Short clips from my @sky_news interview earlier.
Firstly, on R (0.7-1.1). This wide range masks a more mixed picture regionally, but even at a regional level there are only a few regions whose upper-end estimates are above 1.
R reflects what was happening a couple of weeks ago.
Firstly, on R (0.7-1.1). This wide range masks a more mixed picture regionally, but even at a regional level there are only a few regions whose upper-end estimates are above 1.
R reflects what was happening a couple of weeks ago.
Death rates are still high with over 1000 people a day dying (28 days from a positive test - by date of death).
But daily death rates are now coming down reflecting the earlier falls in cases.
Over 1/4 of the UK’s covid deaths in this pandemic have occurred in the last 4 weeks.
But daily death rates are now coming down reflecting the earlier falls in cases.
Over 1/4 of the UK’s covid deaths in this pandemic have occurred in the last 4 weeks.
Deaths will start to come down slowly, reflecting falls in hospital admissions/occupancy, but we are coming down from and extremely high level, so we can expect 10s of thousands of deaths to be reported over the coming months.
Finally some good news.
The vaccine will make a big change to the number of people who are dying from COIVD.
However, it won’t make a huge difference to case numbers or to the occupancy of ICUs in the short term. Only 25% of people in ICUs with COVID are over 70.
The vaccine will make a big change to the number of people who are dying from COIVD.
However, it won’t make a huge difference to case numbers or to the occupancy of ICUs in the short term. Only 25% of people in ICUs with COVID are over 70.
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