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Yaneer Bar-Yam Profile picture
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26 Jan, 5 tweets, 4 min read
While Finland experiences a recent surge, Denmark, Norway, Iceland all report significant reductions in daily cases. Iceland near zero, Norway, Finland could be there soon. Push hard to get to Zero soon.
Sweden continues to distance themselves from their Nordic neighbors with much higher confirmed Covid deaths per million:

Sweden: 1,090
Denmark: 342
Finland: 116
Norway: 100
Iceland: 85
Portugal continues to surge. Currently averaging 14,000 new cases/day and 250 deaths.

Current lockdown began January 15th, schools were closed last Friday. The closing of schools should help in a week. Going all out is the right way.
Today US surpassed 25 million total confirmed cases. Nearly 420,000 confirmed covid deaths, 492,000 more deaths than expected since Feb. 2020.
US has reported 195 confirmed cases of the more transmissible UK variant B.1.1.7 across 22 states. Why not stop it from getting everywhere?

cdc.gov/coronavirus/20…

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More from @yaneerbaryam

Yaneer Bar-Yam Profile picture
25 Jan
Let's compare Alaska and Western Australia

Alaska is huge, see comparison with continental US.

Western Australia is over 50% larger than Alaska!

1/
Here is the situation in Alaska recently, cases are down somewhat, that's good. Not surprisingly Anchorage the largest city has the most cases and some places have few or even none.
What about Western Australia? Over 250 days of ZERO community transmission! ZERO!

How did they do it?

Low population? Nope, population of Western Australia is almost 4X that of Alaska.

Small cities? Nope, largest city Perth has 2 million, Anchorage has only 400,000.
Read 5 tweets
Yaneer Bar-Yam Profile picture
25 Jan
Great news: Almost every region in India is seeing decreasing cases.

Currently 11 “winning” regions, reporting less than 20 cases per day, Manipur being the most recent to join. Last of the NE states not in this category is Assam, very close at 24 new/day.
There are currently 23 yellow, or “nearly there”, regions, and only 2 red regions which “need action”.

Only one region in India is seeing a substantial increase in cases: Kerala, early it was a success.

See more: endcoronavirus.org/india-states-ut
US improves, primarily in California, where daily cases dropped from 45,000 to 25,000 over last two weeks. Los Angeles accounts for most of the change.

The daily death toll remains very high, averaging 3,700 per day.
Read 4 tweets
Yaneer Bar-Yam Profile picture
24 Jan
Northeast India

Northeast India with 8 states and 45 million people has been improving in COVID cases.

Manipur has just reached our “Winners” category with under 20 cases per day. Congratulations!

1/
6 other states have already been there
Arunachal Pradesh
Meghalaya
Mizoram
Nagaland

2/
Sikkim
Tripura

3/
Read 4 tweets
Yaneer Bar-Yam Profile picture
24 Jan
Yesterday Belgium reported 2,444 new cases (1/10 of peak) and 55 deaths.

Starting Wednesday, Belgium will close their borders to non-essential travel in an attempt to limit the spread of new variants.

france24.com/en/europe/2021…
Spain cases increase rapidly, yesterday 42,885 new cases and 400 deaths. Trajectory is similar to that of Portugal (see yesterday’s update).
Zimbabwe is battling an outbreak that grew rapidly in December. Cases and test positivity are beginning to decline.

Cases are down to 60% of peak.
Read 5 tweets
Yaneer Bar-Yam Profile picture
23 Jan
Ireland has continued success with declining case rates, suggesting containment is possible despite having a high level of UK variant.

They recently decided to extend current restrictions “well into February”.

irishtimes.com/news/health/co…
Portugal’s condition becomes dire as they begin their battle against the more transmissible UK variant.

Yesterday they reported 13,544 cases and 221 deaths. Test positivity is at 18% and climbing rapidly.

To put the Portugal numbers into perspective, compare per capita case and death rates with those from the US.
Read 4 tweets
Yaneer Bar-Yam Profile picture
22 Jan
Denmark is sequencing all coronavirus samples and has an alarming view of the U.K. variant

"Like a speeding car whose brake lines have been cut, the coronavirus variant first spotted in Britain is spreading at an alarming rate..

1/
washingtonpost.com/world/europe/u…
".and isn’t responding to established ways of slowing the pandemic, according to Danish scientists who have one of the world’s best views into the new, more contagious strain.

"Cases involving the variant are increasing 70 percent a week in Denmark, despite a strict lockdown

2/
“We’re losing some of the tools that we have to control the epidemic,” said Tyra Grove Krause, scientific director of the institute, which has begun sequencing every positive coronavirus test to check for mutations.

3/
Read 7 tweets

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