Hmm. Pres Macron told TF1 tonight that France would have “offered a vaccine" to all adults who wanted one before the end of summer. He denied French vax prog was falling behind. But France injected only 45,000 people yesterday. What’s going on? 1/5
lefigaro.fr/flash-actu/mac…
First Macron’s promise was carefully worded. He didn’t say that France would vaccinate all willing bodies (two jabs needed) before the end of the summer. He said France would offer (“proposer”) them a vaccine (which might mean only a first jab). 2/5
In fact both are possible if France starts jabbing faster. Many adult will refuse. According to a recent poll only 56% are willing (ie 29,000,000 French adults). Two jabs for all would require 58,000,000 injections- or 276,000 a day by end Aug. One jab - 138,000 a day. 3/5
Yesterday France injected 45 296 people of whom 22,525 got their second jab. In the whole of February it is planning 2.4m jabs - less than 100,000 a day. This rate should and must increase once the simpler AstraZeneca vaccine is available in mid Feb. 4/5

NNNN
The AZ vax was approved for under 65s in France today. Pharmacies and nurse will be allowed to administer this vaccine. In theory (according to pharmacy reps) they could manage up to 500,000 jabs a day!!. A game-changer? Only if France gets the doses to them 5/6
As I have been saying in recent thread, the problem is NOT slow supplies from the EU. By the end of Feb the health ministry says France will have received 8,000,000 doses since the vax drive began on 27 Dec. As things stand it is planning to use only circa 4,000,000 of them. 6/6

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More from @john_lichfield

5 Feb
New French vaccine thread…
The French programme is speeding up. Hooray. Without admitting they were ever slow, the French government says it can go faster. PM Jean Castex announced last night circa 1.5m extra injections this month – bringing the total to 4m. 1/16
The stats remain opaque but the extra jabs seem to involve a/ 500,000 new first shots for the over-75’s using Pfizer/Moderna doses and b/ 1,000,000 Astra-Zeneca shots which will be offered to health professional of all ages from tomorrow. 2/16
I have received a detailed reply from the health ministry to my questions on the pace of the French programme (which used just over half of the doses it had received at the end of Jan.). Libération newspaper carried a similar response. See below. 3/16
liberation.fr/checknews/la-f…
Read 16 tweets
4 Feb
France is to accelerate its vaccination programme with an extra 1.5m first jabs this months thanks to the arrival of the easier-to-use AstraZeneca vaccine, the PM Jean Castex just announced.
The AZ vaccine will allow France to complete 4m first jabs by end of Feb, instead of the existing target of 2.5m he told a press conference. The AZ vaccine is only approved for under-65's in Fr. It will therefore be offered to care/health workers and under-65s with health issues.
France will also open up 500,000 new appointments for over-75's this month and 1,200,00 extra slots next month (with more slots possible later) using Pfizer/ Moderna vaccines. This is a response to criticism in certain quarters (ie not just me) that Fr vax prog is too ponderous.
Read 10 tweets
4 Feb
Weekly French Covid thread. No 3rd lockdown after all. Not yet anyway. President Macron took a big gamble last Friday and decided that French opinion wasn’t ready for Confinement 3 and epidemic stats didn’t justify one.
So far, most stats are still on Macron’s side.
BUT… 1/8
The head of the Paris hospital medical committee, Prof Rémi Salomon, warned yesterday that the faster-moving UK variant of Covid-19 was now 15-20% of all cases in the Paris area - up from 6% a month ago. He said the pandemic seemed certain to accelerate in the days ahead. 2/8
As things stand, the main virus numbers that I follow in this thread are fairly stable. The average number of cases each day has scarcely increased in 7 days - from 20,248 to 20,614. Daily deaths are up from 400.5 to 448.4. Intensive care occupation is up from 3,111 to 3,277
3/8
Read 8 tweets
30 Jan
Something has been bugging me for days about the French Covid vaccination programme. The published figures don’t add up. They don’t explain why France has local shortages of vaccines and has postponed all “first jabs” in three big regions next week. 1/14
Yes, yes I know that Pfizer has temporarily reduced output (cutting France’s deliveries by 200,000). I know (who couldn’t know?) that AstraZeneca has slashed its promised supplies to the EU. But the French figures still don’t add up. 2/14
I have asked the health ministry press office to explain. No response. I’m surprised the French media has not asked the same question. So I’ve decided to lay out the figures (as far as I can establish them) and see if anyone can enlighten me. 3/14
Read 14 tweets
29 Jan
No new French lockdown, PM Jean Castex has just announced.
All borders to be closed except for essential travel, from Sunday.
Castex said the Covid figures were not yet bad enough to justify a third lockdown but new measures were needed to contain the faster-spreading UK and other variants.
Read 10 tweets
28 Jan
The French health minister, Olivier Véran, is about to give a press conference. He isn't expected to make firm announcements on a new lockdown etc but will give the latest info on circulation of the UK variant of Covid and the French vaccination programme. Will tweet main points.
Health minister Véran says France is not suffering a powerful new wave of the epidemic but remains on a "high plateau" which is "sloping upwards".
Véran says hospitals are facing an increase in cases and acute cases in last two weeks. Compared to the autumn, just before 2nd lockdown, good new and bad. Vax programme is now in place but new variants of virius threaten...
Read 10 tweets

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