Terrific Biden foreign speech today @StateDept. I support the aspirations and policy goals he outlined. Now comes the hard part -- implementing strategies to achieve them. I have some (unsolicited) ideas. cc: @SecBlinken@jakejsullivan THREAD 1/
On learning the positive & negative lessons from the Cold War for containing and engaging China today: "Cold War Lessons and Fallacies for US-China Relations" Todayhttps://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/0163660X.2020.1850406 5/
In the wake of Navalny's wrongful imprisonment, reupping this old piece written during the Trump era & pulling out key points still relevant today. THREAD 1/ washingtonpost.com/opinions/a-rus…
"Alexei Navalny holds the audacious belief that Russians should be able to choose their leaders in free, fair and competitive elections. That’s why he tried to run for president in 2018, but was denied a place on the ballot." 2/
"He believes that government officials should not use their power for personal enrichment. That’s why he operates one of the most important investigative media outlets in Russia." 3/
My back cover blurb for @kath_stoner RUSSIA RESURRECTED: "According to conventional wisdom, Russia is a weak and declining power. Kathryn Stoner's fantastic new book, Russia Resurrected, challenges that outdated notion along many dimensions. THREAD 1/
"Russian President Vladimir Putin is not playing a weak hand smartly when confronting the West, but deploying new and advanced military, cyber, diplomatic, and propaganda capabilities to pursue his dangerous, destabilizing, global agenda." 2/
Marshalling fresh empirical data and rethinking new methods for assessing power, Russia Resurrected should be a wakeup call for Western leaders, appear on every syllabus for courses on Russia & be essential reading for anyone seeking to understand Russia in the world today. 3
As January winds down, I'm going to stop writing recs about what the Biden administration should do, and let them have a chance to try to get some things done. Pivoting now back to book writing. Listing here for last time my "should" list. THREAD 1/
"Bold, ambitious and new"? Really? Seems like a restatement of the current DC conventional wisdom to me. Nothing wrong with that ... in fact, that's good. I agree with much of it. But maybe I'm missing something about newness? Others weigh in? THREAD 1/
I guess the policy prescription to try to divide Xi from CCP is new (and not very Kennanesque). Seems very hard to do for the U.S., but I'm not a China expert as I assume the anonymous author is (Kennan was a Soviet expert). Curious to hear what other Chinese experts think. 2/
One new idea by "X 2.0" is analytically naive: "Dividing Russia from China in the future is equally so. Allowing Russia to drift fully into China’s strategic embrace over the last decade will go down as the single greatest geostrategic error of successive U.S. administrations."3/
My piece w/ @kath_stoner from a year ago: "Russia now ranks a dismal 138 out of 180 countries on the Transparency International Corruptions Perception index, a drop from its rank of 60 in 2000 when Putin became president." themoscowtimes.com/2020/01/21/chi… THREAD 1/
"The lack of significant improvement in the rule of law has stifled the engine of economic development, the creation of small and medium-sized enterprises, and suppressed investment and innovation, especially in Russia’s high-tech sector." 2/
"Putin’s adventurous, belligerent actions abroad ... triggered new international isolation and economic sanctions and further hindered economic development. " 3/
To answer many questions being asked of me here about Navalny, reupping this old @PostOpinions essay with a short thread (for those who can't get behind the paywall) washingtonpost.com/opinions/a-rus… THREAD 1/
"Alexei Navalny holds the audacious belief that Russians should be able to choose their leaders in free, fair and competitive elections. That’s why he tried to run for president in 2018, but was denied a place on the ballot." 2/
"He believes that government officials should not use their power for personal enrichment. That’s why he operates one of the most important investigative media outlets in Russia." 3/