When I was railing against the GameStop run up yesterday, this thread was why.

I’ve seen a bunch of these in my lifetime.

When my barber, my bartender and my 13-year old all mention a get-rich-quick opportunity, people are going to get hurt.

1/
People are reducing the players here to only two archetypes: billionaires and savvy Redditors.

A few billionaires will get clobbered. But they didn’t become billionaires by exposing themselves to ruin from one equity.

The hurt isn’t going to hurt them all that much.

2/
On the Reddit side, the ringleaders were all already holding GameStop stock or were leveraged into even bigger positions via stock options.

They stood to make a fortune from the masses joining in their play. And when the masses joined, they made a killing.

3/
And that might be fine this one time. Some small investors took down a few big fish.

But that kind of feeding frenzy has a long tail.

Hearing only about wild wins brings a lot of people into the game. That’s why PowerBall succeeds - even with a near certainty of losing.

4/
I played a lot of online poker when it first became a thing. I’d play four games at once. 60 hands an hour each. I mastered odds and strategy.

And I lost. But it was entertainment. I played with money I could afford to lose.

And around me, there were people who won big.

5/
As it turns out, the type of games I was in were rigged. There was collusion between players.

Meanwhile, my friend’s son started playing and became a full-on gambling addict.

6/
Wherever there is money to be made, there will be sharks.

The promise of quick riches brings in people who don’t know what they’re getting themselves into - and who then can’t get out.

GameStop is a feel-good story about toppling the castle but the castle ain’t toppled.

7/
Professional investors will just avoid positions like the bad mistake the hedge funds made here.

And there will be billions in new money at the table from people like my barber and bartender.

And right now, shady operators are working on how to grab it.

8/
Anonymous online personalities pumping stocks leading to rushes by unsophisticated investors is a great way to make the operators rich and the followers poor.

This is going to end in heartbreak and ruin for some people. It always does.

9/9

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More from @TheRealHoarse

28 Jan
Adults under the age of 30 have never really seen the stock market go down.

That’s pretty wild when you think about it. The market has had a near continuous rise young people’s whole adult lives.
“Whole adult lives.”

Jeez, the snarking by people who don’t read is tedious.
The funny thing is that I posted this after having had several conversations lately with young people who are “playing the stock market” who all but laughed when I said “it’s going to go down at some point.”

They truly couldn’t imagine it after years of it only going up.
Read 4 tweets
20 Jan
Here we goooo.

The inauguration of President Joe Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris is underway.

I'm going to just follow long and comment under this thread rather than clog your timelines. Feel free to mute this post if not interested.

HERE WE GO!

1/
As setup, I may or may not have opened a bottle of champagne after Fuckopotamus got shunted into a helicopter like a bag of wet laundry.

Okay, I did open the champagne and made myself a mimosa the size of a small child.

I regret nothing.

2/
I should also mention that I am running on about 30 hours without sleep. Staying up all night seemed like a good idea at the time.

Plus, I am shining like a new dime and it's a big day and I'm seriously into this.

So, booze and sleeplessness... I will apologize for nothing.

3/
Read 34 tweets
16 Jan
I read up on the last several men the federal government rushed to put to death this past month.

Sister Helen is 100% right. None of the defendants would have come anywhere near a death penalty had they had money and privilege.

1/
Take the person executed last night: Dustin Higgs.

Higgs, another man and a woman were involved in the murder of two people. The trio had picked the victims up and taken them to a desolate area where they were shot.

2/
The reasons for the shooting were unclear. To make their case, prosecutors offered a deal to Higgs’ two associates: testify that Higgs had orchestrated the killing and they would be charged with lesser offenses.

So, the two did.

3/
Read 10 tweets
12 Jan
Hahahahaha. This is fantastic. Database people, laugh with me here...

“When users deleted their posts, the site failed to remove the content and instead only added a delete flag to it.”

They just populated a flag!

Hahahha. They basically made the FBI’s job as easy as possible.
**and**

Parler required users to send in photographs of their real IDs to create an account.

**and**

The files from posted videos often include GPS metadata.

So, Parler recorded who the person was, where they were standing and then kept the post even after “deletion”.

Hahaha
The comedy:

1) Parler was likely just a complete trainwreck of an app because its creators only cared about making money

2) They built the FBI’s absolute dream app. Complete identification of users, location of many posts and retention of deletes.

Hahaha
Read 4 tweets
12 Jan
People need to step back from the details and focus on the single, most damning point:

There was no legitimate, lawful reason for a defeated president to be summoning a mob to the Capitol.

His constitutional responsibility was to oversee a peaceful transition of power.

1/
We are losing sight of the simplest indictment.

A president who lost an election refused to accept his defeat and instead fomented insurrection.

A president violated oath and law at the moment when his duty most called for safeguarding our democracy’s sustaining principle.

2/
Donald J. Trump, having been defeated, led a two-month campaign in violation of the constitutional mandate that he effect a peaceful continuation of our democracy.

This is, in my mind, as vile a treason as any ever committed.

Impeachment is insufficient.

3/
Read 5 tweets
9 Jan
Somehow, the very worst fuckopotami (plural of fuckopotamus) have gotten the wholly errant message that the people they have horrified for four years are now hoping for a group hug.

Speaking only for myself: fuck the absolute entirety of that.

1/
I’m talking to you, @senatemajldr

I’m talking to you, @GOPLeadership

I’m talking to you, @marcorubio

I’m talking to you, @Jim_Jordan

I’m talking to you @SteveScaliseGOP

I’m talking to you, @FoxNews

I’m talking to you, #MAGA

2/
Fuck every last one of you.

We didn’t want to win the White House, Senate, and House because this is a playground game of kickball where you win or lose and then just play again.

3/
Read 13 tweets

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