Throughout COVID, any reporting of good news has been criticized as "COVID denial" that might cause people to "let down their guard" and subsequently die.
Thus, we have not paid attention to patterns that could indicate targeted policies to minimize deaths.
1/6
Examples:
* Very low fatality rate in children.
* Cases/hosps/deaths come in waves, at different times in different places.
* These waves have nearly the same shape/duration everywhere.
2/6
* We've never seen cases/hosps/deaths increase once they start plunging (except a minor double peak).
* Once a region exits a wave, they get several months of low activity before the next wave.
3/6
The failure of public health to acknowledge or discuss these phenomena must be addressed. They decided early on that their strategy would be to keep everyone as fearful as possible, ...
4/6
so they have carefully avoided discussing age-stratified fatality rates and seasonal patterns. Instead, they keep pointing to models that always show uncontrolled growth if we don't behave. These models have been wrong EVERY SINGLE TIME.
5/6
Examining why this virus behaves the way it does could help us learn more about how to prevent infections - but public health officials seem completely uninterested in the above points.
I can only hope there will be a reckoning at some point.
6/6
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