“Post-Brexit trading is really hard”; “stuff is starting to move, but morale and motivation in the team is very low”; “trade has to pick up soon, but we don’t really know how it will.”
A thread of my article for @UKandEU 1/ ukandeu.ac.uk/red-tape-bette…
Through the prism of the debate that has raged for the past four or five years years, things are great… or terrible, temporary…. or never-ending, largely dependent on what you think of the idea of #Brexit. The debate isn't over but logistics businesses have to block it out 2/
As I say in the piece - "the political and media row is not something that transport planners, warehouse managers, lorry drivers, buyers and sellers care much about. They are battling to just do their jobs within realistic timeframes and in reasonable working conditions. 3/
"Red tape is exhausting. It causes tension, stress and arguments that are wearing people down." see this excellent report from @lisaocarroll about @ColdChainFed members McCulla Ireland theguardian.com/politics/2021/… 4/
We are angry about the lack of a proper implementation period It is simply not right to pile this much pressure on this many people in the middle of global pandemic.

But for our own sanity we have to focus on the road ahead not things we can't change now. 5/
So what is this all for?

Within the haulage and warehouse sector there is genuine hope for our economic future outside the EU.

In many ways UK logistics suffered in the Single Market. Free movement of goods, services and labour dramatically changed our supply chain. 6/
Today, 75-80% of the vehicles and drivers that fetch and carry goods between UK and the EU, are not from UK. EU hauliers, once here, compete for inland haulage work, making up maybe c.20% of the total assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/upl… 7/ Image
The cost base of haulage companies operating out of Eastern Europe is significantly lower than those facing UK-based operators.

Here is an idea is what makes up cost from a UK operator perspective via @RHANews rha.uk.net/getattachment/… Image
Consumers have benefitted for sure. In food the 40-year rise of the supermarkets has coincided with an ever-expanding pool of cheaper logistics alternatives.The result is that a haulier can expect to be paid largely the same money for a job today that they were paid 20yrs ago. 9/
Competition is a good thing and it will be a big part of our future. EU-wide competition has meant that we are by many factors more efficient, more responsive, and more productive today than we were 40 years ago. 10/
But it does mean we enter the next phase of our supply chain evolution largely underinvested. If cost-cutting is our legacy, it is hard to see how that suits our future. The way we move, and store, goods today must change if we are to meet the net zero challenge before 2050. 11/
The confidence required to buy the vehicles, build infrastructure and invent technology will not be possible if we remain fixated on race-to-bottom supply chain models.

This intro to @ColdChainFed's net zero project gives an idea of what is involved
coldchainfederation.org.uk/road-to-net-ze… 12/
So we are faced with twin challenges

(1) getting our exporters (in particular) through the crisis and back on a path to growth - this requires a reset in how we set ourselves up to support our international exporters - see me (again) in @thetimes 13/ thetimes.co.uk/article/our-fo… Image
(2) using the new found 'control' we have over our import flows and our ability to promote domestic industries to ensure the promises made that 'Brexit and net zero and levelling up' can genuinely go hand-in-hand.

We have vey little idea how Ministers intend to achieve this 14/
It's been a month - it's not been very long and being realistic we have some way to go before we will emerge from 'crisis' phase, not least because we can't even started rebuilding from covid yet - but with things so bleak we need to find ways to look to the future 15/

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More from @ColdChainShane

17 Jan
End of week 2 thread on post Brexit food trade

There is continued growing unease. The main picture remains one of depressed/tentative trade (c50% down y-o-y) and some high profile logistics business have taken the rational step to stop and regroup. theloadstar.com/rtr-db-schenke…
The big worry here is that ‘not-trading’becomes a habit. We can’t/won’t carry on at half the volumes of before, but as volumes claw back we may only reach something like 80% of previous volumes and that is a disaster for a food industry already battered by a recession.
Lots of focus has been on the idea of EU businesses stopping serving the UK. Worries about how we feed ourselves has trumped worry about our exporters at every stage. Even though it is the collapse of our export businesses that is (and has always been) the greater threat.
Read 26 tweets
14 Jan
A live example of the issues on why businesses are not better prepared for post-Brexit red tape - thread

Over past few days I have been really annoyed with myself that I did not foresee and warn #coldchain members about key processes on food (SPS) exports that have come to fore
Remember I am not a customs/trade expert, my knowledge comes from 2 years of engagement on government policy and acting as a conduit between industry and policy makers in Brexit preparations - others across industry are genuine experts and may have foretold this better than me
Before you import food goods to EU you the importer must make entry onto an EU IT system (called TRACES NT) this can only be done EU side by the importer or an agent - for meat or dairy you need a Certificate signed by a vet before TRACES (all that I knew) webgate.ec.europa.eu/tracesnt/login
Read 13 tweets
9 Jan
As @michaelgove admitted yesterday we are expecting significant disruption in our #trade flows with the EU in coming days. The fact he is willing to say this confirms what most of us feel, that problems are building. This thread is a summary of what I have learnt in the past week
DISCLAIMER I run a trade body and spent the week in my back bedroom on the phone to members, reading the media and on zoom calls. I’m not on the ground and I am not in the operation rooms. So my info is second hand and partial. No one has a complete view. IT IS HIDEOUSLY COMPLEX
The first obvious problem is the number of different actors involved. On the commercial side - within 1 exporter there are multiple depts. There is also the buying company and the logistics company. They all have to sync. 1 load of goods involves multiple commercial actors.
Read 20 tweets
24 Dec 20
We haven't seen the text (disclaimer) but nonetheless here is my pre-Christmas thread in reaction. This is a #hardBrexit deal (by design) and that means for food it is hardest of all. No rabbits out of the hat - the UK gov have followed through on their stated intent...1/
All food exports from the UK into EU will be subject to the same checks and inspections as EU imports from Russia, Chile, and yes.. Australia - this despite the fact that the UK rules will be 100% the same rules on safety, env, and animal welfare 2/ ec.europa.eu/food/animals/p…
So (eg) in 7 days all our meat, fish and dairy will require export health certs - gov estimate is 300k next year (industry thinks it will be more) that's 10x more than now (btw for most supply chains the EHC is just the last piece of paper) we have 2x as many vets to do this 3/
Read 10 tweets
9 Jun 20
I'm coming to this a bit late but @michaelgove's attempt to dismiss our concerns about just how unprepared the UK is to operate a functioning border as 'part of the game' in parliament last month is pretty infuriating (#Brexit thread, cause we all love those) 1/
It's not hyperbole - it's a reality - @michaelgove told us in February that 'deal or no deal' the UK would conduct food health checks on EU goods - and that EU goods would be treated no differently to goods from anywhere else in the world - and yet ... 2/ gov.uk/government/new…
as @pmdfoster reported this weekend we have no infrastructure in place, no process to do it and no time to make this a reality - that to me is the definition of 'hopelessly ill-prepared'. 3/ ft.com/content/7efb87…
Read 5 tweets

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