results thus far.

Recently, the Lowy Institute ranked NZ as the top performing country for handling covid.

interactives.lowyinstitute.org/features/covid…
Similarly, Australia reports zero new cases of local transmission in the last week and a half.

The recent outbreak in New South Wales appears to have been contained. Congratulations again!
Denmark continues to report decreasing cases and deaths. Yesterday they reported 654 new cases and 20 deaths.

Despite considerable progress, concerns about stopping the more transmissible B117 UK variant remain. Important to go strong to zero.

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More from @yaneerbaryam

Yaneer Bar-Yam Profile picture
28 Jan
Best to read, share👇

"All countries should pursue a Covid-19 elimination strategy: here are 16 reasons why

"Countries trying to eliminate the virus have been far more successful and economically better off than those that have tried to suppress it

1/
theguardian.com/world/commenti… Image
"The past year of Covid-19 has taught us that it is the behaviour of governments, more than the behaviour of the virus or individuals, that shapes countries’ experience of the crisis. Talking about pandemic waves has given the virus far too much agency:

2/
"until quite recently the apparent waves of infection were driven by government action and inaction. It is only now with the emergence of more infectious variants that it might be appropriate to talk about a true second wave.

3/
Read 28 tweets
Yaneer Bar-Yam Profile picture
28 Jan
Travel restrictions have been one of the most effective pandemic responses — if they’re strict.

One of the biggest lessons of the pandemic has been the success of travel restrictions at reducing its spread.

1/
umeradio.com/post/how-trave…
And this is a moment when they have the potential to be particularly effective in the U.S., given the emergence of even more dangerous coronavirus variants in other countries.

2/
"President Biden seems to realize this, and has reinstated some travel restrictions that President Donald Trump lifted just before leaving office.

It’s not yet clear whether Biden will impose the kind of strict rules that have worked best elsewhere.

3/
Read 14 tweets
Yaneer Bar-Yam Profile picture
26 Jan
While Finland experiences a recent surge, Denmark, Norway, Iceland all report significant reductions in daily cases. Iceland near zero, Norway, Finland could be there soon. Push hard to get to Zero soon.
Sweden continues to distance themselves from their Nordic neighbors with much higher confirmed Covid deaths per million:

Sweden: 1,090
Denmark: 342
Finland: 116
Norway: 100
Iceland: 85
Portugal continues to surge. Currently averaging 14,000 new cases/day and 250 deaths.

Current lockdown began January 15th, schools were closed last Friday. The closing of schools should help in a week. Going all out is the right way.
Read 5 tweets
Yaneer Bar-Yam Profile picture
25 Jan
Let's compare Alaska and Western Australia

Alaska is huge, see comparison with continental US.

Western Australia is over 50% larger than Alaska!

1/
Here is the situation in Alaska recently, cases are down somewhat, that's good. Not surprisingly Anchorage the largest city has the most cases and some places have few or even none.
What about Western Australia? Over 250 days of ZERO community transmission! ZERO!

How did they do it?

Low population? Nope, population of Western Australia is almost 4X that of Alaska.

Small cities? Nope, largest city Perth has 2 million, Anchorage has only 400,000.
Read 5 tweets
Yaneer Bar-Yam Profile picture
25 Jan
Great news: Almost every region in India is seeing decreasing cases.

Currently 11 “winning” regions, reporting less than 20 cases per day, Manipur being the most recent to join. Last of the NE states not in this category is Assam, very close at 24 new/day.
There are currently 23 yellow, or “nearly there”, regions, and only 2 red regions which “need action”.

Only one region in India is seeing a substantial increase in cases: Kerala, early it was a success.

See more: endcoronavirus.org/india-states-ut
US improves, primarily in California, where daily cases dropped from 45,000 to 25,000 over last two weeks. Los Angeles accounts for most of the change.

The daily death toll remains very high, averaging 3,700 per day.
Read 4 tweets
Yaneer Bar-Yam Profile picture
24 Jan
Northeast India

Northeast India with 8 states and 45 million people has been improving in COVID cases.

Manipur has just reached our “Winners” category with under 20 cases per day. Congratulations!

1/
6 other states have already been there
Arunachal Pradesh
Meghalaya
Mizoram
Nagaland

2/
Sikkim
Tripura

3/
Read 4 tweets

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