In early 1989, Senator Joe Biden sent some questions to GHWB Secretary of State James Baker, asking about US leadership on climate change. Here is how Baker responded.
How things went off track from a promising beginning is quite a story & well told by Prins & Rayner 2007, in The Wrong Trousers sciencepolicy.colorado.edu/students/envs_…
A key Q to ask is: what ever happened to the IPCC's original "Response Strategies Working Group" (i.e., WG III, later "Economics" and then "Mitigation" moving away from policy options)?
The IPCC transitioned from informing the FCCC to advocating for it's instruments (esp Kyoto)
What is interesting about this history is that the policies that make the most sense to deal with climate change have been well understood for many decades
Yet it has only been very recently that these policies have emerged as acceptable (even preferred) among climate leaders
If today's @theNASEM report on decarbonization truly represents leading thinking on climate policy in 2021, we should all sleep easier knowing climate change is not just manageable, but ideas that will work are now at the forefront of policy discussions nap.edu/read/25932
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Reminder that all scenarios underpinning climate research project coal growth to mid-century & most to 2100
Figure via @jritch (Ritchie & Dowlatabadi 2017)
The collapse of coal is very good news for the planet but requires a major reset among researchers
🧵New Science paper on tropical cyclones confirms our landfall analyses
"To date, there has been no firm evidence of global trends of the frequency of tropical cyclones with maximum wind speed above the hurricane-force wind (64 knots) at landfall"
Also: "No detectable trend of U.S. landfall hurricane frequency has emerged"
Let me state the obvious:
If there are not more hurricanes making landfall around the world or in the US, then more hurricanes cannot be responsible for increased damage of hurricanes
Biden will name Dr. Eric Lander to serve as his top science adviser and will be elevating Lander's position as director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) to a Cabinet rank position for the first time. nbcnews.com/politics/meet-…
So this is interesting
I'm perusing the "Plum Book" and it turns out that Kelvin Droegemeier is NOT actually the president's science advisor.
He carries only the title of OSTP director
And 9/14 positions are vacant
Actually, there is no such title as "science advisor"
Since establishment of OTSP in 1976 most "science advisors" have held the title of "special assistant to the president" but not under Bush or Trump fas.org/sgp/crs/misc/R…
I think it almost certain that President Biden's "science advisor" will have the title of "special assistant to the president"
It matters: " The difference between an individual being the OSTP Director and the APST is more than semantic"