Florida Deaths - 2/5/21

Florida reported a net of 210 COVID deaths today. Changes were reported on 36 different days, going back to August 31.

Changes by month: August (-1), September (-1), January (+178-1), February (+35)

#RationalGround

1/6
Reported deaths (as best we could find them - read bottom of the chart for more details):

Median age: 80
Minimum age: 28
Maximum age: 102
86% are 65 or older <- higher than usual

2/6
Additions and deletions by date:

2/5 - 1
2/4 - 6
2/3 - 16
2/2 - 3
2/1 - 9
1/31 - 10
1/30 - 10
1/29 - 9
1/28 - 17
1/27 - 20
1/26 - 8
1/25 - 13
1/24 - 11
1/23 - 7
1/22 - 10
1/21 - 10
1/20 - 5
1/19 - 10
1/18 - 5
1/17 - 3
1/16 - 4
1/15 - 2
1/14 - 2
1/13 - 3
(cont.)

3/6
1/12 - 1
1/11 - 1
1/10 - 1
1/9 - 2
1/8 - 3
1/7 - 3
1/6 - 1
1/5 - 6
1/4 - removed 1
1/3 - 1
9/29 - removed 1
8/31 - removed 1

The numbers above are not totals by day; they're increments added today. See the chart in the first tweet for totals.

Deaths by week:

4/6
First-wave peaks were 7/30-7/31 (235) & 8/4 (240); the 7-day moving average peak was 8/5 (227).

Second-wave peaks so far are 1/6 & 1/13 (172); 7-day avg peak is 1/15 (162). These are expected to keep changing.

Here is the full chart for context:

5/6
Sources: Florida deaths by day: fdoh.maps.arcgis.com/home/item.html…

My spreadsheet to track changes: docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…
6/6

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More from @jhaskinscabrera

6 Feb
Throughout COVID, any reporting of good news has been criticized as "COVID denial" that might cause people to "let down their guard" and subsequently die.

Thus, we have not paid attention to patterns that could indicate targeted policies to minimize deaths.

1/6
Examples:

* Very low fatality rate in children.
* Cases/hosps/deaths come in waves, at different times in different places.
* These waves have nearly the same shape/duration everywhere.

2/6
* We've never seen cases/hosps/deaths increase once they start plunging (except a minor double peak).
* Once a region exits a wave, they get several months of low activity before the next wave.

3/6
Read 6 tweets
4 Feb
Florida Deaths - 2/4/21

Florida reported a net of 228 COVID deaths today. Changes were reported on 35 different days, going back to August 4.

Changes by month: August (+2), September (-1), December (+2-1), January (+201), February (+25)

#RationalGround

1/6
Reported deaths (as best we could find them - read bottom of the chart for more details):

Median age: 79
Minimum age: 28
Maximum age: 103
84% are 65 or older

2/6
Additions and deletions by date:

2/3 - 10
2/2 - 10
2/1 - 5
1/31 - 11
1/30 - 9
1/29 - 17
1/28 - 14
1/27 - 12
1/26 - 18
1/25 - 13
1/24 - 10
1/23 - 15
1/22 - 9
1/21 - 11
1/20 - 6
1/19 - 7
1/18 - 7
1/17 - 7
1/16 - 7
1/15 - 1
1/14 - 4
1/13 - 1
1/12 - 5
1/11 - 3
(cont.)

3/6
Read 6 tweets
3 Feb
Florida Deaths - 2/3/21

Florida reported 197 COVID deaths today. Changes were reported on 37 different days, going back to July 13.

Changes by month: July (+2), September (+2), November (+1), December (+2), January (+170), February (+20)

#RationalGround

1/6
Reported deaths (as best we could find them - read bottom of the chart for more details):

Median age: 79
Minimum age: 48
Maximum age: 101
89% are 65 or older <- higher than usual

2/6
Additions by date:

2/3 - 1
2/2 - 6
2/1 - 13
1/31 - 6
1/30 - 13
1/29 - 5
1/28 - 12
1/27 - 11
1/26 - 13
1/25 - 15
1/24 - 9
1/23 - 7
1/22 - 10
1/21 - 7
1/20 - 6
1/19 - 11
1/18 - 2
1/17 - 7
1/16 - 2
1/15 - 3
1/14 - 3
1/13 - 1
1/12 - 2
1/11 - 3
1/8 - 1
1/7 - 2
1/6 - 1
(cont.)

3/6
Read 6 tweets
2 Feb
Florida Deaths - 2/2/21

Florida reported a net of 137 COVID deaths today. Changes were reported on 30 different days, going back to July 11.

Changes by month: July (-1), August (-1), October (-1), January (+139-2), February (+3)

#RationalGround

1/6
Reported deaths (as best we could find them - read bottom of the chart for more details):

Median age: 79
Minimum age: 40
Maximum age: 105
88% are 65 or older <- higher than usual

2/6
Additions and deletions by date:

2/1 - 3
1/31 - 15
1/30 - 10
1/29 - 8
1/28 - 3
1/27 - 3
1/26 - 16
1/25 - 16
1/24 - 7
1/23 - 3
1/22 - 9
1/21 - 5
1/20 - 7
1/19 - 1
1/18 - 6
1/17 - 7
1/16 - 2
1/15 - 5
1/14 - 4
1/13 - 2
1/12 - removed 1
1/11 - removed 1
1/10 - 4
(cont.)

3/6
Read 6 tweets
1 Feb
Florida Deaths - 2/1/21

Florida reported a net of 206 COVID deaths today. Changes were reported on 32 different days, going back to November 20.

Changes by month: November (+1), December (+3), January (+202)

#RationalGround

1/6
Reported deaths (as best we could find them - read bottom of the chart for more details):

Median age: 79
Minimum age: 28
Maximum age: 106
85% are 65 or older

2/6
Additions and deletions by date:

1/30 - 3
1/28 - 4
1/27 - 15
1/26 - 13
1/25 - 12
1/24 - 12
1/23 - 11
1/22 - 9
1/21 - 11
1/20 - 11
1/19 - 4
1/18 - 1
1/17 - 4
1/16 - 5
1/15 - 4
1/14 - 4
1/13 - 2
1/12 - 2
1/11 - 2
1/10 - 7
1/9 - 7
1/8 - 10
1/7 - 5
1/6 - 9
1/5 - 12
(cont.)

3/6
Read 6 tweets
1 Feb
Florida Deaths - 1/31/21

Florida reported a net of 119 COVID deaths today. Changes were reported on 29 different days, going back to September 26.

Changes by month: September (+1), Jan (+120-2)

#RationalGround

1/6
Reported deaths (as best we could find them - read bottom of the chart for more details):

Median age: 76
Minimum age: 33
Maximum age: 97
81% are 65 or older

2/6
Additions and deletions by date:

1/30 - 1
1/28 - 4
1/27 - 3
1/26 - 1
1/25 - 11
1/24 - 5
1/23 - 2
1/22 - 5
1/21 - 5
1/20 - 3
1/19 - 3
1/18 - 6
1/16 - 1
1/15 - 3
1/14 - removed 2
1/13 - 1
1/12 - 1
1/11 - 2
1/10 - 4
1/9 - 2
1/8 - 6
1/7 - 10
1/6 - 5
1/5 - 4
1/4 - 8
(cont).

3/6
Read 6 tweets

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