🦠🦠🦠23,275 new cases. Comparing Mondays by swab date, a decided reduction 👍. Still too high.
⚰️⚰️⚰️1200 (28 day deaths)
⚰️💔⚰️💔⚰️💔 122,118 COVID deaths 😱😱😱
(107,907 ONS/Stats Covid certified deaths to 15/1/21
+
14,211 (28 day deaths)
Both by date of death.
⚰️⚰️⚰️1200 (28 day deaths)
⚰️💔⚰️💔⚰️💔 122,118 COVID deaths 😱😱😱
(107,907 ONS/Stats Covid certified deaths to 15/1/21
+
14,211 (28 day deaths)
Both by date of death.
⚰️ In this wave we’ve had 17 consec days with over 1k deaths, 6 over 1.2k deaths & 1 over 1.3k deaths (19/01).
Deaths are still being added to most of these days.
In April there were 23 consecutive days with over 1k death
Peak being 8/4/21 = 1457 deaths
Deaths by date of death
Deaths are still being added to most of these days.
In April there were 23 consecutive days with over 1k death
Peak being 8/4/21 = 1457 deaths
Deaths by date of death
🦠. TESTS. 23,275. See screenshot on the right to compare Mondays (by swab date).
Most of 25/1/21 should have been processed by now so it does look like a real downward trend .
Positivity in England only down to 11.9%. Still v high
Most of 25/1/21 should have been processed by now so it does look like a real downward trend .
Positivity in England only down to 11.9%. Still v high
🦠. So what is happening?
It looks as if huge numbers of tests are being processed under Pillar 2 (community testing every day. 300k, 400k, 600k
But look how many are Lateral Flow tests
Nearly 1.7 million in 5 days‼️
It looks as if huge numbers of tests are being processed under Pillar 2 (community testing every day. 300k, 400k, 600k
But look how many are Lateral Flow tests
Nearly 1.7 million in 5 days‼️
That’s a massive amount of tests and NO OUTCOME DATA.
No information about positives, negatives, unclears, context (schools/ healthcare/ Unis/ Care Homes (Staff? Visitors?). Community?
Where? Prevalence?
Nothing.
How does this affect uptake of PCR tests?
No information about positives, negatives, unclears, context (schools/ healthcare/ Unis/ Care Homes (Staff? Visitors?). Community?
Where? Prevalence?
Nothing.
How does this affect uptake of PCR tests?
🏥 Admissions are up a bit (by about 100) pushing the daily admission over 3.1k again
🛌 IN patients are down again (34783) especially in England, as are ventilation 🛌 (3832)
🛌 IN patients are down again (34783) especially in England, as are ventilation 🛌 (3832)
VACCINATION 💉.
8,859,372 doses have been administered to 8,378,940 people
Of those 480,432 have had 2 doses.
A big well done to all in the NHS Vaccination and logistics team
That was 489,934 yesterday. BRILLIANT👍👍👍
Let’s hope we start to get efficacy data next week.
8,859,372 doses have been administered to 8,378,940 people
Of those 480,432 have had 2 doses.
A big well done to all in the NHS Vaccination and logistics team
That was 489,934 yesterday. BRILLIANT👍👍👍
Let’s hope we start to get efficacy data next week.
We started vaccinating on 8 Dec and by 27 Dec had administered one dose to nearly 1 mill people.
About 500k of them have had only 1 dose.
By Mon 1st Feb 5 weeks at least will have passed
How are each group performing re infections, admissions, deaths, neutralising antibodies?
About 500k of them have had only 1 dose.
By Mon 1st Feb 5 weeks at least will have passed
How are each group performing re infections, admissions, deaths, neutralising antibodies?
Returning to test data.
The puzzle is that neither the REACT study nor the ONS rolling surveillance are showing the marked drop in positivity that we appear to be seeing in the daily test results.
There was only marginal downward movement between w/e 17 Jan and w/e 24 Jan (ONS)
The puzzle is that neither the REACT study nor the ONS rolling surveillance are showing the marked drop in positivity that we appear to be seeing in the daily test results.
There was only marginal downward movement between w/e 17 Jan and w/e 24 Jan (ONS)
Why is this? Is it just lag or is the very large number of LFT affecting the cohort getting tested in some significant way.
Without granular LFT context and outcomes it is hard to be sure.
Without granular LFT context and outcomes it is hard to be sure.
In case you are interested in reporting lag on 28 day cut off deaths, @LawrenceGilder has done a neat chart with the orange tip indicating the lag
In fact notifications keeps coming in for two or three weeks, but most in the first few days
In fact notifications keeps coming in for two or three weeks, but most in the first few days
https://twitter.com/lawrencegilder/status/1355564055772147722
And here is @LawrenceGilder with the 7 day rolling averages.
You will see that 60 day deaths (positive test within 60 days of death and Covid on death certificate) - 1,309- runs at over 100 more than 28 day deaths - 1,200.
You will see that 60 day deaths (positive test within 60 days of death and Covid on death certificate) - 1,309- runs at over 100 more than 28 day deaths - 1,200.
https://twitter.com/lawrencegilder/status/1355551720928120835
A year ago to the day to our first recorded Covid death, albeit identified months later.
https://twitter.com/fascinatorfun/status/1355653014837731329
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