The French health minister, Olivier Véran, is about to give a press conference. He isn't expected to make firm announcements on a new lockdown etc but will give the latest info on circulation of the UK variant of Covid and the French vaccination programme. Will tweet main points.
Health minister Véran says France is not suffering a powerful new wave of the epidemic but remains on a "high plateau" which is "sloping upwards".
Véran says hospitals are facing an increase in cases and acute cases in last two weeks. Compared to the autumn, just before 2nd lockdown, good new and bad. Vax programme is now in place but new variants of virius threaten...
New variants, especially UK variant, now rising steadily, he says. From 500 cases a day at beginning of Jan to 2,000 cases a day now (about one in ten of all cases). All must be done to check this "epidemic within the epidemic".
Veran says he knows the extreme difficulty of the efforts made so far. New restrictions will be necessary, he warns, (no details) but he says he also wants to leave French with a "perspective of hope" (no details).
Veran now being asked about vaccine shortages...He says Fr getting six doses instead of 5 out of each Pfizer vaccine bottle. But still expected the different companies who have committed to supply the EU to meet their commitments...
In other words, he has dodged so far the question of the impact of the AstraZenica row on the French vax programme. But he hasn't been asked directly about it by the journalist pool (yet).
Veran insists 6pm to 6am curfew has been effective but not strong enough to deal with the new faster-moving variants. Refuses to go into detail of what new measures may be coming down the track.
Presser coming to an end. Very few and poor questions. Nothing on the EU-Astrazenica row. Nothing much on the present level of the Fr vax programme. No new vax figures or projections. Why bother?
Only really new fact was that there are now 2,000 cases a day of the "new variants" of Covid in France, about one in ten of all cases and a fourfold increase in a month. We had similar stats already for the Ile de France (Paris area) but not the whole country.
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No new French lockdown, PM Jean Castex has just announced.
All borders to be closed except for essential travel, from Sunday.
Castex said the Covid figures were not yet bad enough to justify a third lockdown but new measures were needed to contain the faster-spreading UK and other variants.
Weekly French Covid thread. It is probable that France will be placed in a 3rd lockdown in a few days. With the mood of the country turning sour – only 40% support a new “confinement”- the government faces an agonising decision with profound economic/political implications. 1/10
The Covid figures in France are worsening – over 20,200 cases a day in the last 7 days after 18,900 last week. They aren't yet disastrous but the UK variant is spreading fast (1 in 10 cases in Paris area). A preventative lockdown seems certain but how strict and how long? 2/10
The health minister, Olivier Véran, will give a press conference at 2pm today. He may give hints on what is coming but the decision is Macron’s and not yet made. He is reported to be fearful of widespread disobedience/ even violent protest. 3/10
French PM Jean Castex will give a press conference in 10 minutes to explain France's new vaccination strategy. Will also announce new Covid restriction but not a new lockdown.
It is now thought that 19, at least, cases of the new, faster moving virus mutation have been identified in France. Case numbers are climb climbing - 25 000, yesterday after a new year lull. But no sign yet of the kind of surge seen in the UK or Ireland. Will tweet main points.
Castex says 2021 will be a year of hope. France doing better than its neighbour's but recording an average 15,000 new cases a day. UK incidence rate 8 times higher, he says.
Scoop...Britain faces dearer electricity and occasional black-outs if it bans EU fishing boats from its waters after 2026. This de facto power over the UK power market is handed to the EU in the post-Brexit deal which MP’s will wave almost unread through parliament today. 1/10
The trade deal enshrines a link between continued EU access to British waters and UK frictionless access to the EU power grid and gas network. This has scarcely been noticed though it was mentioned and brushed aside by last night’s statement by the ultra-Brexiteer ERG. 2/10
The link – drawn to my attention by a senior EU source – is spelled out in dates, not words. The fisheries part of the deal grants EU boats continued access with a 25% cut in quotas over five and a half years until 30 June 2026. After that there are “annual negotiations” 3/10
MORE fish. Since my Boxing Day fish thread attracted great attention – and some controversy – I thought I’d try to clear up one or two disputed points. I would first of all heartily recommend the blog below by Dr Bryce Stewart, a true fisheries expert. 1/12
Dr Stewart reaches the same conclusions that I did. Boris Johnson misled the nation when he said on 24 Dec that, from 2026, “there is no theoretical limit beyond those placed by science or conservation on the quantity of our own fish that we can fish in our waters.” 2/12
The treaty agreed by the UK on Christmas Eve explicitly assumes NO extra cut in EU quotas in British waters after June 2026 – ie it DOES put limits on UK catches from “2026 onwards”. What happens if Britain does refuse access to European boats?
3/12
Fish thread.
Having read the Brexit deal, I believe B. Johnson misled the nation on Thurs when he said Britain could catch “all the fish that it wants ” in UK waters in 5 years’ time. The clear presumption in the text is that EU fleets will have similar access after 2026.1/12
The UK fish industry will have to pay a high price in EU import tariffs if that access is withdrawn. Overall… the deal falls far short of the exaggerated “sea of opportunity” promises made to UK fishermen. 2/12
The headline quota compromise - reducing EU catches in the UK 200 mile zone by 25% over five and a half years – is balanced enough. But different fishers will study the small-print with delight OR anger. Some EU quotas will be cut more than others. 3/12